Realized P&L
-$6.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$326
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
327
Trades
3,463
lifetime
Volume
$197.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$2.92K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 20:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Politics
68% 47% -$5,498
Other
32% 41% -$913
Sports
0% 0% -$22
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,310 $938 55¢ $1.3K +$341 10-23 02:47
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +714 $360 56¢ $396 +$36 10-22 15:39
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +290 $212 78¢ $228 +$16 10-27 14:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +450 $217 34¢ $155 -$62 10-03 13:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $133 68¢ $135 +$3 10-26 09:25
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +340 $102 40¢ $134 +$32 09-27 17:22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +150 $93 68¢ $101 +$8 10-14 17:01
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,229 -$50 3¢ $-57 -$7 06-17 14:50
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +232 $62 21¢ $48 -$14 10-22 06:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +80 $49 60¢ $48 -$1 10-20 13:51
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $42 72¢ $43 +$1 10-06 20:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -121 -$22 34¢ $-40 -$19 10-08 07:48
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +115 $38 34¢ $40 +$2 09-06 19:01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +90 $23 43¢ $39 +$16 10-23 06:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $45 62¢ $38 -$8 10-27 06:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$51 18¢ $-36 +$15 05-10 20:28
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +331 $33 10¢ $31 -$2 10-12 14:50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +100 $36 20¢ $20 -$16 10-22 09:47
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +540 $13 4¢ $19 +$6 10-16 06:25
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,001 $35 0¢ $13 -$23 10-01 06:17
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -132 -$15 5¢ $-7 +$8 06-11 07:50
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +255 -$6 2¢ $6 +$12 10-27 06:34
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +550 $5 1¢ $4 -$1 06-25 10:46
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +100 $20 4¢ $4 -$16 08-10 10:05
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$1 4¢ $-4 -$3 09-01 05:14