US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,102
$235,632 in 24h
Trades
76
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$419,303
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 14:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $434 | $123 | +$311 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 55 | $461 | $6.2K | $5.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $7 | $20 | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $12 | $123 | $111 |
| Median | 7 | $2 | $78 | $75 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $51 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $26 | $26 |
| unranked | 39 | $872 | $6.0K | $5.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Squiggly-Cub 0x2200…0f2d | Yes | +2,703 | $378 | $378 | 1 | 05-07 21:36 |
| Soggy-Twig 0x1dd1…a156 | No | +2,108 | $1,833 | $1,833 | 2 | 05-07 20:06 |
| Elaborate-Cashier 0xb8b4…1f6e | No | +2,076 | $1,765 | $1,765 | 2 | 05-08 03:14 |
| Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | Yes | +1,356 | $207 | $207 | 2 | 05-08 13:24 |
| Cavernous-Zipper 0x8c2f…1a88 | Yes | +907 | $145 | $145 | 1 | 05-07 22:25 |
| Grotesque-Siding 0xbb98…6d3c | No | +800 | $680 | $680 | 1 | 05-08 14:20 |
| Familiar-Drink 0xa667…84fe | No | +584 | $520 | $520 | 1 | 05-07 20:56 |
| Joseph88 0x8ed8…7c2f | No | +500 | $425 | $425 | 1 | 05-08 07:29 |
| Unwilling-Average 0xa488…7a0e | No | +500 | $425 | $425 | 1 | 05-08 09:05 |
| Sociable-Sorghum 0x947c…df65 | Yes | +267 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-08 03:14 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | +151 | $123 | $123 | 4 | 05-07 22:51 |
| Frizzy-Remains 0xe948…ecc7 | No | +117 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 05-07 21:55 |
| Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | No | +100 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-08 03:14 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | No | +90 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-08 08:34 |
| Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | Yes | +70 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 17:36 |
| Muddy-Hobby 0x8295…f68b | Yes | +58 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | +42 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 22:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb58…f580 | No | +34 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-08 09:05 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-08 07:29 |
| Growing-Mink 0x5370…ecb8 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 06:29 |
| Irritating-Cirrus 0x6a14…23bb | No | +29 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-08 04:46 |
| Soulful-Whistle 0xe6b2…1c30 | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-08 14:29 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 16:40 |
| Slim-Disparity 0xd916…d246 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 10:12 |
| Untidy-Poll 0xa803…27d6 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xcddf…8c13 | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x173a…584c | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-08 06:44 |
| High-Comportment-Signal 0x0b4e…6516 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-08 03:54 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 03:14 |
| Likable-Share 0x5af5…5fcc | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Motionless-Feast 0x0d56…d3f6 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 07:33 |
| Quintessential-Integration 0x64ee…ff19 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:02 |
| Impish-Earmuffs 0x9795…a7c0 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 03:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x91ea…a6e5 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 21:14 |
| Grateful-Country 0x0a57…d90c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbecc…f560 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 22:04 |
| Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 03:54 |
| Flimsy-Tractor 0x2d85…9eca | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 00:00 |
| Keen-Show 0x47e2…5a23 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 06:30 |
| Salty-Tube 0x17de…2506 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 06:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 14:29:37 | Soulful-Whistle 0xe6b2…1c30 | No | BUY | 27 | 85¢ | $23 | 0x8c90ed… |
| 05-08 14:20:10 | Grotesque-Siding 0xbb98…6d3c | No | BUY | 800 | 85¢ | $680 | 0xc510d4… |
| 05-08 13:24:37 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | Yes | BUY | 335 | 16¢ | $54 | 0x8ad36e… |
| 05-08 12:49:51 | Likable-Share 0x5af5…5fcc | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x57f240… |
| 05-08 12:49:51 | (anonymous) 0xcd51…50e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 83¢ | $0 | 0x479536… |
| 05-08 10:12:26 | Slim-Disparity 0xd916…d246 | No | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0x84d8cb… |
| 05-08 09:49:48 | Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | Yes | SELL | 3,462 | 14¢ | $485 | 0x97943e… |
| 05-08 09:49:22 | Criminal-Tab 0xc2a2…a07a | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x516c8d… |
| 05-08 09:05:47 | (anonymous) 0xbb58…f580 | No | BUY | 34 | 85¢ | $29 | 0x5983c8… |
| 05-08 09:05:17 | Unwilling-Average 0xa488…7a0e | No | BUY | 500 | 85¢ | $425 | 0x892a8f… |
| 05-08 08:49:22 | Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | Yes | BUY | 513 | 16¢ | $82 | 0x67abdf… |
| 05-08 08:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x1191…53b4 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x8053a0… |
| 05-08 08:34:59 | Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | No | BUY | 90 | 85¢ | $76 | 0xb03b87… |
| 05-08 08:19:40 | Likable-Share 0x5af5…5fcc | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x10b791… |
| 05-08 07:33:20 | Motionless-Feast 0x0d56…d3f6 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x3cdeec… |
| 05-08 07:29:30 | Joseph88 0x8ed8…7c2f | No | BUY | 500 | 85¢ | $425 | 0xd208d0… |
| 05-08 07:29:20 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0x9f8ddf… |
| 05-08 06:48:49 | Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | Yes | SELL | 901 | 16¢ | $144 | 0xb8a4ae… |
| 05-08 06:45:14 | Good-Natured-Info 0xc289…04f1 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xb32dee… |
| 05-08 06:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x173a…584c | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x9e5c10… |
| 05-08 06:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x173a…584c | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x255ef3… |
| 05-08 06:30:32 | Keen-Show 0x47e2…5a23 | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xf93cb7… |
| 05-08 06:29:17 | Growing-Mink 0x5370…ecb8 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x04c50e… |
| 05-08 06:25:13 | Salty-Tube 0x17de…2506 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x8c2bb2… |
| 05-08 06:19:11 | Untidy-Poll 0xa803…27d6 | No | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0xe88e4b… |
| 05-08 06:13:23 | Unselfish-Hatchling 0x8910…2873 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xc17c4b… |
| 05-08 04:46:44 | Irritating-Cirrus 0x6a14…23bb | No | BUY | 29 | 85¢ | $25 | 0xca3ef6… |
| 05-08 04:38:35 | Pretty-Reputation 0x3353…7f69 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x7b2410… |
| 05-08 04:34:51 | Outlandish-Forte 0x487b…66e6 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x7c46c1… |
| 05-08 04:34:15 | Outlandish-Forte 0x487b…66e6 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xbb2087… |
| 05-08 04:09:10 | Shameful-Clip 0x9db5…40c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x7fadbe… |
| 05-08 04:02:03 | Quintessential-Integration 0x64ee…ff19 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x81d2fc… |
| 05-08 03:54:56 | High-Comportment-Signal 0x0b4e…6516 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xbb5f0d… |
| 05-08 03:54:52 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xb9f242… |
| 05-08 03:54:47 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x755d8e… |
| 05-08 03:54:45 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xb4810f… |
| 05-08 03:14:55 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | No | BUY | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x57d0e4… |
| 05-08 03:14:46 | Sociable-Sorghum 0x947c…df65 | Yes | BUY | 267 | 17¢ | $45 | 0xe75b13… |
| 05-08 03:14:35 | (anonymous) 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x7344f4… |
| 05-08 03:14:34 | Elaborate-Cashier 0xb8b4…1f6e | No | BUY | 2,056 | 85¢ | $1,747 | 0x416f71… |
| 05-08 03:14:27 | (anonymous) 0xa951…e6b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xcaf9a5… |
| 05-08 03:07:37 | Impish-Earmuffs 0x9795…a7c0 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x932f5c… |
| 05-08 03:07:16 | Supportive-Cowboy 0xfe47…e4ec | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x570157… |
| 05-08 00:20:49 | That-Spray 0x12df…afde | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xc5f87f… |
| 05-08 00:15:18 | (anonymous) 0xcddf…8c13 | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x3ec371… |
| 05-08 00:00:54 | Flimsy-Tractor 0x2d85…9eca | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xbe94b6… |
| 05-07 23:36:41 | Grateful-Country 0x0a57…d90c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x13b282… |
| 05-07 23:01:24 | Muddy-Hobby 0x8295…f68b | Yes | BUY | 58 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x70a574… |
| 05-07 22:51:32 | High-Comportment-Signal 0x0b4e…6516 | No | BUY | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0xce9024… |
| 05-07 22:51:29 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 34 | 86¢ | $29 | 0x417667… |
| 05-07 22:25:14 | Enormous-Mustard 0x3e49…ae9d | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x36968e… |
| 05-07 22:25:08 | Cavernous-Zipper 0x8c2f…1a88 | Yes | BUY | 907 | 16¢ | $145 | 0x934da1… |
| 05-07 22:04:43 | Elaborate-Cashier 0xb8b4…1f6e | No | BUY | 21 | 84¢ | $18 | 0x22be5e… |
| 05-07 22:04:31 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x3234ae… |
| 05-07 22:04:31 | (anonymous) 0xbecc…f560 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x19353c… |
| 05-07 21:55:09 | Frizzy-Remains 0xe948…ecc7 | No | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0x3432b0… |
| 05-07 21:54:59 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | Yes | BUY | 1,021 | 15¢ | $153 | 0xa232ba… |
| 05-07 21:54:20 | Frizzy-Remains 0xe948…ecc7 | No | BUY | 58 | 86¢ | $50 | 0xddd135… |
| 05-07 21:36:15 | Squiggly-Cub 0x2200…0f2d | Yes | BUY | 2,703 | 14¢ | $378 | 0x3d599e… |
| 05-07 21:20:01 | Esteemed-Knock 0x446c…038a | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x54be7e… |
| 05-07 21:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x91ea…a6e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xa4f60a… |
| 05-07 20:56:53 | Familiar-Drink 0xa667…84fe | No | BUY | 584 | 89¢ | $520 | 0x599adb… |
| 05-07 20:45:46 | Authentic-Statement 0xc173…20f5 | Yes | SELL | 208 | 11¢ | $23 | 0x25722f… |
| 05-07 20:06:46 | Soggy-Twig 0x1dd1…a156 | No | BUY | 108 | 86¢ | $93 | 0x2fa1bb… |
| 05-07 20:06:20 | Esteemed-Knock 0x446c…038a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6fed35… |
| 05-07 20:01:23 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xa68719… |
| 05-07 19:16:17 | Soggy-Twig 0x1dd1…a156 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 87¢ | $1,740 | 0x5626c5… |
| 05-07 18:01:06 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xa7e907… |
| 05-07 17:36:18 | Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 14¢ | $10 | 0xcaf423… |
| 05-07 16:56:17 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x086527… |
| 05-07 16:51:06 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x7c869c… |
| 05-07 16:40:58 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0xaef9ed… |
| 05-07 16:22:13 | Giving-Petticoat 0xd426…334a | Yes | SELL | 984 | 22¢ | $216 | 0xe38505… |
| 05-07 16:12:02 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xa0ffe5… |
| 05-07 16:06:44 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 37 | 80¢ | $30 | 0x09c049… |
| 05-07 15:56:24 | Klutzy-Cilantro 0xfdd7…d8e8 | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xf09a0e… |