Quixotic-Story 0x7dc984…45525e
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$45
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
41
Trades
9,098
lifetime
Volume
$19.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$144
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-13 06:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
50% 45% $-9
Politics
25% 41% $-5
Crypto
17% — —
Tech
5% — —
Sports
3% 25% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 701 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +12 $6 83¢ $10 +$4 06-01 03:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? No +8 $6 97¢ $8 +$2 06-08 04:55
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +75 $6 10¢ $8 +$2 05-30 05:13
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +42 $5 18¢ $7 +$2 06-13 04:08
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -8 $-7 86¢ $-7 +$0 06-01 17:50
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-6 96¢ $-7 $-1 05-30 00:31
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $-27 24¢ $6 +$33 06-01 16:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -66 $-6 8¢ $-6 +$0 06-06 08:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -46 $-6 12¢ $-5 +$0 06-12 14:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +10 $5 48¢ $5 $-0 06-10 00:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 06-12 15:10
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 05-28 12:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? Yes +24 $4 19¢ $4 +$1 06-12 01:03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-4 87¢ $-4 $-0 05-28 09:49
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-4 14¢ $-4 $-0 06-06 06:42
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 83¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 08:28
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? Yes -27 $-8 15¢ $-4 +$4 06-04 15:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-12 19:21
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes -72 $-3 5¢ $-4 $-1 06-12 12:12
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-12 11:50
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -5 $-4 76¢ $-4 +$0 05-28 16:46
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +217 $0 2¢ $4 +$4 06-12 20:36
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes -13 $-2 29¢ $-4 $-2 06-11 16:08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +7 $4 52¢ $4 +$0 06-04 11:41
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +5 $4 71¢ $4 $-1 06-13 05:25
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +48 $3 7¢ $3 +$0 06-13 07:53
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +42 $3 8¢ $3 +$1 06-12 13:38
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -6 $-2 48¢ $-3 $-1 06-06 11:51
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +27 $3 12¢ $3 +$0 06-13 07:49
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +117 $7 3¢ $3 $-4 06-13 01:11