Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
open
Total volume
$8,858
$492 in 24h
Trades
682
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$40,885
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-09-16
First seen
2026-04-30
last 05-11 15:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $13
vs crowd: 5% YES on $6.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $26 | $278 | $252 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $53 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $80 | $4.2K | $4.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $153 | $165 | $11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $43 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $97 | $93 |
| Median | 6 | $8 | $215 | $207 |
| Below median | 11 | $10 | $476 | $465 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $10 | $186 | $177 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $98 | $2.8K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $5 | $169 | $164 |
| unranked | 12 | $136 | $426 | $290 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | Yes | +1,693 | $23 | $111 | 54 | 05-10 14:14 |
| Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | +1,120 | $1,157 | $4,383 | 247 | 05-11 08:37 |
| Hateful-Keyboarding 0x7f7b…68f3 | No | +911 | $884 | $884 | 4 | 05-02 01:50 |
| Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf8…b8ea | No | +600 | $582 | $582 | 1 | 05-11 09:19 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +450 | $409 | $409 | 1 | 05-09 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f6c…81b1 | Yes | +276 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-04 13:09 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +250 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-02 01:50 |
| Deserted-Stepaunt 0x6539…23ad | No | +207 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-07 04:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd87…48ff | Yes | +168 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 12:22 |
| Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | Yes | +163 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 14:16 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +142 | $-1 | $37 | 6 | 05-11 14:16 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +137 | $-8 | $33 | 29 | 05-11 09:19 |
| Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | +100 | $91 | $282 | 11 | 05-11 14:16 |
| Aged-Midline 0x7bfc…1a00 | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 00:15 |
| Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-11 15:18 |
| Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | +62 | $2 | $2 | 10 | 05-11 15:22 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +60 | $53 | $285 | 6 | 05-09 00:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-01 02:51 |
| Mediocre-Peripheral 0xdebd…49f3 | No | +48 | $47 | $47 | 6 | 05-03 19:02 |
| Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:19 |
| Far-Truth-Clover 0x4851…a6da | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-03 11:24 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +40 | $-2 | $12 | 20 | 05-09 00:14 |
| Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | +32 | $1 | $13 | 29 | 05-11 15:18 |
| Writhing-Leg 0x0cc7…7ba9 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 01:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-02 12:20 |
| Flat-Bunkhouse 0x2dad…00cb | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7155…62d0 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:48 |
| Feisty-Orientation 0xe9c1…e713 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-30 06:57 |
| Low-Label 0xa263…1a0d | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-30 03:27 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +18 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 04-30 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd32c…a4c2 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-03 04:36 |
| Warlike-Scrutiny 0x0db9…0280 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 05:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x57b0…c62e | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-03 15:20 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-01 10:48 |
| Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 15:18 |
| Well-Off-Aim 0xd245…2318 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 15:18 |
| Late-Tool-Appeal 0x3dbd…1939 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 15:21 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +5 | $2 | $178 | 18 | 05-06 17:57 |
| Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | +3 | $-1 | $3 | 10 | 05-04 20:34 |
| Crooked-Archives 0xb275…7a5c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0676…2156 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:18 |
| Vacant-Jute 0x6880…e53c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x149b…d435 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 15:22:04 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x702657… |
| 05-11 15:22:04 | (anonymous) 0x5795…30fa | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x702657… |
| 05-11 15:21:59 | (anonymous) 0xe316…1766 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc81d13… |
| 05-11 15:21:59 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc81d13… |
| 05-11 15:18:08 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7fe93c… |
| 05-11 15:18:08 | (anonymous) 0x149b…d435 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7fe93c… |
| 05-11 15:18:06 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2190da… |
| 05-11 15:18:06 | Well-Off-Aim 0xd245…2318 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x2190da… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x019670… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xafa798… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb39eb5… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | Late-Tool-Appeal 0x3dbd…1939 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x019670… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | Vacant-Jute 0x6880…e53c | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8c8a15… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x0676…2156 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2925ed… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | Crooked-Archives 0xb275…7a5c | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xb39eb5… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2925ed… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8c8a15… |
| 05-11 15:18:05 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xafa798… |
| 05-11 15:18:03 | Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xf7db2e… |
| 05-11 15:18:03 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf7db2e… |
| 05-11 15:18:03 | Fantastic-Cabinet 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf7db2e… |
| 05-11 14:16:53 | Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | Yes | BUY | 163 | 5¢ | $8 | 0xf23257… |
| 05-11 14:16:53 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 38 | 95¢ | $36 | 0xf23257… |
| 05-11 14:16:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xf23257… |
| 05-11 14:08:34 | Caring-Boundary 0xdb5d…333f | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x4c7141… |
| 05-11 14:08:34 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4c7141… |
| 05-11 14:08:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4c7141… |
| 05-11 09:19:30 | Idealistic-Methane 0xa5d8…b773 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1331d6… |
| 05-11 09:19:30 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1331d6… |
| 05-11 09:19:30 | Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf8…b8ea | No | BUY | 600 | 97¢ | $582 | 0x1331d6… |
| 05-11 09:19:30 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x1331d6… |
| 05-11 08:37:46 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x9c8eb4… |
| 05-11 08:37:46 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x9c8eb4… |
| 05-11 08:28:45 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x612b5a… |
| 05-11 08:28:45 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x612b5a… |
| 05-11 07:33:01 | (anonymous) 0xa69f…6f82 | No | SELL | 62 | 95¢ | $59 | 0x78d01c… |
| 05-11 07:33:01 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 62 | 95¢ | $59 | 0x78d01c… |
| 05-11 07:32:14 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf77302… |
| 05-11 07:32:14 | (anonymous) 0xa69f…6f82 | No | SELL | 189 | 95¢ | $180 | 0xf77302… |
| 05-11 07:32:14 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf77302… |
| 05-11 07:32:14 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 178 | 5¢ | $8 | 0xf77302… |
| 05-11 07:17:21 | (anonymous) 0xa69f…6f82 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xcc2303… |
| 05-11 07:17:21 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcc2303… |
| 05-11 07:16:58 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc14b36… |
| 05-11 07:16:58 | (anonymous) 0xa69f…6f82 | No | SELL | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0xc14b36… |
| 05-11 07:16:13 | (anonymous) 0xa69f…6f82 | No | BUY | 290 | 97¢ | $281 | 0xb9c9f2… |
| 05-11 07:16:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 290 | 3¢ | $9 | 0xb9c9f2… |
| 05-10 15:35:27 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb59514… |
| 05-10 15:35:27 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xb59514… |
| 05-10 15:34:13 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8de9b4… |
| 05-10 15:34:13 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x8de9b4… |
| 05-10 15:22:16 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3c64c8… |
| 05-10 15:22:16 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x3c64c8… |
| 05-10 15:21:41 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe08f0a… |
| 05-10 15:21:41 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0xe08f0a… |
| 05-10 14:14:02 | Buttery-Predecessor 0x000d…8c9b | Yes | SELL | 377 | 3¢ | $11 | 0x8bd7e4… |
| 05-10 14:14:02 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | Yes | BUY | 343 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x8bd7e4… |
| 05-10 14:14:02 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8bd7e4… |
| 05-10 14:14:02 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8bd7e4… |
| 05-10 14:14:02 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8bd7e4… |
| 05-10 12:11:41 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x746cb4… |
| 05-10 12:11:41 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x746cb4… |
| 05-10 12:10:59 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x263c4c… |
| 05-10 12:10:59 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x263c4c… |
| 05-10 12:10:19 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4367c6… |
| 05-10 12:10:19 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x4367c6… |
| 05-10 12:09:32 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x42658b… |
| 05-10 12:09:32 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x42658b… |
| 05-10 12:01:25 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x03c9a0… |
| 05-10 12:01:25 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x03c9a0… |
| 05-10 11:50:18 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xba47df… |
| 05-10 11:50:18 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xba47df… |
| 05-10 11:49:36 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x389f2f… |
| 05-10 11:49:36 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x389f2f… |
| 05-10 11:48:56 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x2ad9d0… |
| 05-10 11:48:56 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2ad9d0… |
| 05-10 11:48:18 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x80ba7e… |
| 05-10 11:48:18 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x80ba7e… |
| 05-10 11:40:04 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x1b6fd7… |
| 05-10 11:40:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1b6fd7… |
| 05-10 11:30:23 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcbfb72… |
| 05-10 11:30:23 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xcbfb72… |
| 05-10 11:28:49 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xbfe0be… |
| 05-10 11:28:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbfe0be… |
| 05-10 11:18:33 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfc4fd3… |
| 05-10 11:18:33 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xfc4fd3… |
| 05-10 11:17:52 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x760a56… |
| 05-10 11:17:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x760a56… |
| 05-10 11:17:05 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x11b442… |
| 05-10 11:17:05 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x11b442… |
| 05-10 11:13:35 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x25ef92… |
| 05-10 11:13:35 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x25ef92… |
| 05-10 11:08:06 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa644aa… |
| 05-10 11:08:06 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xa644aa… |
| 05-10 11:07:22 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xb82150… |
| 05-10 11:07:22 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb82150… |
| 05-10 11:06:30 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x90dfcf… |
| 05-10 11:06:30 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x90dfcf… |
| 05-10 08:42:14 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd573cb… |
| 05-10 08:42:14 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xd573cb… |