Untimely-Mood 0x0711e1…37f03c Create alert
whale bot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$138
Unrealized P&L
+$428
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved (7d)
88
Trades (7d)
571
38,292 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.05K
$199.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$2.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 00:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Politics
51% 46% +$5,308
Other
42% 38% +$2,644
Tech
5% 42% +$263
Sports
1% 47% +$325
Crypto
1% 48% +$150
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +324 $107 71¢ $230 +$123 09-17 02:31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +166 $156 98¢ $162 +$7 09-18 20:50
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -171 -$176 93¢ $-158 +$18 10-21 21:12
US recession by end of 2026? No +159 $135 96¢ $152 +$17 09-16 14:14
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +150 $103 82¢ $124 +$21 09-11 12:50
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +120 $47 92¢ $110 +$63 09-23 20:52
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +155 $67 66¢ $102 +$35 11-05 19:08
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +104 $99 98¢ $101 +$3 09-18 04:03
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +105 $102 97¢ $101 -$1 11-04 23:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +100 $90 97¢ $97 +$7 09-09 18:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -102 -$83 91¢ $-93 -$10 09-22 17:43
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +622 $70 14¢ $87 +$18 11-05 23:29
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +91 $84 95¢ $87 +$3 09-23 01:35
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +89 $80 92¢ $82 +$2 10-12 06:36
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +86 $70 95¢ $81 +$11 10-30 18:41
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +80 $79 99¢ $79 +$0 10-20 13:40
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +81 $75 97¢ $79 +$4 09-15 09:22
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +113 $78 68¢ $76 -$2 11-05 20:01
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? No +92 $55 81¢ $74 +$19 11-04 04:15
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +76 $62 98¢ $74 +$12 08-29 08:34
Will Trump nationalize elections? No — -77 -$66 94¢ $-72 -$6 07-27 17:39
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? Yes +141 $89 50¢ $70 -$20 11-05 23:29
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +100 $73 70¢ $70 -$4 10-09 13:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $68 69¢ $69 +$1 10-10 20:32
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +72 -$11 96¢ $69 +$80 09-02 16:44
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +68 $59 99¢ $67 +$8 07-04 08:39
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +70 $53 94¢ $65 +$12 11-01 17:39
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +77 $62 84¢ $64 +$2 10-12 06:36
Greenland snap election called by December 31? No +66 $59 95¢ $62 +$4 11-05 13:48
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +68 $58 92¢ $62 +$4 09-21 21:43