Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
18.4%
Resolved
737
Trades
118,265
lifetime
Volume
$3.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$110
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 07-02 09:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
38%
23%
-$72
Sports
33%
18%
-$32
Politics
23%
35%
+$48
Crypto
6%
32%
-$1
Tech
0%
33%
+$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -41 | -$41 | 100¢ | $-41 | $0 | 04-29 21:53 | |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -39 | -$38 | 100¢ | $-39 | $0 | 04-29 21:53 | |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | -31 | -$31 | 100¢ | $-31 | $0 | 05-23 21:37 | |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | +0 | $0 | 99¢ | $0 | +$0 | 05-23 07:45 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 5,641 | $285.4K | 143,282 | 143,282 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-11 10:04 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,577 | $136.7K | 69,249 | 69,273 | -24 | No | -$1 | 05-16 03:16 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 3,358 | $105.9K | 54,082 | 54,082 | +0 | No | -$2 | 06-28 03:45 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 3,055 | $99.8K | 50,149 | 50,149 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 04:40 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 3,241 | $97.6K | 49,830 | 49,830 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 06-16 19:37 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 2,697 | $95.3K | 48,485 | 48,485 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-30 19:45 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 3,074 | $93.1K | 46,825 | 46,814 | +11 | No | +$0 | 05-14 00:23 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,426 | $90.9K | 46,330 | 46,347 | -17 | No | -$1 | 05-12 04:59 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,823 | $89.6K | 45,728 | 45,728 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-26 01:48 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,618 | $85.2K | 42,923 | 42,923 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 18:34 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,653 | $80.7K | 41,456 | 41,465 | -8 | No | -$2 | 05-18 01:54 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 1,503 | $72.4K | 36,596 | 36,671 | -75 | No | -$1 | 05-28 03:35 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | 1,526 | $65.7K | 33,292 | 33,292 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-28 15:27 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,562 | $65.4K | 32,723 | 32,861 | -138 | No | -$1 | 04-30 22:17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 1,563 | $64.2K | 32,758 | 32,882 | -123 | No | -$2 | 05-16 03:11 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | 1,848 | $60.2K | 30,336 | 30,336 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-17 09:07 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,570 | $57.1K | 28,632 | 28,855 | -223 | No | -$1 | 05-02 04:29 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 2,058 | $55.2K | 27,917 | 27,917 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-18 04:54 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 1,558 | $54.0K | 27,320 | 27,404 | -85 | Yes | -$1 | 05-13 08:17 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | 1,347 | $51.9K | 26,291 | 26,232 | +59 | No | +$0 | 05-27 14:40 |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 1,379 | $50.1K | 25,163 | 25,163 | -0 | No | $0 | 05-16 14:24 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | 850 | $45.0K | 22,549 | 22,549 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-12 08:02 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,615 | $44.1K | 22,218 | 22,218 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-16 18:26 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | 1,121 | $43.2K | 22,109 | 22,109 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-14 15:46 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 1,493 | $42.8K | 21,649 | 21,680 | -32 | No | -$1 | 05-29 09:12 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | 1,405 | $42.1K | 21,434 | 21,434 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 05-26 01:23 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,262 | $37.5K | 19,148 | 19,148 | +0 | No | -$1 | 07-02 09:10 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1,545 | $37.4K | 19,139 | 19,139 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-29 10:10 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,021 | $30.9K | 15,735 | 15,735 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-29 19:10 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 1,293 | $30.3K | 15,349 | 15,349 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-30 22:48 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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