Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
open
Total volume
$1,364
$23 in 24h
Trades
117
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$406
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-18 01:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $3
vs crowd: 24% YES on $776)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $38 | $228 | $190 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $33 | $46 | $13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $102 | $289 | $187 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $14 | $26 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $50 | $10 | +$40 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $6 | $8 | $2 |
| Median | 4 | $11 | $148 | $136 |
| Below median | 8 | $8 | $49 | $41 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $17 | $39 | $22 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $182 | $182 |
| unranked | 14 | $88 | $149 | $61 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | +100 | $71 | $188 | 2 | 06-22 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +55 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-23 07:07 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +53 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-23 07:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +50 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 07-24 01:52 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +46 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 07-23 06:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +42 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 06-21 03:34 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +38 | $29 | $29 | 5 | 06-11 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | +28 | $-13 | $161 | 16 | 07-23 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +23 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 08-15 19:10 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-23 07:07 |
| Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-23 06:57 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | No | +17 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-30 23:45 |
| Sore-Elderberry-Epoxy 0x3436…c291 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fc3…12af | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-18 01:11 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 14:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-11 03:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x42f0…5101 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 23:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 23:32 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-18 01:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 01:11:10 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x118f80… |
| 08-18 01:11:10 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x118f80… |
| 08-18 01:11:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x88e77c… |
| 08-18 01:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x9fc3…12af | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x88e77c… |
| 08-18 01:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x88e77c… |
| 08-15 19:10:24 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xcb5c24… |
| 08-15 19:10:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xcb5c24… |
| 08-15 17:56:40 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x8ec4cf… |
| 08-15 17:56:40 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x8ec4cf… |
| 07-31 15:43:08 | (anonymous) 0x3230…3fbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6f2cc0… |
| 07-31 15:43:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6f2cc0… |
| 07-27 12:45:46 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 22¢ | $10 | 0x03c749… |
| 07-27 12:45:46 | (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | No | SELL | 45 | 78¢ | $35 | 0x03c749… |
| 07-24 01:52:52 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xbca91b… |
| 07-24 01:52:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xbca91b… |
| 07-23 07:12:00 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 21¢ | $12 | 0xdc6e86… |
| 07-23 07:12:00 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 57 | 21¢ | $12 | 0xdc6e86… |
| 07-23 07:07:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 21¢ | $11 | 0x38496d… |
| 07-23 07:07:28 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 79 | 21¢ | $17 | 0x38496d… |
| 07-23 07:07:28 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 14 | 79¢ | $11 | 0x38496d… |
| 07-23 07:07:28 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x38496d… |
| 07-23 07:03:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 44 | 77¢ | $34 | 0x9ee1b3… |
| 07-23 07:03:27 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 44 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x9ee1b3… |
| 07-23 07:02:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 45 | 76¢ | $34 | 0x5d83db… |
| 07-23 07:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 45 | 24¢ | $11 | 0x5d83db… |
| 07-23 07:00:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xaa3bb2… |
| 07-23 07:00:49 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xaa3bb2… |
| 07-23 07:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x1c5f1f… |
| 07-23 07:00:40 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x1c5f1f… |
| 07-23 07:00:40 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x1c5f1f… |
| 07-23 07:00:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 48 | 75¢ | $36 | 0x6ff87c… |
| 07-23 07:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 48 | 25¢ | $12 | 0x6ff87c… |
| 07-23 07:00:27 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 82¢ | $33 | 0x9620b9… |
| 07-23 07:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x9620b9… |
| 07-23 07:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x51d1a7… |
| 07-23 07:00:12 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x51d1a7… |
| 07-23 07:00:03 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x3ca32c… |
| 07-23 07:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x3ca32c… |
| 07-23 06:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x4c358f… |
| 07-23 06:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x4c358f… |
| 07-23 06:58:13 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x037ce5… |
| 07-23 06:58:13 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x037ce5… |
| 07-23 06:57:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0xc0c69b… |
| 07-23 06:57:52 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 44 | 24¢ | $10 | 0xc0c69b… |
| 07-23 06:57:52 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 14 | 77¢ | $11 | 0xc0c69b… |
| 07-23 06:57:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 137 | 84¢ | $115 | 0xf1f04f… |
| 07-23 06:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 84¢ | $34 | 0xf1f04f… |
| 07-23 06:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | No | BUY | 45 | 85¢ | $38 | 0xf1f04f… |
| 07-23 06:57:49 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 364 | 16¢ | $58 | 0xf1f04f… |
| 07-23 06:57:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 46 | 84¢ | $39 | 0xf1f04f… |
| 07-23 06:57:49 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xf1f04f… |
| 07-23 06:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xf1f04f… |
| 07-23 06:57:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 84¢ | $34 | 0xf1f04f… |
| 07-19 21:23:52 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x72ab97… |
| 07-19 21:23:52 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x72ab97… |
| 07-19 21:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x00e23e… |
| 07-19 21:23:27 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 34 | 87¢ | $30 | 0x00e23e… |
| 07-19 21:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x00e23e… |
| 07-19 06:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x047675… |
| 07-19 06:37:16 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x047675… |
| 07-11 03:54:37 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 3 | 77¢ | $3 | 0x6792f4… |
| 07-11 03:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 3 | 77¢ | $3 | 0x6792f4… |
| 06-28 09:45:32 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 18 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x6c436e… |
| 06-28 09:45:32 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x6c436e… |
| 06-28 09:45:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6c436e… |
| 06-28 09:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2a7569… |
| 06-28 09:43:47 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x2a7569… |
| 06-27 22:01:37 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd9ac12… |
| 06-27 22:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd9ac12… |
| 06-22 15:38:08 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xafcad0… |
| 06-22 15:38:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xafcad0… |
| 06-22 15:37:37 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x0869f9… |
| 06-22 15:37:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x0869f9… |
| 06-22 15:37:37 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 66 | 89¢ | $59 | 0x0869f9… |
| 06-22 15:37:37 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x0869f9… |
| 06-21 03:34:58 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xa7ab04… |
| 06-21 03:34:58 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xa7ab04… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 12 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 22¢ | $22 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 167 | 78¢ | $130 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-21 03:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xf63cee… |
| 06-17 17:08:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x066e3f… |
| 06-17 17:08:43 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x066e3f… |
| 06-17 01:58:20 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x046e55… |
| 06-17 01:58:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x046e55… |
| 06-16 23:32:20 | (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x779be9… |
| 06-16 23:32:20 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x779be9… |
| 06-11 23:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x46c83d… |
| 06-11 23:25:00 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x46c83d… |
| 06-10 14:51:24 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x7ddcc6… |
| 06-10 14:51:24 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x7ddcc6… |
| 06-10 13:08:42 | (anonymous) 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x71cc19… |
| 06-10 13:08:42 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x71cc19… |
| 06-08 14:55:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 13 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x9779be… |
| 06-08 14:55:13 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 13 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x9779be… |
| 06-08 14:55:12 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xdf65b8… |
| 06-08 14:55:12 | (anonymous) 0x3230…3fbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xdf65b8… |
| 06-03 23:29:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xad2ff5… |