Realized P&L
+$107
Unrealized P&L
+$511
Hit rate
76.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
2,512
lifetime
Volume
$160.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$158
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-20 17:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
72% 60% +$69
Other
28% 100% +$38
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -695 $-329 14¢ $-94 +$236 06-07 19:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-31 18¢ $-18 +$13 05-28 21:13
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? Yes +119 $20 14¢ $16 $-4 07-03 10:09
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -132 $-15 $-10 +$5 06-11 07:50
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -39 $43 23¢ $-9 $-52 07-20 17:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -816 $-324 $-8 +$316 06-07 19:41
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +104 $5 $4 $-2 07-15 11:28