Realized P&L (90d)
+$6.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.99K
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved (90d)
26
Trades (90d)
264
3,087 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$24.7K
$315.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$12.0K
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-10 19:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
70% 49% +$4,701
Politics
29% 58% -$2,424
Tech
0% 33% +$618
Crypto
0% 0% -$471
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +10,500 $6,850 89¢ $9.3K +$2,494 10-04 20:38
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2,592 $1,219 72¢ $1.9K +$647 09-28 11:21
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +1,800 $574 19¢ $342 -$232 07-26 20:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +600 $328 30¢ $183 -$145 08-08 12:38
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? Yes +180 $92 64¢ $114 +$22 11-10 19:31
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? Yes +1,404 $1,341 4¢ $57 -$1,284 09-22 20:15
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? Yes +1,350 $1,052 3¢ $39 -$1,013 10-28 23:47
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? Yes +194 $117 10¢ $19 -$98 10-14 22:28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -200 -$24 8¢ $-16 +$8 07-17 02:09
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? Yes +100 $21 6¢ $6 -$15 05-17 15:36
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$28 31¢ $0 +$28 06-25 20:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 -$780 97¢ $0 +$780 09-09 21:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$829 14¢ $0 +$829 10-29 17:38
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $29 5¢ $0 -$29 07-27 01:23