Unlucky-Anywhere-Destruction 0x1aac8d…2b66fb Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$909
Unrealized P&L
+$838
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
153
Trades
604
lifetime
Volume
$35.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$3.48K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 11-04 03:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Politics
72% 45% -$2,227
Other
23% 36% +$1,689
Sports
5% 33% -$361
Crypto
1% 32% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +4,953 $763 21¢ $1.0K +$277 11-02 14:08
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +800 $614 100¢ $800 +$186 11-03 23:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +300 $213 100¢ $300 +$87 11-02 23:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +241 $170 94¢ $228 +$58 11-03 22:33
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +200 $115 100¢ $199 +$84 11-03 00:04
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +170 $123 100¢ $170 +$47 11-03 17:26
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $83 100¢ $100 +$17 11-03 00:00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $79 100¢ $100 +$21 11-02 23:56
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +100 $37 94¢ $94 +$56 11-03 00:05
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +90 $48 100¢ $90 +$42 09-21 23:19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +217 $25 39¢ $85 +$60 09-17 19:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +100 $76 76¢ $76 $0 11-03 22:01
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +100 $45 72¢ $72 +$28 10-14 08:09
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1,190 $80 4¢ $53 -$27 10-02 15:48
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $26 100¢ $50 +$24 11-03 00:03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +303 $100 9¢ $27 -$73 09-21 08:45
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +188 $40 0¢ $0 -$40 09-25 16:40
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +101 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 11-03 19:07