Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved
12
Trades
27
lifetime
Volume
$341
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$75
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 07-25 13:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
71%
50%
+$58
Other
29%
0%
-$64
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | Yes | +150 | $30 | 19¢ | $29 | -$1 | 07-25 12:59 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | +307 | $40 | 3¢ | $10 | -$30 | 05-09 12:39 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +48 | $10 | 18¢ | $8 | -$2 | 05-09 12:22 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | +167 | $10 | 4¢ | $7 | -$3 | 07-25 13:05 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +155 | $10 | 4¢ | $6 | -$4 | 07-19 13:26 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | +32 | $11 | 18¢ | $6 | -$5 | 07-25 13:15 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | +48 | $18 | 8¢ | $4 | -$14 | 05-03 15:37 | |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +25 | $5 | 10¢ | $3 | -$2 | 05-09 12:34 | |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | Yes | +31 | $5 | 6¢ | $2 | -$3 | 07-25 13:04 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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