Putrid-Penny-Shine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.32K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

5,651

Trades

24,511

lifetime

Volume

$8.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-28 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Other

72% 32% +$1,301

Sports

14% 23% +$76

Crypto

7% 16% -$155

Politics

6% 33% +$46

Tech

2% 66% +$50

Pop-Culture

0% 59% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No		+2	$0	5¢	$0	+$0	10-22 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
T20 BIFA Cup, Women: Thunder Xi vs Kokrajhar - Completed match?	10	$97	129	134	-5	No	+$19	04-22 11:54
fr2 pau asn 2026 08 21 spread away 2pt5	12	$93	111	111	+0	Pau FC	+$88	08-15 07:21
auc sm fcf 2026 08 09 btts second half	3	$56	56	56	+0	Yes	+$55	08-09 11:08
Bucks vs. 76ers: Team to Score First	3	$56	56	56	+0	76ers	+$55	10-25 02:33
auc sm fcf 2026 08 09 second half total 1pt5	2	$56	56	56	+0	Over	+$55	08-09 11:08
Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	6	$50	24	53	-29	Team G	+$2	05-30 09:59
cs2 og1 zerote 2026 08 28 game1	12	$47	111	110	+1	ex-Zero Tenacity	+$45	08-28 11:59
ESTAC Troyes vs. FC Goal: Neither team to score first?	8	$39	50	50	+0	No	+$36	07-31 13:21
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)	56	$38	87	51	+36	Rosenborg BK	+$26	05-16 03:51
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game1 first blood	6	$38	38	38	+0	T1	+$37	07-04 06:29
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	13	$38	130	113	+16	Over	+$29	05-21 21:48
will iran be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003054	13	$37	78	41	+36	No	+$33	06-28 03:58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,700 in May?	3	$35	869	84	+785	Yes	+$32	05-01 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	115	$32	726	627	+100	No	+$66	05-04 13:51
will korea or korean be in the headlines this week 20260703145631098	6	$31	72	33	+39	No	+$30	07-12 08:58
will shocking be in the headlines this week 20260703145631107	6	$31	72	38	+34	No	+$29	07-13 00:03
will mexico be in the headlines this week 20260703145631105	11	$30	70	65	+5	No	+$28	07-13 02:51
ethereum above 2305 on april 22 2026 2am et	29	$29	628	52	+576	Yes	+$16	04-22 05:43
will shintaro mochizuki advance to the quarterfinals in gentlemens singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629160811174	7	$28	84	28	+57	No	+$26	07-05 20:56
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5 Corners	2	$28	56	56	+0	Over	+$27	06-14 02:42
Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)	10	$28	306	57	+249	CR Flamengo	+$26	05-22 01:56
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half team total home 1pt5	9	$26	51	51	+0	Under	+$25	06-17 17:51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	88	$26	1,476	1,151	+325	No	+$12	05-16 00:59
crict20blastl2w lei nor 2026 06 07	15	$25	53	34	+19	Northamptonshire Steelbacks	+$22	06-08 04:46
mlb bal tor 2026 09 11 spread away 4pt5	10	$25	50	50	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$23	09-12 00:39
ethereum above 2290 on april 22 2026 2am et	26	$24	541	60	+481	Yes	+$13	04-22 05:43
Will Thespa Gunma win on 2026-04-29?	3	$24	24	24	+0	No	+$23	04-29 06:39
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half team total away 0pt5	13	$23	64	23	+41	Over	+$21	06-17 17:52
cs2 prv lgc 2026 06 13 game1 round handicap lgc 3pt5	6	$23	23	23	+0	Legacy	+$22	06-13 16:59
nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	10	$23	51	209	-158	Over	-$49	06-05 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:48:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xa92e5e…
10-28 01:36:39	Exact Margin: Other	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6ec39c…
10-28 01:36:36	Exact Margin: Other	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x080717…
10-28 01:00:06	Exact Margin: Other	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x783311…
10-28 00:45:09	Exact Margin: Other	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb8190…
10-27 23:10:41	Bill Maher visits White House again in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x785215…
10-27 23:10:30	Bill Maher visits White House again in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xac7a17…
10-27 22:35:20	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x19194a…
10-27 20:57:57	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x5b66c7…
10-27 20:56:18	Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xfb550f…
10-27 20:55:15	M25 Malta: Robert Strombachs vs Viacheslav Ovchinnikov	Viacheslav Ovchinnikov	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x132539…
10-27 20:54:57	M25 Malta: Robert Strombachs vs Viacheslav Ovchinnikov	Viacheslav Ovchinnikov	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5f1ed9…
10-27 20:40:11	Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Lilmix (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Lilmix	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xf12deb…
10-27 20:12:53	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x12f1ca…
10-27 20:08:27	Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x66c93d…
10-27 20:01:17	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0xe52cfa…
10-27 20:01:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x318020…
10-27 20:00:12	Will HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x2a64a6…
10-27 16:49:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x326040…
10-27 16:48:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xfcb058…
10-27 16:00:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x8a0426…
10-27 13:49:23	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xd90a4b…
10-27 13:35:05	Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5e1c0c…
10-27 13:35:00	Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x116f4a…
10-27 13:01:38	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x61fee4…
10-27 13:01:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xca65a8…
10-27 11:41:12	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x1fc44d…
10-27 10:02:23	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x278458…
10-27 04:03:53	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x82cd70…
10-27 02:10:42	Bill Maher visits White House again in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xcfcbb8…
10-27 00:10:17	Will Anyone's Legend Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x932cc1…
10-27 00:09:51	Will Anyone's Legend Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x601dd2…
10-27 00:08:32	Will Anyone's Legend Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xae60c2…
10-26 22:53:41	Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x68b6fd…
10-26 22:42:44	Will Anyone's Legend Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2b2ede…
10-26 22:42:41	Will Anyone's Legend Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x79a045…
10-26 22:42:38	Will Anyone's Legend Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x20f71d…
10-26 22:41:29	Counter-Strike: prodigy vs X-CITY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	X-CITY	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x267245…
10-26 21:14:09	Will Miami (OH) RedHawks Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xdb3d17…
10-26 20:39:14	Will Team Secret Whales Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xbe48a8…
10-26 20:37:06	Will Team Secret Whales Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x7d7ad4…
10-26 20:37:05	Will Team Secret Whales Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x59f30f…
10-26 20:26:59	Will Team Secret Whales Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x25993a…
10-26 20:24:08	Will Team Secret Whales Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1e4dd0…
10-26 20:10:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x1e6f96…
10-26 20:10:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xc58b25…
10-26 18:43:36	Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x5e5ac6…
10-26 18:42:29	Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4b6919…
10-26 18:37:56	Will Phil Owen win the next Brighton mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x57dfa6…
10-26 18:36:47	Will Puka Nacua have 1,724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2bcf57…
10-26 17:29:33	Will Meta (META) close above $780 end of October?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0c1261…
10-26 17:28:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4f5d38…
10-26 17:28:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xd0e1b1…
10-26 17:28:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4527ee…
10-26 17:25:39	Will Meta (META) close above $780 end of October?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd60f97…
10-26 16:19:12	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x90c51c…
10-26 15:50:17	Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x255ca2…
10-26 15:48:47	Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6c22c0…
10-26 15:48:47	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x447962…
10-26 15:48:47	Will Anthropic have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x208e5c…
10-26 15:48:06	Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xa153db…
10-26 15:48:06	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x990cce…
10-26 15:48:06	Will Anthropic have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x5ac04f…
10-26 15:44:36	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x5b0f71…
10-26 15:06:48	Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa942d8…
10-26 15:05:42	Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x447afb…
10-26 15:05:42	Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0091cb…
10-26 14:57:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x57a926…
10-26 14:52:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x5b3451…
10-26 14:51:48	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x5f8ae4…
10-26 14:30:33	Will Meta (META) close above $780 end of October?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x147cc8…
10-26 14:27:06	Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xbf8dcd…
10-26 14:27:06	Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x4ecfcb…
10-26 14:27:06	Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x405ba3…
10-26 14:20:21	Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x036370…
10-26 14:20:20	Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x9e7660…
10-26 14:20:20	Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x862149…
10-26 14:05:57	Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x81f281…
10-26 13:17:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x80736b…
10-26 13:17:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0x72092f…
10-26 13:16:45	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x9523e1…
10-26 13:12:00	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x23170c…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xac4048…
10-26 12:39:06	Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd108ed…
10-26 12:39:06	Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1dfe8d…
10-26 12:38:42	Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x21c0b9…
10-26 12:38:42	Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x166d68…
10-26 12:38:42	Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x067af6…
10-26 12:27:17	Will Chovy leave Gen.G in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x59009d…
10-26 11:11:14	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	SELL	29	12¢	$4	0x4db754…
10-26 11:10:51	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xc40843…
10-26 10:54:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x27a428…
10-26 10:46:36	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xcc7f43…
10-26 10:46:35	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xea7b8b…
10-26 10:46:33	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xfd0e4a…
10-26 10:46:33	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x97b839…
10-26 10:46:32	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xbed968…
10-26 10:46:32	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x93050b…
10-26 10:28:29	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x60aaa6…
10-26 10:28:09	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xfbdeb4…