Unlucky-Anywhere-Destruction 0x1aac8d…2b66fb Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$909
Unrealized P&L
+$460
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
153
Trades
599
lifetime
Volume
$35.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$3.11K
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 11-03 22:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Politics
72% 45% -$2,227
Other
22% 36% +$1,689
Sports
5% 33% -$361
Crypto
1% 32% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +4,953 $763 21¢ $1.0K +$277 11-02 14:08
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +800 $614 84¢ $668 +$54 11-03 23:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +300 $213 84¢ $254 +$40 11-02 23:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +241 $170 72¢ $175 +$5 11-03 22:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +170 $123 78¢ $134 +$11 11-03 17:26
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +200 $115 66¢ $131 +$16 11-03 00:04
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $79 84¢ $84 +$6 11-02 23:56
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $83 83¢ $83 +$0 11-03 00:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +217 $25 37¢ $80 +$55 09-17 19:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +100 $76 76¢ $76 $0 11-03 22:01
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +100 $45 72¢ $72 +$28 10-14 08:09
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +188 $40 37¢ $70 +$30 09-25 16:40
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +90 $48 77¢ $69 +$22 09-21 23:19
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1,190 $80 5¢ $57 -$23 10-02 15:48
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +100 $37 47¢ $47 +$10 11-03 00:05
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $26 64¢ $32 +$6 11-03 00:03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +303 $100 9¢ $27 -$73 09-21 08:45
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +101 $10 9¢ $9 -$1 11-03 19:07
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +100 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 11-03 22:06