Sympathetic-Shutdown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.52K

Unrealized P&L

-$56

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

247

Trades

1,642

lifetime

Volume

$44.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$190

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 11-01 00:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

53% 44% +$4,517

Politics

37% 28% +$946

Crypto

4% 29% +$1,003

Sports

3% 20% +$1,840

Tech

3% 57% +$219

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	No	+185	$82	62¢	$115	+$32	07-10 21:58
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	+185	$153	38¢	$70	-$83	09-09 13:54
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+250	$10	2¢	$5	-$5	10-11 01:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	7	$2.7K	1,788	1,788	+0	Yes	+$858	07-01 21:00
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	39	$2.3K	2,100	1,369	+731	No	+$885	07-27 14:48
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 10 2026 20260630182730888	41	$2.1K	2,099	580	+1,518	No	-$108	07-12 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	14	$1.8K	1,426	1,426	+0	Up	+$1,084	10-05 18:30
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	17	$1.6K	1,954	1,354	+600	No	+$347	08-02 13:20
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	18	$1.4K	1,646	1,646	+0	No	-$463	08-03 07:03
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$1.4K	3,509	1,500	+2,009	Yes	+$1,944	07-08 13:47
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	22	$1.3K	893	898	-5	No	+$446	06-23 16:20
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	7	$1.3K	904	904	+0	No	+$166	06-30 09:43
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	22	$1.1K	1,775	1,775	+0	open	—	08-14 18:47
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	10	$1.1K	916	916	+0	open	—	08-13 19:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	35	$971	1,255	937	+318	Yes	+$230	10-15 08:56
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	14	$939	967	844	+122	Yes	+$64	06-30 22:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	29	$893	2,221	1,605	+616	No	-$62	09-20 19:18
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	6	$860	3,157	0	+3,157	Yes	-$860	08-01 15:46
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	26	$817	2,112	2,728	-617	Yes	-$538	10-20 02:33
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	41	$794	1,026	1,533	-507	No	+$88	10-05 18:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	21	$786	1,145	1,145	+0	No	-$62	09-27 22:02
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	29	$731	843	236	+607	No	+$198	10-05 17:56
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	13	$660	444	444	+0	Yes	+$21	05-05 05:37
ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	13	$596	964	486	+478	Mbappé	-$199	10-26 14:10
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	5	$504	780	0	+780	Yes	+$275	07-20 16:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$490	500	500	+0	Yes	+$400	04-07 23:06
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	3	$483	290	290	+0	No	+$95	08-02 12:40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026?	14	$471	7,267	1,561	+5,705	Yes	-$34	08-13 21:43
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$460	420	420	+0	Yes	+$378	08-13 11:03
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	12	$453	807	772	+35	No	+$232	06-26 10:17
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	51	$417	8,040	3,552	+4,487	No	+$43	05-21 11:21
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	5	$415	319	319	+0	Yes	+$222	10-09 02:23
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	15	$412	2,957	0	+2,957	No	-$412	07-24 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:51:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x700295…
11-01 00:01:37	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	235	48¢	$112	0xe18024…
10-30 03:05:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30?	No	SELL	69	80¢	$55	0x868743…
10-28 20:44:05	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xda073b…
10-28 16:53:35	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	366	10¢	$37	0x3a1524…
10-28 13:53:40	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x57fd5d…
10-28 04:41:14	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x9aa567…
10-28 04:40:52	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	170	39¢	$66	0x038e0e…
10-28 04:36:56	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x6ce6af…
10-28 04:36:13	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x1f251a…
10-28 04:36:01	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	35	30¢	$11	0x751abc…
10-26 14:23:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x6b2da8…
10-26 14:10:57	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x960bb7…
10-26 13:57:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	30¢	$23	0x0975a8…
10-26 13:55:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x5d33f6…
10-26 00:06:50	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0xc9b007…
10-26 00:05:33	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	118	35¢	$41	0x699825…
10-25 23:20:14	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	250	31¢	$78	0xef933f…
10-25 21:43:00	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x7fd012…
10-25 20:32:39	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x05b8bb…
10-25 20:32:32	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xd5da12…
10-23 20:14:11	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	228	2¢	$5	0xc9d4d6…
10-23 20:08:54	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x7cacd0…
10-23 20:08:51	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x4db9d6…
10-23 20:08:36	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x9285f3…
10-22 03:23:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x33f6d8…
10-21 16:44:27	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0x7152a6…
10-21 16:38:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	13¢	$20	0x43078d…
10-21 16:37:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	13¢	$22	0xb39018…
10-21 01:22:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	13¢	$28	0xd603d6…
10-21 01:22:39	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	159	31¢	$49	0xfa0251…
10-21 01:19:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xab719c…
10-21 01:14:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x67f3fd…
10-21 01:08:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x3b69ee…
10-21 01:06:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x1d89c0…
10-21 01:06:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x774db0…
10-21 00:34:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	10¢	$13	0xb60a2b…
10-20 02:33:14	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	346	3¢	$10	0x5994ee…
10-19 15:52:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	128	5¢	$6	0x18b15e…
10-19 15:51:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0xbbf396…
10-19 15:49:03	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	214	2¢	$4	0x471926…
10-18 22:14:54	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	404	3¢	$13	0x235139…
10-17 18:59:26	Rutgers vs. Maryland	Rutgers	SELL	90	50¢	$45	0x5960ae…
10-17 17:38:36	Rutgers vs. Maryland	Rutgers	BUY	90	34¢	$31	0x326816…
10-17 07:14:05	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x89a183…
10-17 07:13:42	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	145	12¢	$17	0x929536…
10-17 06:36:20	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	300	11¢	$34	0x3d7a8c…
10-16 20:17:21	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	330	20¢	$68	0xc93d8f…
10-16 04:16:01	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0x921a36…
10-16 04:04:04	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2d4fc6…
10-16 03:49:07	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	1,403	3¢	$48	0xbe395f…
10-16 02:40:48	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	797	4¢	$29	0x5bf71b…
10-16 02:38:30	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	1,074	4¢	$39	0x71f8a4…
10-16 02:38:12	ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	Yamal	SELL	159	44¢	$70	0x8775d0…
10-15 10:06:28	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	145	9¢	$13	0x8239c9…
10-15 08:56:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0x1b0d5d…
10-15 08:06:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x1d1bb9…
10-14 19:16:28	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	400	8¢	$31	0x97ef24…
10-14 19:05:19	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	603	7¢	$45	0x96bf94…
10-14 02:50:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x2cb48c…
10-13 23:09:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x76243a…
10-13 23:09:27	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	137	20¢	$27	0x214950…
10-13 17:25:04	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 15	No	BUY	58	61¢	$35	0xdbdbc8…
10-13 17:24:52	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x5772e6…
10-13 17:24:25	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x062534…
10-12 06:28:50	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	No	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0x4af1cd…
10-12 06:28:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	No	BUY	68	2¢	$2	0x0e9f43…
10-12 04:20:05	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1c2797…
10-12 03:48:23	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0xec5f56…
10-12 03:47:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	60	48¢	$29	0x8c90ca…
10-12 03:46:45	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	219	24¢	$52	0xcc2196…
10-12 02:35:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	No	BUY	116	5¢	$5	0x564905…
10-12 02:33:17	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	39	59¢	$23	0x2c15e0…
10-11 23:05:17	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	No	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0x04dd0d…
10-11 23:05:05	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	No	BUY	81	5¢	$4	0x2b2ec1…
10-11 20:21:09	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x71f2e4…
10-11 20:21:04	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xd22ecf…
10-11 20:20:54	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x133910…
10-11 20:13:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?	No	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0xe237bc…
10-11 19:21:48	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xbdac6e…
10-11 19:17:00	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0x16f1e5…
10-11 19:13:55	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	183	49¢	$89	0x9689bb…
10-11 19:13:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x36f16a…
10-11 18:36:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x394dc1…
10-11 03:02:36	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xd866f2…
10-11 01:50:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x6699cf…
10-11 01:50:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?	No	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0x2163cd…
10-11 01:28:27	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x14bfb3…
10-10 20:25:49	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	252	10¢	$24	0x563010…
10-10 18:26:03	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	99	74¢	$74	0x57efee…
10-10 18:13:39	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xfbd2b3…
10-10 18:12:30	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x4eb8f5…
10-10 18:01:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?	No	BUY	38	22¢	$9	0xd65960…
10-10 04:17:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x695f4a…
10-09 20:18:28	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	69	23¢	$16	0xd9f573…
10-09 17:11:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xa88c9f…
10-09 16:56:29	Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0x70c37f…
10-09 16:56:22	Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	590	1¢	$3	0x4df954…
10-09 16:56:07	Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	368	0¢	$1	0x9477d2…
10-09 16:55:52	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	150	19¢	$28	0xc2dc72…