General-Councilman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.32K

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

241

Trades

3,124

lifetime

Volume

$323.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$12.7K

11 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-27 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

70% 49% +$4,701

Politics

29% 57% -$2,501

Tech

0% 33% +$618

Crypto

0% 0% -$471

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	+10,500	$6,850	84¢	$8.8K	+$1,917	10-04 20:38
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+2,592	$1,219	72¢	$1.9K	+$634	09-28 11:21
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	+1,800	$574	31¢	$558	-$16	07-26 20:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	-696	-$403	66¢	$-456	-$53	09-13 12:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	+600	$328	66¢	$399	+$71	08-08 12:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,489	-$429	16¢	$397	+$825	10-27 10:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	-696	-$396	34¢	$-240	+$157	07-18 21:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-200	-$24	11¢	$-22	+$2	07-17 02:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	-$28	39¢	$0	+$28	06-25 20:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	+0	-$780	96¢	$0	+$780	09-09 21:49
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	$29	6¢	$0	-$29	07-27 01:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	44	$13.8K	8,671	8,671	+0	open	—	09-09 21:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	22	$13.3K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$2,626	05-31 20:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	24	$12.3K	17,900	9,400	+8,500	Yes	+$65	06-15 05:53
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	170	$8.9K	13,059	11,236	+1,823	Yes	+$4,815	09-20 20:20
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	17	$7.8K	7,500	4,000	+3,500	No	+$3,182	07-01 21:54
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	57	$6.9K	10,500	0	+10,500	open	—	10-04 20:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	20	$6.7K	6,425	6,425	+0	No	+$3,427	06-20 03:02
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	3	$6.5K	9,000	0	+9,000	Türkiye	+$2,520	06-26 02:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	28	$6.5K	15,063	3,205	+11,858	Yes	-$4,592	06-20 14:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	79	$6.1K	21,293	21,293	+0	Yes	-$789	06-20 14:00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	219	$5.2K	19,244	16,755	+2,489	open	—	10-27 10:34
Netherlands leading at halftime?	5	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$897	06-25 23:55
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	78	$4.7K	8,615	8,615	+0	No	+$775	09-20 16:42
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	6	$4.3K	6,300	0	+6,300	Paraguay	-$4,289	06-29 22:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$4.2K	22,869	15,000	+7,869	No	-$1,645	06-19 06:23
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	173	$4.0K	12,285	12,594	-309	No	+$497	09-20 15:36
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	13	$3.7K	10,700	0	+10,700	Over	+$6,952	06-26 00:08
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	58	$3.6K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$3,410	06-26 02:24
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	14	$3.5K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$3,471	06-25 21:08
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	29	$3.3K	4,079	400	+3,679	Yes	+$1,054	09-20 17:02
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	20	$3.2K	3,500	3,500	+0	Under	-$1,785	07-01 02:48
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 spread home 2pt5	28	$3.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Ecuador	+$1,976	07-01 02:49
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 2pt5	17	$2.9K	8,100	0	+8,100	France	-$2,943	06-30 22:45
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 spread away 1pt5	16	$2.9K	6,123	0	+6,123	Belgium	+$3,268	07-01 21:15
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	30	$2.8K	2,917	1,916	+1,000	No	+$379	07-26 21:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$2.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$1,210	05-31 08:02
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	7	$2.7K	3,800	0	+3,800	Jordan	-$2,651	06-28 02:49
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	3	$2.6K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$2,640	06-23 21:13
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	3	$2.6K	5,100	0	+5,100	Under	-$2,630	06-25 22:58
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	41	$2.6K	4,100	0	+4,100	Spain	+$1,524	07-19 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:35:27	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	253	74¢	$187	0xb06d27…
10-27 10:34:56	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6f51ad…
10-27 10:34:48	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	228	74¢	$168	0x246e0c…
10-27 10:34:32	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,300	16¢	$211	0x6d5884…
10-27 10:33:26	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	96	55¢	$53	0x87ae20…
10-27 10:33:00	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,211	16¢	$197	0xbe0c9f…
10-14 22:28:45	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0xef9d80…
10-04 20:38:59	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	223	73¢	$163	0xdefb9b…
10-04 12:26:47	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0xf73970…
10-04 03:01:50	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x54e351…
10-03 01:12:38	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	145	74¢	$107	0xf8e7e5…
10-01 22:47:15	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	397	77¢	$306	0xe31869…
10-01 00:52:42	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x472a87…
09-29 18:21:56	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x10a90b…
09-28 11:21:33	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf04203…
09-28 11:21:33	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xc45c0b…
09-28 11:21:14	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9befa3…
09-28 11:21:08	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$0	0x1e09b8…
09-28 09:33:50	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x58d3c8…
09-28 06:36:44	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa3fe9f…
09-28 03:34:20	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	108	63¢	$68	0xd80699…
09-28 00:44:03	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x962c34…
09-28 00:28:02	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x8e8758…
09-28 00:28:02	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	333	77¢	$257	0x0552db…
09-27 19:37:41	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4,319	19¢	$803	0x4b68dc…
09-27 18:51:54	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x4b9496…
09-26 19:56:03	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	170	58¢	$98	0x48527d…
09-26 19:33:56	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	74	78¢	$57	0x684649…
09-26 19:33:47	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xa6ff97…
09-26 19:33:41	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xf50169…
09-26 19:25:26	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	55	77¢	$43	0x7cc251…
09-26 19:25:00	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x130907…
09-26 19:24:42	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x40fb8f…
09-26 05:37:47	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x5a2d79…
09-25 02:45:32	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,866	18¢	$341	0x6900c0…
09-24 20:57:17	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	38	18¢	$7	0x9d5e13…
09-24 20:47:44	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xe4156e…
09-24 19:34:06	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$37	0x627ed5…
09-24 12:29:40	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x1ae183…
09-24 09:47:35	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x54218d…
09-24 07:34:30	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0x7d6383…
09-24 06:36:33	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x21db37…
09-24 02:31:28	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x858102…
09-24 00:14:44	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	166	66¢	$110	0x51be55…
09-23 21:36:41	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0xd25305…
09-23 14:06:07	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	34	66¢	$22	0x6adf32…
09-23 12:54:59	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x4428cc…
09-23 10:17:38	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x609657…
09-23 09:28:04	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	183	18¢	$34	0x9af2bf…
09-23 09:03:08	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	104	18¢	$19	0x5abcdc…
09-23 04:58:13	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	327	18¢	$60	0xb7bd5b…
09-23 04:55:38	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xb9d4ee…
09-23 04:54:19	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x3e418f…
09-23 03:54:23	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x2d5d4c…
09-23 03:31:02	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x3f570e…
09-23 00:22:46	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x4416dc…
09-22 22:09:19	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	53	18¢	$10	0x0bea3c…
09-22 21:13:28	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	252	18¢	$46	0xd7ef51…
09-22 20:15:54	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$462	0x519444…
09-22 20:08:33	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe6b8f2…
09-22 18:25:15	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x81b865…
09-22 16:58:34	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe9c43d…
09-22 16:57:03	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7b1929…
09-22 16:35:31	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	196	18¢	$36	0x6cb265…
09-22 16:34:49	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	997	18¢	$180	0xd109b6…
09-22 16:14:24	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x76276d…
09-22 16:14:24	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	565	74¢	$418	0x217de4…
09-22 13:42:01	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xea9ee9…
09-22 11:58:52	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xc7ad6f…
09-22 07:47:42	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x48f1f4…
09-22 07:34:07	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x295c58…
09-22 06:57:04	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xacfe73…
09-22 06:38:40	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x893067…
09-22 06:38:39	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	114	75¢	$85	0xf4c434…
09-22 06:38:39	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	237	75¢	$178	0xaed7d0…
09-22 06:38:39	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	164	75¢	$123	0x1c37cc…
09-22 06:25:24	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	81	18¢	$15	0xeeabaf…
09-22 00:42:34	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x69c05d…
09-21 23:53:45	Will Grüne win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	170	0¢	$1	0x8a8ec4…
09-21 23:53:37	Will Grüne win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x19b248…
09-21 23:42:58	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xfbbe59…
09-21 23:41:21	Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	278	99¢	$275	0xa300f2…
09-21 23:41:09	Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x04f3e0…
09-21 23:40:52	Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x3d6c99…
09-21 23:36:12	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	404	97¢	$391	0xb441c4…
09-21 23:35:07	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x1f589e…
09-21 13:51:45	Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x822e44…
09-20 22:35:22	Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x982537…
09-20 20:20:02	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x894859…
09-20 18:28:03	Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%?	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x56096f…
09-20 18:17:27	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	947	42¢	$398	0x4187c1…
09-20 18:12:10	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	53	42¢	$22	0x43e5c4…
09-20 17:14:36	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	273	18¢	$50	0xc6d314…
09-20 17:14:03	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xedf514…
09-20 17:13:57	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xbcd9a7…
09-20 17:13:52	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x496d94…
09-20 17:02:34	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	472	88¢	$418	0x132386…
09-20 16:47:31	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	700	81¢	$567	0x96197c…
09-20 16:43:09	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1,007	82¢	$826	0x72ea1d…
09-20 16:42:22	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xb0af34…