Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
41
Trades
13,892
lifetime
Volume
$33.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$103
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-13 20:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
44% 45% $-9
Politics
27% 41% $-5
Crypto
15%
Sports
9% 25% +$0
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 701 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $2 100¢ $9 +$7 06-15 11:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +12 $5 56¢ $7 +$2 06-15 05:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -66 $-7 $-6 +$2 07-03 04:56
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 06-15 04:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-30 14:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -46 $-6 11¢ $-5 +$1 06-12 14:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -16 $-3 30¢ $-5 $-2 06-27 06:25
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -20 $-1 23¢ $-5 $-3 06-19 11:08
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 91¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 08:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -6 $-3 66¢ $-4 $-1 06-16 08:12
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 74¢ $-4 $-2 06-17 16:51
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-7 12¢ $-4 +$3 07-02 05:38
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -84 $-6 $-3 +$3 06-16 15:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +7 $4 44¢ $3 $-0 06-04 11:41
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $-27 14¢ $3 +$30 06-01 16:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +21 $5 15¢ $3 $-2 07-06 10:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +4 $-0 78¢ $3 +$3 06-20 20:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +22 $5 12¢ $3 $-3 07-02 23:12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +14 $5 19¢ $3 $-2 07-02 06:34
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +3 $2 82¢ $3 +$0 06-02 14:09
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +4 $2 67¢ $2 +$1 06-14 21:51
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +45 $4 $2 $-2 06-20 00:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +16 $3 14¢ $2 $-1 06-24 14:56
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-19 13:50
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +41 $3 $2 $-1 06-12 11:37
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +6 $3 30¢ $2 $-1 06-15 22:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes -18 $-5 10¢ $-2 +$3 07-02 13:02
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +47 $3 $1 $-1 06-10 23:55
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-16 13:13
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +6 $3 22¢ $1 $-1 06-12 17:52