Realized P&L
-$81
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved
267
Trades
1,313
lifetime
Volume
$4.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$55
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-31 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
63% 36% -$43
Crypto
28% 58% -$42
Politics
7% 48% +$4
Tech
1% 33% +$1
Sports
1% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes +22 $5 50¢ $11 +$6 08-25 19:58
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +44 $18 20¢ $9 -$9 08-23 05:05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$4 09-10 15:24
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +22 $15 33¢ $7 -$7 08-25 19:58
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +11 $4 43¢ $5 +$0 08-22 02:04
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +11 $4 37¢ $4 +$0 08-22 05:45
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 08-29 21:09
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +15 $4 13¢ $2 -$2 08-01 19:07
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes +5 -$2 30¢ $1 +$3 09-11 07:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +11 $1 9¢ $1 +$0 08-22 02:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 84¢ $-1 $0 08-30 18:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 07-21 16:19
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -0 $0 97¢ $-0 $0 08-22 08:32
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No -0 $0 95¢ $-0 $0 08-24 10:28
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No -0 -$3 95¢ $-0 +$3 09-11 07:51
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +22 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-25 19:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $0 16¢ $-0 +$0 09-02 14:41
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes -0 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 08-24 10:29
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes -0 -$2 5¢ $-0 +$2 09-11 07:51
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 Yes +8 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 08-20 15:52
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -0 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 08-26 11:32