(anonymous) 0xfac0cb…f7fdd8
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$86
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
325
Trades
574
lifetime
Volume
$4.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$192
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 07-03 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
46% 48% +$28
Politics
30% 47% -$56
Crypto
15% 43% +$130
Sports
6% 58% +$5
Tech
2% 29% -$21
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +52 $37 84¢ $43 +$6 05-19 09:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +110 $39 38¢ $42 +$3 05-22 11:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +24 $12 93¢ $22 +$10 05-07 15:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +37 $15 24¢ $9 -$6 05-22 09:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -8 -$6 97¢ $-7 -$1 05-07 01:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -7 -$6 97¢ $-7 -$1 05-18 19:50
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +234 $36 3¢ $7 -$29 05-30 21:22
Trump out as President before 2027? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-6 -$1 05-09 00:01
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-6 -$1 05-03 09:52
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -6 -$5 93¢ $-5 -$1 05-03 00:09
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 05-17 22:43
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -6 -$5 92¢ $-5 -$1 05-17 20:35
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 06-15 01:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +125 $22 3¢ $4 -$19 05-30 21:22
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +79 $9 3¢ $3 -$7 05-31 01:39
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +121 $8 2¢ $3 -$6 05-30 21:22
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +137 $8 2¢ $2 -$6 05-31 01:39
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +84 $9 3¢ $2 -$7 05-24 06:58
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +99 $9 2¢ $2 -$7 05-30 21:22
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +136 $8 1¢ $2 -$6 05-24 00:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +50 $11 3¢ $2 -$9 05-27 02:59
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +1 $3 93¢ $1 -$2 05-06 22:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$108 72¢ $1 +$109 07-03 11:00
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $5 5¢ $1 -$4 05-04 06:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $2 16¢ $0 -$2 05-06 11:11
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $4 4¢ $0 -$3 05-12 18:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 05-11 14:18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $15 2¢ $0 -$15 05-20 08:09