Anchored-Bob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,580

lifetime

Volume

$162.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-10 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

72% 60% +$69

Other

28% 100% +$38

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	56	$21.7K	17,121	17,121	+0	open	—	02-28 08:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	35	$6.0K	4,284	3,663	+622	open	—	01-30 23:25
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	18	$5.8K	3,112	3,112	+0	open	—	02-12 07:42
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	27	$4.9K	5,008	4,008	+1,000	open	—	02-26 19:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	45	$4.2K	2,528	2,728	-200	open	—	02-13 00:28
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	18	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-22 13:43
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	13	$3.2K	1,909	1,909	+0	open	—	02-19 22:03
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	20	$3.1K	1,748	1,747	+0	open	—	04-11 00:32
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	16	$3.1K	3,503	1,176	+2,327	open	—	02-26 19:18
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	12	$2.7K	1,200	1,800	-600	open	—	02-19 22:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	42	$2.7K	3,939	3,939	+0	open	—	03-24 18:22
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	18	$2.7K	1,380	1,380	+0	open	—	02-07 06:36
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	8	$2.6K	2,154	2,154	+0	open	—	02-24 20:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	6	$2.4K	1,286	1,286	+0	open	—	03-02 21:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	26	$2.4K	2,284	2,284	+0	open	—	02-28 14:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	31	$2.4K	2,802	953	+1,849	open	—	04-21 12:16
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	27	$2.0K	2,137	2,137	+0	open	—	05-26 05:52
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	8	$1.8K	1,143	1,143	+0	open	—	02-03 16:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	25	$1.8K	1,232	1,232	+0	open	—	04-17 12:26
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	17	$1.8K	2,094	2,094	+0	open	—	02-28 08:03
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	6	$1.7K	2,015	2,015	+0	open	—	02-28 08:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	27	$1.7K	5,209	5,209	+0	open	—	05-07 20:10
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	5	$1.5K	864	864	+0	open	—	02-27 20:18
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	5	$1.5K	860	860	+0	open	—	03-05 09:05
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	5	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	01-21 10:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	10	$1.4K	0	1,540	-1,540	open	—	01-30 16:40
us forces enter iran by march 7	4	$1.4K	1,000	500	+500	open	—	03-07 22:57
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	8	$1.4K	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	03-08 21:15
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	26	$1.4K	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	06-13 12:13
qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	18	$1.3K	910	607	+302	open	—	03-08 13:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 10:05:37	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x173a52…
08-10 09:43:33	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x41e573…
08-10 09:43:06	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xef8d86…
08-10 09:38:40	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0x6a1bc5…
08-10 08:12:01	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x091106…
08-05 15:24:51	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xbc77a3…
08-04 03:51:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x7878fb…
08-03 06:09:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	175	31¢	$54	0x85683b…
08-01 17:45:00	government shutdown by october 1 20260610162414910	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x712524…
08-01 11:11:08	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x05f9d4…
07-31 22:37:29	government shutdown by october 1 20260610162414910	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x1b6faf…
07-31 22:37:21	government shutdown by october 1 20260610162414910	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x8db66e…
07-31 22:37:14	government shutdown by october 1 20260610162414910	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x104acc…
07-31 22:37:08	government shutdown by october 1 20260610162414910	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdba546…
07-31 21:14:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	83	95¢	$79	0xf186c6…
07-31 13:33:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x2b8bb4…
07-31 13:32:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	34¢	$13	0xcbbb52…
07-31 09:53:56	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	30¢	$11	0xda4d7c…
07-31 09:38:00	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x89dcab…
07-30 10:42:23	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	43	8¢	$4	0xab0741…
07-30 08:25:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	43¢	$51	0xf05872…
07-30 08:24:44	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x963069…
07-30 08:24:24	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x786aef…
07-30 05:02:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	250	81¢	$203	0x594c05…
07-29 18:14:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x14f8f5…
07-29 17:28:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe52b08…
07-29 17:09:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd2c114…
07-29 17:04:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0x7239b7…
07-29 15:11:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x80b47f…
07-29 15:04:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	91	50¢	$46	0xdf3d13…
07-29 13:45:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x5b4037…
07-29 12:18:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	75	54¢	$40	0xbf9b7a…
07-29 12:17:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x815511…
07-29 12:16:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	156	71¢	$111	0x1a6cda…
07-29 12:16:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	173	70¢	$121	0x02c759…
07-29 12:16:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	313	30¢	$94	0xb0ffbf…
07-29 12:15:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	138	35¢	$48	0xd0e909…
07-29 12:15:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xd3c233…
07-29 12:15:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xe238a4…
07-29 12:15:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x2a87b1…
07-29 12:15:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xfac570…
07-29 12:15:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0xd93c12…
07-29 12:15:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x74d76f…
07-29 10:44:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	171	13¢	$22	0x5c3c6c…
07-29 10:43:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd03c3a…
07-28 06:05:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	420	1¢	$2	0xddc7de…
07-27 15:30:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	SELL	145	5¢	$8	0xb01354…
07-27 15:26:04	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc280f3…
07-27 15:04:03	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x5a6bd6…
07-27 12:54:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x66aba8…
07-27 12:53:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x85e088…
07-27 12:52:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x70bb66…
07-27 12:51:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x5a317d…
07-27 09:25:42	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xfd3ef6…
07-27 08:19:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	320	4¢	$12	0x98f69b…
07-27 05:27:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	274	37¢	$101	0xe64558…
07-27 04:37:37	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0xe79fa0…
07-26 07:38:03	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6f0572…
07-25 17:46:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x3d5afb…
07-25 17:44:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	125	38¢	$48	0x35861e…
07-25 17:44:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	800	1¢	$10	0x2c40ff…
07-25 17:43:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	250	8¢	$19	0x37f537…
07-24 10:01:34	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0x95d313…
07-24 06:14:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x82a8f3…
07-23 12:24:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$18	0xe9ed7a…
07-23 09:32:49	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xa43c5f…
07-23 08:18:01	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xb1fb9e…
07-20 17:19:12	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	325	22¢	$72	0xda3726…
07-20 12:14:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	146	46¢	$67	0x53ff9c…
07-20 12:02:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x7451d4…
07-20 11:36:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x2e7fcf…
07-20 11:30:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	119	40¢	$48	0x50a988…
07-20 08:05:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x240dc4…
07-20 05:26:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x3b3d58…
07-19 19:13:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	48	58¢	$28	0x13a7eb…
07-15 13:56:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	318	17¢	$54	0xa03cf5…
07-15 11:28:38	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x67cbaa…
07-13 14:31:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	218	29¢	$63	0x58c139…
07-13 14:31:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x958241…
07-10 15:25:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0x7872ce…
07-10 05:31:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	54	20¢	$11	0xd2b9c4…
07-10 04:50:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	80	44¢	$35	0x37ce9d…
07-08 13:30:14	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	54	32¢	$17	0x874328…
07-08 08:20:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x052dfe…
07-08 08:19:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	80	42¢	$34	0x0e450a…
07-08 08:17:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xfc7480…
07-07 13:28:05	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x000f49…
07-07 13:26:07	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0xd89d38…
07-07 13:26:01	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x8b59a3…
07-07 13:19:43	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	SELL	53	72¢	$38	0x0a0e59…
07-07 13:14:35	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xcaa2d7…
07-07 13:10:40	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2f99ac…
07-07 11:20:44	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xbaa230…
07-07 11:20:28	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x0158ce…
07-07 09:47:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	167	7¢	$12	0x407c99…
07-07 06:17:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	123	8¢	$10	0x506b53…
07-07 06:17:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x085191…
07-07 06:06:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x3cfd0b…
07-06 14:44:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0x9a76d3…
07-03 10:09:55	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x1a5617…