Quixotic-Story 0x7dc984…45525e
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
41
Trades
13,811
lifetime
Volume
$32.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$148
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-03 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
44% 45% $-9
Politics
27% 41% $-5
Crypto
15% — —
Sports
9% 25% +$0
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 701 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $2 100¢ $9 +$7 06-15 11:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -66 $-7 12¢ $-8 $-0 07-03 04:56
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +59 $10 12¢ $7 $-3 07-01 19:25
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-7 98¢ $-7 $-0 06-26 06:36
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +12 $5 54¢ $7 +$2 06-15 05:38
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -20 $-1 33¢ $-7 $-5 06-19 11:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +24 $9 26¢ $6 $-2 06-30 15:32
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +108 $9 6¢ $6 $-3 06-30 21:08
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $6 8¢ $5 $-1 07-01 10:50
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +29 $5 18¢ $5 +$0 07-02 02:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $5 24¢ $5 $-0 06-30 22:43
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 06-15 04:17
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -84 $-6 6¢ $-5 +$1 06-16 15:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $4 6¢ $5 +$1 07-02 06:22
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +83 $5 6¢ $5 $-1 07-02 03:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +83 $5 6¢ $5 $-0 07-02 02:32
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +83 $5 6¢ $5 $-0 07-02 08:08
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 08:28
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -41 $-6 11¢ $-5 +$2 07-02 05:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +131 $5 3¢ $4 $-1 07-01 16:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +50 $5 8¢ $4 $-1 07-02 09:04
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $-27 18¢ $4 +$31 06-01 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -5 $-5 74¢ $-4 +$1 06-30 14:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -6 $-3 60¢ $-4 $-1 06-16 08:12
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-7 12¢ $-4 +$3 07-02 05:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -46 $-6 8¢ $-3 +$2 06-12 14:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $2 11¢ $3 +$1 07-01 03:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +7 $4 46¢ $3 $-0 06-04 11:41
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -38 $-5 8¢ $-3 +$2 07-01 13:00
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +45 $4 7¢ $3 $-1 06-20 00:08