Untimely-Mood 0x0711e1…37f03c
whale bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$457
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
88.6%
Resolved
52
Trades
25,249
lifetime
Volume
$119.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
58% 41% +$179
Other
35% 58% +$219
Tech
5% 100% +$24
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$35
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -119 $-86 76¢ $-91 $-5 07-02 00:19
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +88 $73 89¢ $78 +$5 07-04 13:28
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +124 $36 60¢ $75 +$39 07-13 19:49
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +127 $47 54¢ $69 +$22 07-19 15:58
Will Trump nationalize elections? No -76 $-63 84¢ $-64 $-1 07-17 05:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -65 $-25 82¢ $-54 $-28 06-14 11:05
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -50 $-47 92¢ $-46 +$1 06-30 09:14
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? Yes +66 $39 68¢ $45 +$5 07-17 20:02
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +56 $42 79¢ $44 +$2 07-02 10:40
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +45 $40 91¢ $41 +$1 07-20 16:46
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? No +43 $40 90¢ $39 $-1 07-08 22:34
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -39 $-32 84¢ $-33 $-1 07-02 01:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +37 $30 88¢ $32 +$2 06-14 11:06
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +37 $33 88¢ $32 $-0 07-20 17:42
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +36 $28 78¢ $28 +$0 07-11 15:53
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $17 100¢ $20 +$3 06-16 08:39
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No +28 $19 69¢ $20 +$0 07-18 19:02
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +29 $18 68¢ $20 +$1 06-22 22:40
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 +$0 07-07 05:02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +24 $16 78¢ $19 +$2 06-03 05:02
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 07-19 10:21
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? No +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$0 07-19 20:26
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +20 $16 86¢ $17 +$2 06-22 23:52
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes -301 $-15 6¢ $-17 $-2 06-28 06:20
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +26 $14 58¢ $15 +$2 06-11 05:59
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +20 $15 72¢ $14 $-1 06-25 12:54
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +53 $7 26¢ $14 +$7 07-18 09:03
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-14 90¢ $-14 $-0 07-20 19:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-14 92¢ $-14 $-0 05-31 13:16
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +18 $13 71¢ $13 $-1 07-10 18:19