Untimely-Mood 0x0711e1…37f03c
whale bot hot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$8.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$272
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
3,965
Trades
37,614
lifetime
Volume
$194.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$2.20K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 291 days
Categories
Politics
52% 46% +$5,391
Other
41% 38% +$2,672
Tech
5% 42% +$206
Sports
1% 47% +$325
Crypto
1% 48% +$150
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +166 $156 96¢ $160 +$4 09-18 20:50
US recession by end of 2026? No +159 $135 92¢ $147 +$12 09-16 14:14
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +150 $103 86¢ $128 +$25 09-11 12:50
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +120 $47 86¢ $104 +$57 09-23 20:52
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +104 $99 96¢ $99 +$1 09-18 04:03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +100 $90 95¢ $95 +$5 09-09 18:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +91 $84 94¢ $85 +$2 09-23 01:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +119 $42 71¢ $85 +$42 10-23 00:55
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +89 $80 90¢ $81 +$0 10-12 06:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -102 -$83 79¢ $-80 +$3 09-22 17:43
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +81 $75 91¢ $74 -$1 09-15 09:22
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +76 $62 97¢ $73 +$12 08-29 08:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +76 $62 94¢ $71 +$9 10-25 21:43
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +100 $73 70¢ $70 -$2 10-09 13:49
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +68 $59 97¢ $66 +$7 07-04 08:39
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +72 -$11 92¢ $65 +$76 09-02 16:44
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +73 $49 88¢ $65 +$16 10-08 07:02
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +77 $62 84¢ $64 +$2 10-12 06:36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +68 $58 90¢ $61 +$3 09-21 21:43
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +60 $45 90¢ $54 +$9 07-02 10:40
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +56 $54 96¢ $54 $0 09-21 08:10
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +53 $47 94¢ $50 +$2 10-26 15:53
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +49 $48 98¢ $48 +$0 08-29 04:40
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +50 $47 95¢ $48 +$1 10-02 20:24
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +62 $46 74¢ $46 -$1 10-14 12:57
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -52 -$17 86¢ $-45 -$28 05-14 23:07
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +60 $29 74¢ $44 +$15 10-16 13:01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $45 44¢ $44 -$1 10-03 12:50
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +47 $42 94¢ $44 +$2 08-05 08:42
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +45 $44 97¢ $44 $0 08-29 04:50