Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,340
$5 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$677
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-10-01
last 10-31 10:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-76.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $661
vs crowd: 77% YES on $3.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $630 | $630 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1.9K | $109 | +$1.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $487 | $23 | +$464 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $62 | — | +$62 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $661 | $661 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $2.4K | $57 | +$2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $64 | — | +$64 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuddly-Ozone 0x36da…8218 | Yes | +2,437 | $1,921 | $1,921 | 1 | 10-21 14:56 |
| Optimal-Miss 0x4a2b…af20 | No | +2,000 | $420 | $420 | 1 | 10-21 14:56 |
| Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | +681 | $185 | $185 | 6 | 10-21 14:56 |
| Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | +390 | $313 | $313 | 5 | 10-21 14:09 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | +280 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 10-09 15:07 |
| Positive-Negligee 0xb93e…195e | Yes | +180 | $116 | $154 | 3 | 10-18 16:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +75 | $25 | $25 | 4 | 10-31 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb08…639c | Yes | +73 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 10-22 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | +60 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-10 15:58 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +51 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 10-22 10:46 |
| Unlucky-Anywhere-Destruction 0x1aac…66fb | No | +32 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-22 06:07 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-11 12:52 |
| Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | No | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-22 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | No | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-22 06:07 |
| Lavish-Truck 0xe7a0…69ae | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-31 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6d3…1dc9 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 13:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:59:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x907462… |
| 10-31 10:59:34 | Lavish-Truck 0xe7a0…69ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x907462… |
| 10-22 10:46:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x3386ba… |
| 10-22 10:46:47 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x3386ba… |
| 10-22 06:07:07 | (anonymous) 0xbb08…639c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 83¢ | $50 | 0xcb28e7… |
| 10-22 06:07:07 | Unlucky-Anywhere-Destruction 0x1aac…66fb | No | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xcb28e7… |
| 10-22 06:07:07 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | No | BUY | 18 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xcb28e7… |
| 10-22 06:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | No | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xcb28e7… |
| 10-21 23:26:50 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xa44bb6… |
| 10-21 23:26:50 | (anonymous) 0x4fc2…05ee | Yes | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xa44bb6… |
| 10-21 14:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x4fc2…05ee | Yes | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xb44855… |
| 10-21 14:57:32 | Unlucky-Anywhere-Destruction 0x1aac…66fb | No | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xb44855… |
| 10-21 14:56:54 | Optimal-Miss 0x4a2b…af20 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 21¢ | $420 | 0xe48a90… |
| 10-21 14:56:54 | Cuddly-Ozone 0x36da…8218 | Yes | BUY | 2,437 | 79¢ | $1,921 | 0xe48a90… |
| 10-21 14:56:54 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 437 | 22¢ | $96 | 0xe48a90… |
| 10-21 14:09:41 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0xf2bcb6… |
| 10-21 14:09:41 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xf2bcb6… |
| 10-21 09:31:50 | (anonymous) 0xbb08…639c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x4fd694… |
| 10-21 09:31:50 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x4fd694… |
| 10-21 01:22:41 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x840e8a… |
| 10-21 01:22:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x840e8a… |
| 10-18 16:53:14 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x199298… |
| 10-18 16:53:14 | Positive-Negligee 0xb93e…195e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x199298… |
| 10-15 00:36:29 | International-Footstep 0xadaf…f9f2 | No | SELL | 160 | 44¢ | $70 | 0x0921cf… |
| 10-15 00:36:29 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 160 | 44¢ | $70 | 0x0921cf… |
| 10-14 13:36:20 | (anonymous) 0xa6d3…1dc9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x2026f9… |
| 10-14 13:36:20 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x2026f9… |
| 10-11 12:52:00 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x81bcce… |
| 10-11 12:52:00 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x81bcce… |
| 10-10 15:58:57 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 79¢ | $47 | 0x2e2a1b… |
| 10-10 15:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 60 | 21¢ | $13 | 0x2e2a1b… |
| 10-09 15:07:58 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 80 | 19¢ | $15 | 0x99a03f… |
| 10-09 15:07:58 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 81¢ | $65 | 0x99a03f… |
| 10-09 09:07:54 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0x3ef7af… |
| 10-09 09:07:54 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 81¢ | $81 | 0x3ef7af… |
| 10-08 19:32:03 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 81¢ | $81 | 0x53f762… |
| 10-08 19:32:03 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0x53f762… |
| 10-02 09:33:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x8d7ace… |
| 10-02 09:33:32 | Positive-Negligee 0xb93e…195e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0x8d7ace… |
| 10-01 08:45:05 | Positive-Negligee 0xb93e…195e | Yes | BUY | 160 | 65¢ | $104 | 0x201012… |
| 10-01 08:45:05 | International-Footstep 0xadaf…f9f2 | No | BUY | 160 | 35¢ | $56 | 0x201012… |