Realized P&L
-$340
Unrealized P&L
+$233
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
7,039
lifetime
Volume
$145.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$3.78K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 05:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
60% 60% $-848
Other
34% 67% +$509
Tech
4%
Sports
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +827 $546 79¢ $654 +$107 06-09 11:41
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -835 $-675 76¢ $-635 +$41 06-06 11:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -450 $-263 84¢ $-376 $-112 05-29 16:12
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30? No +400 $364 90¢ $362 $-2 06-05 00:01
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +1,063 $271 29¢ $303 +$32 06-07 20:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +278 $213 76¢ $211 $-2 06-10 07:21
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No -220 $-198 86¢ $-190 +$8 05-31 09:29
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? No -1,566 $-269 11¢ $-164 +$105 06-04 13:42
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30? No +197 $84 70¢ $137 +$53 05-31 11:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -400 $-144 32¢ $-130 +$14 06-08 21:49
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +99 $88 90¢ $89 +$1 06-05 03:29
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -100 $-75 87¢ $-87 $-13 05-30 08:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +231 $83 36¢ $84 +$1 06-08 18:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +289 $53 18¢ $51 $-3 06-08 14:36
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by June 30? No +58 $53 72¢ $42 $-11 06-05 20:52
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? No -43 $-41 95¢ $-41 +$0 06-07 16:31
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes -389 $-41 10¢ $-37 +$4 06-01 23:51
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -48 $-28 76¢ $-36 $-8 06-07 23:49
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +50 $30 64¢ $32 +$2 06-07 21:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +95 $26 32¢ $31 +$5 06-09 20:37
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +50 $20 42¢ $21 +$0 05-29 13:46
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -50 $-20 36¢ $-18 +$2 06-01 04:24
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +100 $12 16¢ $16 +$4 06-06 23:32
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? No -25 $-15 62¢ $-15 $-0 06-07 20:13
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-08 05:17
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes -118 $-12 $-9 +$3 05-29 12:52
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 06-05 04:18