Will Trump nationalize elections?
open
Total volume
$2,841
Trades
120
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$11,416
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-06
last 08-14 16:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $88 | $105 | $16 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $143 | $1.0K | $860 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $137 | $142 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $25 | $149 | $125 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $141 | $26 | +$115 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| Median | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 8 | $48 | $9 | +$39 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $13 | $858 | $845 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $80 | $93 | $13 |
| unranked | 15 | $70 | $409 | $339 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +989 | $849 | $849 | 2 | 08-04 14:00 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +250 | $24 | $84 | 6 | 08-04 14:00 |
| Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | +213 | $48 | $138 | 10 | 07-27 17:39 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +201 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 08-01 17:23 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | +200 | $23 | $48 | 6 | 08-01 17:27 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +150 | $124 | $124 | 4 | 07-25 13:01 |
| Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | +113 | $22 | $22 | 6 | 06-07 23:16 |
| Crafty-Cloakroom 0x16c8…cb07 | No | +100 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 07-27 17:39 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +78 | $9 | $15 | 2 | 08-14 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | +60 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 06-13 09:46 |
| Deficient-Warmth 0x282f…88b5 | Yes | +58 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-25 13:01 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-27 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x244c…1028 | No | +38 | $33 | $228 | 4 | 08-01 17:27 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +32 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-27 20:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +32 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 08-05 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1c0…a5a2 | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 08-08 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +30 | $3 | $30 | 6 | 08-04 14:00 |
| Warlike-Styling 0xc063…b8f2 | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-31 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb87f…f7d4 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-27 17:39 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 08-05 18:22 |
| Tedious-Tumbler 0xcb23…8189 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-10 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc40…34ef | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 04:39 |
| Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $12 | 3 | 06-12 17:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-31 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +2 | $2 | $11 | 3 | 07-18 04:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a9c…e1b3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 22:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 16:13:55 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | SELL | 22 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xe73fc6… |
| 08-14 16:13:55 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xe73fc6… |
| 08-08 15:08:06 | Ill-Fated-Browsing 0x0fe5…91aa | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x7e2629… |
| 08-08 15:08:06 | (anonymous) 0xf1c0…a5a2 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x7e2629… |
| 08-05 18:22:39 | Grounded-Snug 0xbfb3…4b43 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xcbf174… |
| 08-05 18:22:39 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xcbf174… |
| 08-05 01:06:27 | (anonymous) 0xf1c0…a5a2 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x198be6… |
| 08-05 01:06:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x198be6… |
| 08-04 14:00:48 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xe2edc1… |
| 08-04 14:00:48 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 435 | 88¢ | $383 | 0xe2edc1… |
| 08-04 14:00:48 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 12¢ | $18 | 0xe2edc1… |
| 08-04 14:00:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xe2edc1… |
| 08-01 17:27:30 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xa4fbf4… |
| 08-01 17:27:30 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa4fbf4… |
| 08-01 17:27:18 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x33b60e… |
| 08-01 17:27:18 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | BUY | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x33b60e… |
| 08-01 17:27:18 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x33b60e… |
| 08-01 17:27:06 | (anonymous) 0x244c…1028 | No | SELL | 43 | 87¢ | $38 | 0xd4935b… |
| 08-01 17:27:06 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | BUY | 57 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xd4935b… |
| 08-01 17:27:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xd4935b… |
| 08-01 17:23:00 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x8a487c… |
| 08-01 17:23:00 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x8a487c… |
| 08-01 17:23:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 16¢ | $32 | 0x8a487c… |
| 08-01 17:23:00 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x8a487c… |
| 08-01 17:23:00 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | BUY | 48 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x8a487c… |
| 08-01 17:23:00 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x8a487c… |
| 08-01 17:23:00 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 554 | 84¢ | $465 | 0x8a487c… |
| 07-31 02:11:30 | Warlike-Styling 0xc063…b8f2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xe6494c… |
| 07-31 02:11:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xe6494c… |
| 07-27 20:59:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x112384… |
| 07-27 20:59:37 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x112384… |
| 07-27 20:59:37 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | BUY | 52 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x112384… |
| 07-27 20:59:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x112384… |
| 07-27 20:59:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x112384… |
| 07-27 20:59:37 | Noupeinnouguein 0x133a…8397 | Yes | SELL | 153 | 18¢ | $28 | 0x112384… |
| 07-27 20:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x112384… |
| 07-27 17:39:51 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x395f6e… |
| 07-27 17:39:51 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | BUY | 13 | 58¢ | $7 | 0x395f6e… |
| 07-27 17:39:28 | (anonymous) 0xb87f…f7d4 | No | BUY | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0xdc030a… |
| 07-27 17:39:28 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xdc030a… |
| 07-27 17:39:28 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | BUY | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0xdc030a… |
| 07-27 17:39:21 | Crafty-Cloakroom 0x16c8…cb07 | No | BUY | 100 | 74¢ | $74 | 0x78f437… |
| 07-27 17:39:21 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x78f437… |
| 07-27 17:39:21 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | SELL | 50 | 25¢ | $12 | 0x78f437… |
| 07-27 17:39:21 | Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | Yes | BUY | 175 | 26¢ | $45 | 0x78f437… |
| 07-27 17:39:21 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x78f437… |
| 07-26 01:35:03 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xa3d830… |
| 07-26 01:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x4ffb…e149 | No | SELL | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xa3d830… |
| 07-25 13:01:21 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x5a0a1d… |
| 07-25 13:01:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x5a0a1d… |
| 07-25 13:01:16 | Deficient-Warmth 0x282f…88b5 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xf79abd… |
| 07-25 13:01:16 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xf79abd… |
| 07-25 13:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x4ffb…e149 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x19bcdb… |
| 07-25 13:01:16 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 45 | 83¢ | $37 | 0xf79abd… |
| 07-25 13:01:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x19bcdb… |
| 07-25 13:01:16 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0xf79abd… |
| 07-23 22:03:00 | Warlike-Styling 0xc063…b8f2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x173f88… |
| 07-23 22:03:00 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 14 | 83¢ | $11 | 0x173f88… |
| 07-18 21:58:52 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb5061c… |
| 07-18 21:58:52 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xb5061c… |
| 07-18 04:39:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x38177b… |
| 07-18 04:39:31 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x38177b… |
| 07-18 04:39:31 | (anonymous) 0xcc40…34ef | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x38177b… |
| 07-17 13:39:31 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | Yes | SELL | 101 | 13¢ | $14 | 0x2574d0… |
| 07-17 13:39:31 | (anonymous) 0x244c…1028 | No | SELL | 32 | 87¢ | $27 | 0x2574d0… |
| 07-17 13:39:31 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 27 | 87¢ | $23 | 0x2574d0… |
| 07-17 13:39:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2574d0… |
| 07-17 05:46:45 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 81 | 83¢ | $67 | 0xdf0bc8… |
| 07-17 05:46:45 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | SELL | 86 | 83¢ | $71 | 0xdf0bc8… |
| 07-17 05:46:45 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xdf0bc8… |
| 07-16 13:56:11 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x3de49f… |
| 07-16 13:56:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x3de49f… |
| 07-16 13:56:11 | (anonymous) 0x244c…1028 | No | BUY | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x3de49f… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | Noupeinnouguein 0x133a…8397 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 14¢ | $13 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 22:08:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x541327… |
| 07-07 06:58:46 | Front-Presence 0x3736…69c1 | No | SELL | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x79a8a5… |
| 07-07 06:58:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x79a8a5… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 14¢ | $15 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 94 | 14¢ | $13 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | Lustrous-Cutlet 0x2a0b…5721 | No | SELL | 412 | 86¢ | $354 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-21 05:55:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 103 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xeedb57… |
| 06-17 13:02:37 | Grounded-Snug 0xbfb3…4b43 | No | SELL | 161 | 90¢ | $145 | 0x07850f… |
| 06-17 13:02:37 | Those-Witness 0xa5cf…e47f | Yes | SELL | 161 | 10¢ | $16 | 0x07850f… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | Yes | SELL | 143 | 14¢ | $19 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-13 09:46:04 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xab909d… |
| 06-12 17:29:13 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x0cdc34… |
| 06-12 17:29:13 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x0cdc34… |
| 06-10 07:46:19 | Tedious-Tumbler 0xcb23…8189 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xa19c56… |
| 06-10 07:46:19 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xa19c56… |
| 06-09 02:07:25 | Sentimental-Novel 0xf804…8028 | No | SELL | 17 | 85¢ | $14 | 0xeebd57… |