Square-Trust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$340

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

10,119

lifetime

Volume

$289.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

49% 60% $-848

Other

42% 67% +$509

Tech

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	96	$8.6K	9,573	8,547	+1,026	open	—	05-21 17:41
will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	114	$7.1K	17,512	15,242	+2,270	open	—	07-30 15:15
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	110	$5.2K	4,716	4,716	+0	open	—	07-24 01:04
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	64	$3.2K	2,291	2,291	+0	open	—	07-11 20:58
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	33	$2.9K	1,822	1,788	+34	open	—	07-18 21:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	92	$2.8K	7,672	7,672	+0	open	—	08-05 05:32
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	45	$2.5K	2,631	536	+2,096	open	—	05-20 15:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	29	$2.4K	1,654	1,654	+0	open	—	04-08 07:05
us x cuba economic deal by december 31 2026	31	$2.2K	2,076	1,696	+380	open	—	07-31 19:34
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	67	$2.1K	2,522	1,263	+1,259	open	—	01-07 04:07
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	224	$2.1K	8,730	2,116	+6,614	Yes	+$496	05-13 17:17
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	72	$2.0K	1,207	1,487	-280	open	—	06-29 17:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	51	$2.0K	3,151	3,151	+0	open	—	06-27 17:54
moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260702184246099	73	$1.9K	1,881	1,881	+0	open	—	07-07 01:38
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	37	$1.8K	1,304	1,072	+232	open	—	07-22 20:35
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	33	$1.8K	1,669	1,669	+0	open	—	07-20 07:46
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	9	$1.8K	913	913	+0	open	—	06-30 03:13
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	44	$1.7K	2,588	892	+1,696	open	—	01-09 18:38
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	46	$1.7K	2,620	955	+1,665	open	—	05-30 18:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	16	$1.6K	1,168	1,168	+0	open	—	07-02 15:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	23	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-30 10:12
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	52	$1.6K	1,317	1,317	+0	open	—	05-18 03:40
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	49	$1.6K	1,305	1,078	+228	open	—	02-27 06:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	12	$1.6K	862	862	+0	open	—	07-22 19:42
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	75	$1.5K	2,565	2,188	+376	open	—	03-06 14:12
will israel strike 1 countries in march 2026	42	$1.5K	968	758	+210	open	—	02-28 21:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-28 15:58
israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	12	$1.5K	1,043	701	+342	open	—	07-28 22:49
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	21	$1.5K	1,555	490	+1,065	open	—	07-30 03:22
will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	49	$1.5K	8,552	3,006	+5,545	open	—	07-29 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:04:43	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x4a3711…
08-10 14:03:46	trump announces lisa cook termination by september 30 20260807185637360	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xe6020c…
08-10 13:41:25	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0xc83418…
08-10 12:25:46	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	67	75¢	$50	0xb1c490…
08-10 11:04:03	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	87	67¢	$59	0x4d741f…
08-10 09:03:46	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	278	51¢	$142	0x83f609…
08-10 08:56:37	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	140	75¢	$106	0xe99c61…
08-10 07:34:04	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by august 15 1785441877172	Yes	SELL	86	38¢	$33	0x886792…
08-09 23:57:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	97	28¢	$27	0xe7378f…
08-09 23:08:18	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x153841…
08-09 22:40:42	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xaed26a…
08-09 21:11:04	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x3b4303…
08-09 21:06:10	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by august 15 1785441877172	Yes	BUY	86	40¢	$34	0xe02361…
08-09 19:46:27	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x090f78…
08-09 17:38:04	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	129	73¢	$94	0x56a84f…
08-09 17:30:24	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x825587…
08-09 17:06:12	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x9e099f…
08-09 15:28:54	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	Yes	SELL	128	40¢	$51	0xcdd95f…
08-09 13:41:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	150	27¢	$40	0x3fb758…
08-09 12:34:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	150	34¢	$51	0x926422…
08-09 12:24:33	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x37cc0e…
08-09 12:17:45	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd21016…
08-09 12:07:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	150	34¢	$51	0x901969…
08-09 11:10:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0xc38244…
08-09 11:10:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	599	16¢	$96	0x535bf7…
08-09 11:08:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1,036	9¢	$93	0x651de5…
08-09 10:52:52	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	28	73¢	$21	0xfe1945…
08-09 10:52:52	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x901a6e…
08-09 10:38:00	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x6c90d4…
08-09 09:51:00	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	No	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0xbe8b0b…
08-09 09:43:43	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xe0fe85…
08-09 08:42:28	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	BUY	126	19¢	$23	0x968d59…
08-09 08:32:51	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	123	75¢	$92	0x82ae5b…
08-09 07:30:45	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0x14b172…
08-08 23:16:58	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x4460c9…
08-08 21:26:54	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x26227e…
08-08 21:13:52	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	224	70¢	$157	0x2e1b6d…
08-08 21:05:30	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xee5c02…
08-08 20:46:18	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xace07f…
08-08 20:30:36	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x5dc836…
08-08 20:23:31	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x6e66c4…
08-08 19:58:37	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30 226	No	BUY	2,079	3¢	$62	0x9cf7d9…
08-08 19:49:31	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	167	11¢	$18	0x603a17…
08-08 19:28:33	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	251	73¢	$183	0x878295…
08-08 15:28:15	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x82225f…
08-08 15:28:01	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x710fbf…
08-08 15:27:09	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x619953…
08-08 14:18:09	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xde0211…
08-08 14:17:31	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x58420c…
08-08 14:17:00	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0d9ff1…
08-08 14:16:28	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x394bb7…
08-08 14:16:12	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3473bc…
08-08 14:15:54	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x01da46…
08-08 12:30:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x7cea08…
08-08 11:29:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xeff4f1…
08-08 09:54:06	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	85	77¢	$65	0x426dc0…
08-08 09:53:49	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x713367…
08-08 09:53:48	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xc10f6d…
08-08 06:09:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x789147…
08-08 00:48:43	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30 226	No	BUY	190	6¢	$11	0xff6ae9…
08-07 20:17:16	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xb17eee…
08-07 20:06:18	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	58	70¢	$40	0xdbd26c…
08-07 20:05:49	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x437206…
08-07 15:25:58	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x16ff6d…
08-07 14:03:04	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0xb7657f…
08-07 12:19:10	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xeb55d7…
08-07 11:12:52	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	SELL	119	23¢	$27	0x0df7ce…
08-07 11:12:24	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x85727b…
08-07 10:02:39	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	SELL	127	22¢	$28	0x2435af…
08-07 09:52:36	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	80	59¢	$47	0x40417a…
08-07 09:30:45	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x4dd4fb…
08-07 09:08:09	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x21e1fa…
08-07 09:03:42	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	Yes	SELL	427	42¢	$179	0xd18d75…
08-07 08:58:27	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	276	67¢	$185	0xb1014e…
08-07 08:51:57	will grok 5 be released by december 31 2026 20260710195520922	No	SELL	68	38¢	$26	0xf4d7ee…
08-07 08:50:15	putin meets with iranian officials by august 31 20260702174616624	No	BUY	65	45¢	$30	0x496a2c…
08-07 08:49:40	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	60¢	$66	0xc566e8…
08-07 07:01:40	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x860987…
08-06 23:33:53	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xa63e52…
08-06 19:51:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x333434…
08-06 19:45:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x0a1592…
08-06 19:44:51	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	SELL	230	22¢	$51	0xcc10ed…
08-06 19:43:36	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	64	66¢	$43	0x9bcdc2…
08-06 19:17:03	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x18d838…
08-06 18:25:45	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0xdf234e…
08-06 18:25:39	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	135	59¢	$80	0x452845…
08-06 18:04:15	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x51f7ad…
08-06 17:47:42	will grok 5 be released by december 31 2026 20260710195520922	No	BUY	270	27¢	$74	0xbe67e1…
08-06 17:15:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x99df4a…
08-06 17:10:51	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	145	60¢	$87	0x786c81…
08-06 14:45:21	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x240c9e…
08-06 13:22:02	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	116	28¢	$33	0x60e8e7…
08-06 09:28:51	will trump issue a veto in 2026 20260624151248095	No	SELL	54	71¢	$38	0x1ff690…
08-06 09:28:26	will trump issue a veto in 2026 20260624151248095	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x4581fd…
08-06 09:28:08	will trump issue a veto in 2026 20260624151248095	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x99b561…
08-06 09:25:56	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x154bc5…
08-06 09:24:44	will trump issue a veto in 2026 20260624151248095	No	BUY	226	53¢	$120	0x2e78df…
08-06 06:36:36	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	66	56¢	$37	0x17a117…
08-06 06:17:29	will trump visit gaza in 2026 20260731223105589	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x90ff2f…
08-06 04:35:50	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x67d848…