Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
open
Total volume
$425
$23 in 24h
Trades
55
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$406
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-28 09:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-27.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $3
vs crowd: 28% YES on $257)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $16 | $32 | $16 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $36 | — | +$36 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $6 | $131 | $125 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $14 | $22 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $41 | $10 | +$31 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | $8 | $4 |
| Median | 2 | — | $131 | $131 |
| Below median | 5 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $0 | $29 | $28 |
| unranked | 5 | $13 | $5 | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | +100 | $71 | $188 | 2 | 06-22 15:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +42 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 06-21 03:34 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +38 | $29 | $29 | 5 | 06-11 23:25 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-22 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-21 03:34 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | No | +17 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-30 23:45 |
| Sore-Elderberry-Epoxy 0x3436…c291 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 02:50 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +13 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 14:55 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-17 17:08 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 14:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3230…3fbe | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 14:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | +3 | $3 | $7 | 2 | 06-22 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x42f0…5101 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 23:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 23:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 09:45:32 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 18 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x6c436e… |
| 06-28 09:45:32 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x6c436e… |
| 06-28 09:45:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6c436e… |
| 06-28 09:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2a7569… |
| 06-28 09:43:47 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x2a7569… |
| 06-27 22:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd9ac12… |
| 06-27 22:01:37 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd9ac12… |
| 06-22 15:38:08 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xafcad0… |
| 06-22 15:38:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xafcad0… |
| 06-22 15:37:37 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x0869f9… |
| 06-22 15:37:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x0869f9… |
| 06-22 15:37:37 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 66 | 89¢ | $59 | 0x0869f9… |
| 06-22 15:37:37 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x0869f9… |
| 06-21 03:34:58 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xa7ab04… |
| 06-21 03:34:58 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xa7ab04… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 22¢ | $22 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 12 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 167 | 78¢ | $130 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-17 17:08:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x066e3f… |
| 06-17 17:08:43 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x066e3f… |
| 06-17 01:58:20 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x046e55… |
| 06-17 01:58:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x046e55… |
| 06-16 23:32:20 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x779be9… |
| 06-16 23:32:20 | (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x779be9… |
| 06-11 23:25:00 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x46c83d… |
| 06-11 23:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x46c83d… |
| 06-10 14:51:24 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x7ddcc6… |
| 06-10 14:51:24 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x7ddcc6… |
| 06-10 13:08:42 | (anonymous) 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x71cc19… |
| 06-10 13:08:42 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x71cc19… |
| 06-08 14:55:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 13 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x9779be… |
| 06-08 14:55:13 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 13 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x9779be… |
| 06-08 14:55:12 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xdf65b8… |
| 06-08 14:55:12 | (anonymous) 0x3230…3fbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xdf65b8… |
| 06-03 23:29:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xad2ff5… |
| 06-03 23:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x42f0…5101 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xad2ff5… |
| 05-30 23:45:46 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x7eeb70… |
| 05-30 23:45:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x7eeb70… |
| 05-30 23:45:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x6ef230… |
| 05-30 23:45:40 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x6ef230… |
| 05-30 23:45:30 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x4dfb06… |
| 05-30 23:45:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x4dfb06… |
| 05-28 08:15:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x4edcad… |
| 05-28 08:15:26 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x4edcad… |
| 05-28 04:54:25 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 38 | 64¢ | $24 | 0xcd3765… |
| 05-28 04:54:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 36¢ | $14 | 0xcd3765… |
| 05-28 02:50:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x906fa6… |
| 05-28 02:50:01 | Dreary-Suggestion 0xce31…19c4 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x906fa6… |
| 05-28 02:50:01 | Sore-Elderberry-Epoxy 0x3436…c291 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x906fa6… |
| 05-27 20:19:49 | Dreary-Suggestion 0xce31…19c4 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x68a7ba… |
| 05-27 20:19:49 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x68a7ba… |
| 05-27 20:19:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x68a7ba… |