Realized P&L
+$107
Unrealized P&L
+$226
Hit rate
76.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
2,467
lifetime
Volume
$159.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$520
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 16:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
72% 60% +$69
Other
28% 100% +$38
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -816 $-324 30¢ $-249 +$75 06-07 19:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -695 $-329 18¢ $-129 +$201 06-07 19:47
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +287 $114 20¢ $57 $-57 06-28 22:02
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-48 99¢ $-50 $-2 06-12 06:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-31 24¢ $-24 +$6 05-28 21:13
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -132 $-15 $-11 +$3 06-11 07:50