Realized P&L
+$2.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.42K
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
245
Trades
3,139
lifetime
Volume
$324.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$12.4K
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-10 19:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
70% 49% +$4,701
Politics
29% 58% -$2,424
Tech
0% 33% +$618
Crypto
0% 0% -$471
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +10,500 $6,850 92¢ $9.7K +$2,862 10-04 20:38
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2,592 $1,219 74¢ $1.9K +$699 09-28 11:21
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +1,800 $574 17¢ $306 -$268 07-26 20:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +600 $328 32¢ $195 -$133 08-08 12:38
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? Yes +180 $92 63¢ $113 +$22 11-10 19:31
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? Yes +1,404 $1,341 5¢ $65 -$1,275 09-22 20:15
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? Yes +1,350 $1,052 5¢ $63 -$990 10-28 23:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -200 -$24 7¢ $-15 +$9 07-17 02:09
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? Yes +194 $117 7¢ $14 -$103 10-14 22:28
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? Yes +100 $21 9¢ $9 -$12 05-17 15:36
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$28 37¢ $0 +$28 06-25 20:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 -$780 98¢ $0 +$780 09-09 21:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$829 15¢ $0 +$829 10-29 17:38
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $29 5¢ $0 -$29 07-27 01:23