Will Trump nationalize elections?
open
Total volume
$1,369
Trades
64
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$11,416
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-06
last 07-23 22:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $23 | $90 | $68 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $33 | $96 | $63 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $57 | $19 | +$38 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $14 | $132 | $119 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $47 | $8 | +$38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 6 | $16 | $2 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $13 | $4 | +$9 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $6 | $86 | $80 |
| unranked | 9 | $5 | $236 | $231 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | +113 | $22 | $22 | 6 | 06-07 23:16 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +105 | $87 | $87 | 3 | 07-23 22:03 |
| Noupeinnouguein 0x133a…8397 | Yes | +87 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-07 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x244c…1028 | No | +81 | $71 | $190 | 3 | 07-17 13:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | +60 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 06-13 09:46 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-16 13:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 23:15 |
| Warlike-Styling 0xc063…b8f2 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-23 22:03 |
| Tedious-Tumbler 0xcb23…8189 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-10 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc40…34ef | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 04:39 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-18 21:58 |
| Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $12 | 3 | 06-12 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +2 | $2 | $11 | 3 | 07-18 04:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a9c…e1b3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 22:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 22:03:00 | Warlike-Styling 0xc063…b8f2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x173f88… |
| 07-23 22:03:00 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 14 | 83¢ | $11 | 0x173f88… |
| 07-18 21:58:52 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb5061c… |
| 07-18 21:58:52 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb5061c… |
| 07-18 04:39:31 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x38177b… |
| 07-18 04:39:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x38177b… |
| 07-18 04:39:31 | (anonymous) 0xcc40…34ef | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x38177b… |
| 07-17 13:39:31 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 27 | 87¢ | $23 | 0x2574d0… |
| 07-17 13:39:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2574d0… |
| 07-17 13:39:31 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | Yes | SELL | 101 | 13¢ | $14 | 0x2574d0… |
| 07-17 13:39:31 | (anonymous) 0x244c…1028 | No | SELL | 32 | 87¢ | $27 | 0x2574d0… |
| 07-17 05:46:45 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | SELL | 86 | 83¢ | $71 | 0xdf0bc8… |
| 07-17 05:46:45 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xdf0bc8… |
| 07-17 05:46:45 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 81 | 83¢ | $67 | 0xdf0bc8… |
| 07-16 13:56:11 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x3de49f… |
| 07-16 13:56:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x3de49f… |
| 07-16 13:56:11 | (anonymous) 0x244c…1028 | No | BUY | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x3de49f… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Noupeinnouguein 0x133a…8397 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 14¢ | $13 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 06:58:46 | Front-Presence 0x3736…69c1 | No | SELL | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x79a8a5… |
| 07-07 06:58:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x79a8a5… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 94 | 14¢ | $13 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 103 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 14¢ | $15 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | Lustrous-Cutlet 0x2a0b…5721 | No | SELL | 412 | 86¢ | $354 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-17 13:02:37 | Grounded-Snug 0xbfb3…4b43 | No | SELL | 161 | 90¢ | $145 | 0x07850f… |
| 06-17 13:02:37 | Those-Witness 0xa5cf…e47f | Yes | SELL | 161 | 10¢ | $16 | 0x07850f… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | Yes | SELL | 143 | 14¢ | $19 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-12 17:29:13 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x0cdc34… |
| 06-12 17:29:13 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x0cdc34… |
| 06-10 07:46:19 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xa19c56… |
| 06-10 07:46:19 | Tedious-Tumbler 0xcb23…8189 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xa19c56… |
| 06-09 02:07:25 | Sentimental-Novel 0xf804…8028 | No | SELL | 17 | 85¢ | $14 | 0xeebd57… |
| 06-09 02:07:25 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xeebd57… |
| 06-07 23:31:13 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x6be731… |
| 06-07 23:31:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6be731… |
| 06-07 23:31:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x6be731… |
| 06-07 23:16:42 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x47cddc… |
| 06-07 23:16:42 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x47cddc… |
| 06-07 23:16:00 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8b1932… |
| 06-07 23:16:00 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | SELL | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8b1932… |
| 06-07 23:15:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xcbae48… |
| 06-07 23:15:54 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | SELL | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xcbae48… |
| 06-07 23:15:52 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | SELL | 109 | 19¢ | $21 | 0x1e717d… |
| 06-07 23:15:52 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x1e717d… |
| 06-07 21:40:36 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | BUY | 215 | 15¢ | $32 | 0x3ef8cb… |
| 06-07 21:40:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x3ef8cb… |
| 06-07 21:40:36 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 15¢ | $30 | 0x3ef8cb… |
| 06-07 21:39:55 | Full-Bow 0x59fe…14fd | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x889b61… |
| 06-07 21:39:55 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x889b61… |
| 06-07 21:39:55 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | BUY | 44 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x889b61… |
| 06-06 22:48:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0f48d3… |
| 06-06 22:48:03 | (anonymous) 0x2a9c…e1b3 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x0f48d3… |