Putrid-Penny-Shine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

31.2%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

25,062 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$14

$8.90K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 11-02 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Other

71% 32% +$1,302

Sports

14% 22% +$71

Crypto

7% 16% -$136

Politics

6% 35% +$50

Tech

2% 65% +$50

Pop-Culture

0% 59% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	+46	-$2	1¢	$1	+$3	11-01 22:52
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	+0	-$6	99¢	$0	+$6	10-29 17:51
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	+0	-$5	98¢	$0	+$5	10-29 17:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
T20 BIFA Cup, Women: Thunder Xi vs Kokrajhar - Completed match?	10	$97	129	134	-5	No	+$19	04-22 11:54
fr2 pau asn 2026 08 21 spread away 2pt5	12	$93	111	111	+0	Pau FC	+$88	08-15 07:21
auc sm fcf 2026 08 09 btts second half	3	$56	56	56	+0	Yes	+$55	08-09 11:08
Bucks vs. 76ers: Team to Score First	3	$56	56	56	+0	76ers	+$55	10-25 02:33
auc sm fcf 2026 08 09 second half total 1pt5	2	$56	56	56	+0	Over	+$55	08-09 11:08
Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	6	$50	24	53	-29	Team G	+$2	05-30 09:59
cs2 og1 zerote 2026 08 28 game1	12	$47	111	110	+1	ex-Zero Tenacity	+$45	08-28 11:59
ESTAC Troyes vs. FC Goal: Neither team to score first?	8	$39	50	50	+0	No	+$36	07-31 13:21
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)	56	$38	87	51	+36	Rosenborg BK	+$26	05-16 03:51
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game1 first blood	6	$38	38	38	+0	T1	+$37	07-04 06:29
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	13	$38	130	113	+16	Over	+$29	05-21 21:48
will iran be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003054	13	$37	78	41	+36	No	+$33	06-28 03:58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,700 in May?	3	$35	869	84	+785	Yes	+$32	05-01 04:22
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	60	$33	256	256	+0	open	—	11-01 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	115	$32	726	627	+100	No	+$66	05-04 13:51
will korea or korean be in the headlines this week 20260703145631098	6	$31	72	33	+39	No	+$30	07-12 08:58
will shocking be in the headlines this week 20260703145631107	6	$31	72	38	+34	No	+$29	07-13 00:03
will mexico be in the headlines this week 20260703145631105	11	$30	70	65	+5	No	+$28	07-13 02:51
ethereum above 2305 on april 22 2026 2am et	29	$29	628	52	+576	Yes	+$16	04-22 05:43
will shintaro mochizuki advance to the quarterfinals in gentlemens singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629160811174	7	$28	84	28	+57	No	+$26	07-05 20:56
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5 Corners	2	$28	56	56	+0	Over	+$27	06-14 02:42
Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)	10	$28	306	57	+249	CR Flamengo	+$26	05-22 01:56
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half team total home 1pt5	9	$26	51	51	+0	Under	+$25	06-17 17:51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	88	$26	1,476	1,151	+325	No	+$12	05-16 00:59
crict20blastl2w lei nor 2026 06 07	15	$25	53	34	+19	Northamptonshire Steelbacks	+$22	06-08 04:46
mlb bal tor 2026 09 11 spread away 4pt5	10	$25	50	50	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$23	09-12 00:39
ethereum above 2290 on april 22 2026 2am et	26	$24	541	60	+481	Yes	+$13	04-22 05:43
Will Thespa Gunma win on 2026-04-29?	3	$24	24	24	+0	No	+$23	04-29 06:39
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half team total away 0pt5	13	$23	64	23	+41	Over	+$21	06-17 17:52
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)	6	$23	23	23	+0	Legacy	+$22	06-13 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 01:46:40	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.1500 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb6d76d…
11-02 01:46:16	will us gas price be less than 4pt15 on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x6688dd…
11-02 00:31:36	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be less than 58%?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xb0f39d…
11-02 00:16:51	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf4c7bf…
11-01 22:52:37	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x85803b…
11-01 22:43:27	Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x406ab8…
11-01 22:08:39	Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x2bd7b5…
11-01 22:07:49	Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xcb3b47…
11-01 21:58:21	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xaf1a1c…
11-01 21:02:12	will us gas price be between 4pt18 and 4pt19 on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xd03f4f…
11-01 21:02:00	will us gas price be 4pt19 or more on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd9be42…
11-01 18:05:43	Will the Los Angeles Clippers reach the 2026 NBA Cup Championship game?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x1c45ae…
11-01 18:05:24	Will the Sacramento Kings reach the 2026 NBA Cup Championship game?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x263ca7…
11-01 18:05:16	Will the Phoenix Suns reach the 2026 NBA Cup Championship game?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xdbfa7c…
11-01 18:05:09	Will the New Orleans Pelicans reach the 2026 NBA Cup Championship game?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x4fafca…
11-01 18:04:52	Will the Milwaukee Bucks reach the 2026 NBA Cup Championship game?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xf80ea1…
11-01 18:04:33	Will the Charlotte Hornets reach the 2026 NBA Cup Championship game?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xe7d436…
11-01 18:04:30	Will the Chicago Bulls reach the 2026 NBA Cup Championship game?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xc36083…
11-01 18:04:01	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be 490,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xc600bb…
11-01 18:03:31	Will the Brooklyn Nets reach the 2026 NBA Cup Championship game?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x61eb18…
11-01 17:48:48	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $690 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xa61db3…
11-01 17:38:43	Will Start be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x272b54…
11-01 16:36:34	Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x5c4587…
11-01 16:36:33	Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x1b0f3d…
11-01 16:36:25	Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe9e588…
11-01 16:04:36	Will Chovy leave Gen.G in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x1ecfc5…
11-01 14:53:09	AS Cittadella vs. Treviso FBC 1993: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3e4c98…
11-01 14:21:40	AS Cittadella vs. Treviso FBC 1993: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9e2890…
11-01 14:17:22	AS Cittadella vs. Treviso FBC 1993: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x093a9d…
11-01 14:04:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x75d062…
11-01 13:31:54	Will Richard Štěpán be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x7f7d9a…
11-01 11:45:39	Will FK Auda Riga win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0x0a4a23…
11-01 11:41:31	Will FK Auda Riga win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x4f81c5…
11-01 11:23:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be 490,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7dc446…
11-01 10:28:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x8e7c64…
11-01 10:10:16	Will Estudiantes (RC) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd7cc4d…
11-01 07:48:13	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x20c5e9…
11-01 06:08:13	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe2c3a5…
11-01 06:07:36	Will Richard Štěpán be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xffd465…
11-01 05:19:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 18% or more?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x6f0d94…
11-01 04:35:31	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x72f982…
11-01 04:35:19	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4ad0e8…
11-01 04:35:09	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x8e7870…
11-01 00:10:09	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Bayern Munich?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb7eb90…
11-01 00:05:04	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x4f15ac…
10-31 22:44:21	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	474	0¢	$0	0xefa714…
10-31 20:43:43	Bourg-en-Bresse vs. Nanterre	Nanterre	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x968fa4…
10-31 20:40:19	Bourg-en-Bresse vs. Nanterre	Nanterre	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0xbf20a3…
10-31 20:26:30	Counter-Strike: OG vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	OG	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xc51f6f…
10-31 20:26:10	Counter-Strike: OG vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	OG	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xebd0d8…
10-31 20:26:10	Counter-Strike: OG vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	OG	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xdfaa55…
10-31 20:18:18	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x299b75…
10-31 20:00:04	Bitcoin above 76,200 on October 31, 4PM ET?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc43dc8…
10-31 19:56:22	Bourg-en-Bresse vs. Nanterre	Nanterre	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc0c5a5…
10-31 19:26:19	bitcoin above 76200 on october 31 2026 4pm et	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x45ebf2…
10-31 19:10:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xba3695…
10-31 19:09:54	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xe08847…
10-31 17:25:12	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x663950…
10-31 17:20:07	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.5B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa9380a…
10-31 16:52:18	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xc96691…
10-31 16:51:24	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xe6aba6…
10-31 16:51:24	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xbc6479…
10-31 16:51:24	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x6af8a2…
10-31 16:33:01	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xae6195…
10-31 16:23:42	Will Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x18e3b3…
10-31 16:21:52	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x697484…
10-31 16:21:36	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xaeed5a…
10-31 16:08:57	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd111a4…
10-31 16:08:57	Will Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x6225c5…
10-31 16:07:54	Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x511069…
10-31 16:04:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xdd0a1c…
10-31 14:21:00	Will Bandirmaspor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x0cea0f…
10-31 14:20:58	Will Bandirmaspor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xda530c…
10-31 14:20:58	Will Bandirmaspor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x7ff1e9…
10-31 14:20:57	Will Bandirmaspor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4c6037…
10-31 14:20:55	Will Bandirmaspor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7b1c96…
10-31 13:58:19	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6c4359…
10-31 13:52:19	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5ac984…
10-31 13:51:55	Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x128b12…
10-31 13:16:31	Will Bursaspor win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x4dfbc0…
10-31 13:15:16	Will Bandirmaspor win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x54ee33…
10-31 12:49:06	Will New Orleans Pelicans advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9a8171…
10-31 12:48:04	Will New Orleans Pelicans advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xc41258…
10-31 12:41:28	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2d39b9…
10-31 10:20:42	Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xb27858…
10-31 10:10:28	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x5fd5ca…
10-31 09:55:36	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa4c668…
10-31 08:34:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x485578…
10-31 08:14:00	Will Isack Hadjar finish fifth in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xa073a4…
10-31 07:36:03	will thriller michael jackson be the billboard hot 100 1 song for the week of november 14	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7e76d3…
10-31 07:32:21	will patient zero taylor swift be the billboard hot 100 1 song for the week of november 14	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xcf5ea6…
10-31 07:32:06	will patient zero taylor swift be the billboard hot 100 1 song for the week of november 14	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xe1e7e2…
10-31 07:30:19	Bill Maher visits White House again in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x77471a…
10-31 07:29:07	wta okamura ramesh 2026 10 31 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x913b6a…
10-31 07:28:39	wta okamura ramesh 2026 10 31 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x14ac20…
10-31 06:18:15	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x522c60…
10-31 06:12:36	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x80d4ce…
10-31 06:07:25	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb3e158…
10-31 06:02:48	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x683429…
10-31 05:57:31	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa2cb57…