Realized P&L
+$107
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
76.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
2,332
lifetime
Volume
$155.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$630
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-09 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
72% 60% +$69
Other
28% 100% +$38
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -695 $-329 38¢ $-261 +$69 06-07 19:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -816 $-324 30¢ $-241 +$83 06-07 19:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -428 $118 20¢ $-86 $-203 06-07 19:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-31 28¢ $-28 +$3 05-28 21:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -200 $-16 $-13 +$3 05-28 21:13
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? No +50 $2 $3 +$0 06-09 19:59