Untimely-Mood 0x0711e1…37f03c Create alert
whale bot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$124
Unrealized P&L
+$711
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved (30d)
213
Trades (30d)
2,176
39,315 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$12.6K
$204.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$3.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 14:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 308 days
Categories
Politics
50% 46% +$5,330
Other
43% 38% +$2,548
Tech
5% 42% +$263
Crypto
1% 48% +$153
Sports
1% 47% +$325
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +438 $284 96¢ $420 +$136 11-11 14:32
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +309 $191 87¢ $269 +$78 11-13 13:36
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +324 $107 80¢ $261 +$153 09-17 02:31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +166 $156 98¢ $163 +$7 09-18 20:50
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -171 -$176 91¢ $-156 +$20 10-21 21:12
US recession by end of 2026? No +159 $135 98¢ $155 +$20 09-16 14:14
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +150 $103 90¢ $134 +$31 09-11 12:50
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +120 $47 92¢ $110 +$63 09-23 20:52
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +104 $99 98¢ $102 +$3 09-18 04:03
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +105 $102 96¢ $100 -$2 11-04 23:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +126 $83 78¢ $99 +$15 11-11 20:44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 09-09 18:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -102 -$83 91¢ $-93 -$10 09-22 17:43
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? No +90 $83 99¢ $90 +$6 09-18 04:03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +91 $84 97¢ $88 +$4 09-23 01:35
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +89 $80 92¢ $82 +$2 10-12 06:36
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +80 $79 99¢ $79 +$1 10-20 13:40
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +81 $75 97¢ $79 +$4 09-15 09:22
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No +86 $70 91¢ $78 +$8 10-30 18:41
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? Yes +141 $89 55¢ $78 -$12 11-05 23:29
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +79 $49 96¢ $76 +$27 11-13 00:03
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? No +92 $55 81¢ $75 +$19 11-04 04:15
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +76 $62 98¢ $74 +$12 08-29 08:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +73 $49 98¢ $72 +$23 10-08 07:02
Will Trump nationalize elections? No -77 -$66 93¢ $-71 -$5 07-27 17:39
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +72 -$11 97¢ $70 +$80 09-02 16:44
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +100 $73 70¢ $70 -$4 10-09 13:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $68 70¢ $69 +$1 10-10 20:32
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +68 $59 99¢ $67 +$8 07-04 08:39
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? Yes +290 $55 23¢ $67 +$12 11-13 10:35