Realized P&L (90d)
+$5.47K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.42K
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved (90d)
28
Trades (90d)
264
3,086 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$24.8K
$315.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$11.3K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-03 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
70% 49% +$4,701
Politics
29% 58% -$2,424
Tech
0% 33% +$618
Crypto
0% 0% -$471
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +10,500 $6,850 84¢ $8.8K +$1,917 10-04 20:38
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2,592 $1,219 70¢ $1.8K +$583 09-28 11:21
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +1,800 $574 20¢ $360 -$214 07-26 20:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +600 $328 34¢ $201 -$127 08-08 12:38
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? Yes +1,350 $1,052 7¢ $90 -$962 10-28 23:47
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? Yes +1,404 $1,341 5¢ $77 -$1,264 09-22 20:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -200 -$24 8¢ $-15 +$9 07-17 02:09
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? Yes +100 $21 6¢ $6 -$15 05-17 15:36
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? Yes +194 $117 2¢ $4 -$113 10-14 22:28
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$28 33¢ $0 +$28 06-25 20:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 -$780 97¢ $0 +$780 09-09 21:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$829 16¢ $0 +$829 10-29 17:38
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $29 5¢ $0 -$29 07-27 01:23