Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,750
$8 in 24h
Trades
92
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$3,816
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-19 13:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $44
vs crowd: 10% YES on $950)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $28 | $360 | $332 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $21 | $291 | $270 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $9 | $33 | $24 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $33 | $176 | $143 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $44 | $44 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $8 | $9 | $1 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| Below median | 3 | $11 | $35 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $256 | $256 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $20 | $256 | $236 |
| unranked | 13 | $21 | $253 | $232 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | +305 | $256 | $256 | 3 | 08-02 21:08 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | +200 | $167 | $167 | 5 | 07-03 10:11 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +149 | $126 | $214 | 5 | 08-18 00:51 |
| Anchored-Bob 0xbe3d…4dc6 | Yes | +119 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 07-03 10:09 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +82 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-02 21:08 |
| Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | +71 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-06 03:11 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +60 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-15 04:27 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 08-18 00:51 |
| Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-24 17:33 |
| Deficient-Warmth 0x282f…88b5 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 13:11 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +25 | $4 | $6 | 2 | 07-30 23:22 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +24 | $23 | $148 | 3 | 08-02 21:08 |
| Forsaken-Carving 0x9923…51a9 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-19 13:00 |
| Mediocre-Peripheral 0xdebd…49f3 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-05 20:55 |
| Sociable-Resistance 0xc440…2e0e | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-26 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-06 03:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-19 13:00 |
| Inexperienced-Combat 0x0981…5b7f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-19 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-19 13:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 13:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb0491c… |
| 08-19 13:00:03 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xb0491c… |
| 08-19 13:00:03 | Forsaken-Carving 0x9923…51a9 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xb0491c… |
| 08-19 13:00:03 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0xb0491c… |
| 08-19 13:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb0491c… |
| 08-18 00:51:10 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xd0deff… |
| 08-18 00:51:10 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xd0deff… |
| 08-05 20:55:57 | Mediocre-Peripheral 0xdebd…49f3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd9c897… |
| 08-05 20:55:57 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd9c897… |
| 08-05 19:05:18 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x779d10… |
| 08-05 19:05:18 | Mediocre-Peripheral 0xdebd…49f3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x779d10… |
| 08-02 21:08:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 75 | 83¢ | $63 | 0x0b8179… |
| 08-02 21:08:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 17¢ | $14 | 0x0b8179… |
| 08-02 21:08:00 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | BUY | 164 | 83¢ | $136 | 0x0b8179… |
| 08-02 21:08:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x0b8179… |
| 07-30 23:22:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe05be0… |
| 07-30 23:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xe05be0… |
| 07-29 18:10:15 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xe11763… |
| 07-29 18:10:15 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xe11763… |
| 07-29 18:09:32 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 15 | 85¢ | $13 | 0xf802b6… |
| 07-29 18:09:32 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xf802b6… |
| 07-29 18:09:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 59 | 86¢ | $51 | 0xf802b6… |
| 07-29 18:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 14¢ | $6 | 0xf802b6… |
| 07-29 18:09:32 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 138 | 86¢ | $119 | 0xf802b6… |
| 07-29 18:09:32 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf802b6… |
| 07-26 09:46:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6bcc44… |
| 07-26 09:46:31 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x6bcc44… |
| 07-26 09:46:27 | Sociable-Resistance 0xc440…2e0e | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x6b634a… |
| 07-26 09:46:27 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6b634a… |
| 07-26 09:46:27 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6b634a… |
| 07-25 13:11:43 | Deficient-Warmth 0x282f…88b5 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x671bea… |
| 07-25 13:11:43 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 36 | 86¢ | $31 | 0x671bea… |
| 07-15 04:27:29 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xaea7f3… |
| 07-15 04:27:29 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xaea7f3… |
| 07-15 04:27:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x587ca6… |
| 07-15 04:27:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x587ca6… |
| 07-12 08:59:29 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x6058da… |
| 07-12 08:59:29 | (anonymous) 0x067a…3821 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x6058da… |
| 07-12 08:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x067a…3821 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0c5724… |
| 07-12 08:59:28 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x0c5724… |
| 07-10 00:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x1e9eed… |
| 07-10 00:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1e9eed… |
| 07-10 00:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x067a…3821 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1e9eed… |
| 07-09 02:30:56 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 69 | 87¢ | $60 | 0xf0c898… |
| 07-09 02:30:56 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 51 | 87¢ | $45 | 0xf0c898… |
| 07-08 18:32:20 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xdef6ac… |
| 07-08 18:32:20 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xdef6ac… |
| 07-08 01:10:23 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 91 | 85¢ | $77 | 0xeec5b8… |
| 07-08 01:10:23 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | BUY | 91 | 85¢ | $77 | 0xeec5b8… |
| 07-06 03:11:14 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 71 | 84¢ | $60 | 0x683109… |
| 07-06 03:11:14 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 61 | 84¢ | $51 | 0x683109… |
| 07-06 03:11:14 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x683109… |
| 07-06 00:55:28 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 80 | 84¢ | $67 | 0x66d6df… |
| 07-06 00:55:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 80 | 84¢ | $67 | 0x66d6df… |
| 07-04 12:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x32757b… |
| 07-04 12:02:08 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x32757b… |
| 07-03 10:11:28 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 23 | 84¢ | $20 | 0x043c9d… |
| 07-03 10:11:28 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 47 | 84¢ | $39 | 0x043c9d… |
| 07-03 10:11:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 24 | 84¢ | $20 | 0x043c9d… |
| 07-03 10:09:55 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 37 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x1a5617… |
| 07-03 10:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1a5617… |
| 07-03 10:09:55 | Anchored-Bob 0xbe3d…4dc6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x1a5617… |
| 07-03 10:09:55 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 53 | 83¢ | $44 | 0x1a5617… |
| 07-03 08:24:52 | Anchored-Bob 0xbe3d…4dc6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x97a3a2… |
| 07-03 08:24:52 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x97a3a2… |
| 07-03 06:51:55 | Anchored-Bob 0xbe3d…4dc6 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xdddaf7… |
| 07-03 06:51:55 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xdddaf7… |
| 07-03 06:51:55 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xdddaf7… |
| 07-02 16:31:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xaf605f… |
| 07-02 16:31:04 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xaf605f… |
| 07-02 09:01:01 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 35 | 84¢ | $29 | 0xe6aa2f… |
| 07-02 09:01:01 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 35 | 84¢ | $29 | 0xe6aa2f… |
| 07-01 22:42:55 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xcf8ea8… |
| 07-01 22:42:55 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xcf8ea8… |
| 06-30 08:02:56 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x590966… |
| 06-30 08:02:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x590966… |
| 06-29 00:27:08 | Anchored-Petal 0x06e1…696e | No | SELL | 80 | 83¢ | $66 | 0x4a5e6e… |
| 06-29 00:27:08 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 80 | 17¢ | $14 | 0x4a5e6e… |
| 06-24 17:33:52 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x75b5da… |
| 06-24 17:33:52 | Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x75b5da… |
| 06-24 17:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x75b5da… |
| 06-18 14:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6820a9… |
| 06-18 14:19:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6820a9… |
| 06-04 06:11:37 | Superb-Fellow 0x7cb6…a366 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x4cf5e9… |
| 06-04 06:11:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x4cf5e9… |
| 06-04 06:11:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x4cf5e9… |
| 06-04 06:11:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xbe6396… |
| 06-04 06:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xbe6396… |
| 06-04 06:11:34 | Superb-Fellow 0x7cb6…a366 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0xbe6396… |
| 06-04 06:11:34 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xbe6396… |
| 05-29 14:33:48 | Inexperienced-Combat 0x0981…5b7f | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x298260… |
| 05-29 14:33:48 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x298260… |