Cuddly-Ozone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$439

Unrealized P&L

-$1.06K

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

259

Trades

2,720

lifetime

Volume

$107.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$1.20K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Politics

68% 43% +$1,246

Other

32% 39% -$827

Sports

0% 100% +$22

Crypto

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	+3,600	$1,958	29¢	$1.0K	-$914	10-20 11:59
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+2,000	$212	5¢	$91	-$121	10-21 14:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	-47	-$29	94¢	$-45	-$16	04-30 08:06
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+235	$10	7¢	$18	+$7	09-15 13:08
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$21	4¢	$0	-$21	07-24 15:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	48	$11.7K	15,555	15,555	+0	No	+$193	04-01 06:36
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	29	$4.0K	3,616	3,586	+30	Yes	+$1,615	01-06 16:05
trump invokes war powers against iran by march 31 2026	36	$3.9K	4,083	2,211	+1,872	Yes	+$1,087	03-02 02:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	38	$3.5K	2,995	3,000	-5	No	+$58	04-26 08:18
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	90	$3.5K	6,001	5,854	+147	No	+$2,910	03-25 18:25
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	21	$2.9K	2,310	2,310	+0	No	+$425	01-27 16:05
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	28	$2.6K	4,550	950	+3,600	open	—	10-20 11:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	10	$2.1K	1,537	1,537	+0	Yes	+$9	04-08 19:02
will the us invade iran by march 31	6	$1.9K	7,100	6,450	+650	No	-$177	03-27 06:27
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?	1	$1.9K	2,437	0	+2,437	open	—	10-21 14:56
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	14	$1.9K	1,379	1,760	-381	Yes	+$542	02-02 18:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	86	$1.8K	21,000	23,500	-2,500	No	+$57	03-20 20:30
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	22	$1.8K	9,514	1,500	+8,014	No	-$1,163	04-12 19:00
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	19	$1.7K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	-$430	03-20 20:35
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?	42	$1.7K	1,473	1,000	+473	Yes	+$685	05-09 02:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$53	04-04 12:33
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	15	$1.4K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	Yes	-$473	03-28 19:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$1.3K	795	795	+0	No	+$195	04-05 18:49
will the us next strike iran during the week of february 15 21 2026 et	6	$1.3K	1,000	500	+500	No	+$200	02-22 17:46
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$121	05-14 21:23
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$1.2K	834	834	+0	Yes	+$367	05-08 17:24
another us government shutdown by february 14	30	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	-0	No	+$82	02-05 11:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	9	$1.2K	3,076	3,076	+0	No	-$88	03-15 10:02
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	3	$1.2K	594	594	+0	No	-$12	04-03 21:14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$1.2K	1,600	886	+714	Yes	-$58	03-02 15:17
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	9	$1.2K	785	960	-175	No	+$155	04-07 22:40
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	10	$1.1K	875	1,125	-250	No	+$129	01-21 20:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	51	$1.0K	3,500	2,641	+860	No	+$367	07-04 03:18
odds of khamenei out by march 31 over 40 in february	5	$1.0K	1,004	1,004	+0	Yes	+$935	02-28 08:43
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$400	05-21 22:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:56:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x040b06…
10-24 15:03:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x71a195…
10-23 19:27:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x31d8f8…
10-22 14:12:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x4be17a…
10-22 14:04:36	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x1a4f10…
10-22 14:04:24	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xc6eebd…
10-22 02:23:23	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0xf2818a…
10-21 21:04:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xb5a0a4…
10-21 21:04:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5432ec…
10-21 16:47:06	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x3acdae…
10-21 14:57:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$92	0x72b8cf…
10-21 14:56:54	Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,437	79¢	$1,921	0xe48a90…
10-20 11:59:09	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4b8bd4…
10-20 02:03:17	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xcc0071…
10-19 18:56:45	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0x5f900a…
10-19 18:35:57	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x8291e6…
10-19 15:00:14	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x395cd1…
10-18 20:21:33	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf41dae…
09-29 16:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x782a99…
09-29 16:56:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x0a3790…
09-26 23:52:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x194b1c…
09-26 23:45:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xc39fbc…
09-25 22:06:51	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x80fb49…
09-24 00:05:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x87ae50…
09-23 21:28:11	Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xf02862…
09-23 21:27:41	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x6ac505…
09-16 00:23:15	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xa59f8b…
09-15 18:42:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xd08e3f…
09-15 13:24:54	will wti reach 115 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe9795b…
09-15 13:08:21	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	4¢	$10	0x078a49…
09-14 17:36:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	SELL	35	70¢	$25	0xadaba6…
09-13 21:25:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x6f8c82…
09-13 21:23:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5295b1…
09-13 21:09:36	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x9d27c5…
09-13 20:20:43	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xb82543…
09-10 17:47:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x931873…
09-10 14:59:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	750	5¢	$38	0x609590…
09-06 16:38:46	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xd2e26b…
09-06 14:04:48	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1c1253…
09-06 14:04:46	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb23ad9…
09-06 14:04:46	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x47f7d5…
09-06 01:43:10	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	48	16¢	$8	0x6b3073…
09-05 23:24:07	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x064898…
09-05 22:10:39	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	232	5¢	$12	0xafaf2b…
09-05 19:55:13	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xc12bb8…
09-05 18:54:06	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$2	0x25e10e…
09-05 18:54:06	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	126	17¢	$21	0x0d86da…
09-05 16:56:13	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	132	17¢	$22	0x55b72f…
09-05 14:22:33	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x092ee6…
09-05 10:43:37	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x86d4e5…
09-04 21:20:09	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x49613a…
09-04 18:02:43	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x94b0e4…
09-04 13:52:21	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x267a1c…
09-04 12:14:04	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xb7d543…
09-04 12:11:49	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x17e2e3…
09-03 22:52:06	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xbd35b5…
09-03 22:17:10	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc0b4c5…
09-03 13:31:09	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x0bb034…
09-03 13:01:48	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	269	6¢	$16	0xa7a867…
09-02 21:39:33	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xfb66fd…
09-02 21:38:42	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	750	5¢	$38	0x95fd03…
09-02 14:49:51	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0xcc9e68…
09-02 14:39:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$16	0xba9747…
09-01 21:18:39	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x63ccbf…
09-01 11:19:21	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x01b6df…
09-01 05:24:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	99	3¢	$3	0x549018…
08-31 12:59:13	trump approval up or down this week september 4	Down	BUY	158	49¢	$77	0xedcb3d…
08-31 12:57:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,299	3¢	$76	0x2d22ba…
08-31 12:53:40	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x4d41f7…
08-30 10:14:07	trump approval up or down this week september 4	Down	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0x29552d…
08-30 10:11:10	trump approval up or down this week september 4	Down	BUY	55	52¢	$28	0x2307b7…
08-30 10:10:18	trump approval up or down this week september 4	Up	SELL	60	49¢	$29	0x5aeddb…
08-30 10:05:46	trump approval up or down this week september 4	Up	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x5e4382…
08-29 14:22:37	trump approval up or down this week september 4	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd33cdf…
08-28 15:16:27	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xfa139c…
08-28 11:37:52	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	83¢	$46	0xcf8607…
08-28 06:35:55	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	68	3¢	$2	0xddba98…
08-28 00:18:25	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x5fc18e…
08-26 21:29:27	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0xd3f08b…
08-26 19:55:36	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	89	3¢	$3	0x73cfd4…
08-26 09:06:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xe75c60…
08-26 09:05:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x0f14a6…
08-26 08:09:19	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x025c88…
08-26 02:30:15	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	250	4¢	$9	0x43998a…
08-25 15:37:25	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0x8db855…
08-22 17:05:12	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xa487b6…
08-22 16:16:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xe42a77…
08-22 11:28:16	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	215	3¢	$7	0x416be1…
08-22 03:36:28	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x17a845…
08-21 07:28:40	will ethereum reach 2400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x2c42e7…
08-21 01:57:04	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	7,500	0¢	$30	0x27a409…
08-09 04:13:54	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	989	0¢	$4	0xb0c93c…
08-09 02:53:30	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x689e3f…
08-09 02:47:13	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5d7d88…
08-09 02:47:13	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x5c8e1f…
08-09 01:38:28	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4b0aad…
08-09 01:16:58	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2751f2…
08-08 17:36:36	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbdec81…
08-08 16:28:54	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfd6c73…
08-08 14:58:30	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xdb9cda…