Putrid-Penny-Shine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$125

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved (30d)

372

Trades (30d)

1,889

24,807 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$625

$8.81K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-29 22:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Other

72% 32% +$1,306

Sports

14% 22% +$72

Crypto

7% 16% -$155

Politics

6% 34% +$46

Tech

2% 66% +$50

Pop-Culture

0% 59% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+2	$0	5¢	$0	+$0	10-22 12:24
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	+0	-$6	98¢	$0	+$6	10-29 17:51
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	+0	-$5	94¢	$0	+$5	10-29 17:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
T20 BIFA Cup, Women: Thunder Xi vs Kokrajhar - Completed match?	10	$97	129	134	-5	No	+$19	04-22 11:54
fr2 pau asn 2026 08 21 spread away 2pt5	12	$93	111	111	+0	Pau FC	+$88	08-15 07:21
auc sm fcf 2026 08 09 btts second half	3	$56	56	56	+0	Yes	+$55	08-09 11:08
Bucks vs. 76ers: Team to Score First	3	$56	56	56	+0	76ers	+$55	10-25 02:33
auc sm fcf 2026 08 09 second half total 1pt5	2	$56	56	56	+0	Over	+$55	08-09 11:08
Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	6	$50	24	53	-29	Team G	+$2	05-30 09:59
cs2 og1 zerote 2026 08 28 game1	12	$47	111	110	+1	ex-Zero Tenacity	+$45	08-28 11:59
ESTAC Troyes vs. FC Goal: Neither team to score first?	8	$39	50	50	+0	No	+$36	07-31 13:21
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)	56	$38	87	51	+36	Rosenborg BK	+$26	05-16 03:51
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game1 first blood	6	$38	38	38	+0	T1	+$37	07-04 06:29
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	13	$38	130	113	+16	Over	+$29	05-21 21:48
will iran be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003054	13	$37	78	41	+36	No	+$33	06-28 03:58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,700 in May?	3	$35	869	84	+785	Yes	+$32	05-01 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	115	$32	726	627	+100	No	+$66	05-04 13:51
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	56	$31	244	244	+0	open	—	10-29 23:40
will korea or korean be in the headlines this week 20260703145631098	6	$31	72	33	+39	No	+$30	07-12 08:58
will shocking be in the headlines this week 20260703145631107	6	$31	72	38	+34	No	+$29	07-13 00:03
will mexico be in the headlines this week 20260703145631105	11	$30	70	65	+5	No	+$28	07-13 02:51
ethereum above 2305 on april 22 2026 2am et	29	$29	628	52	+576	Yes	+$16	04-22 05:43
will shintaro mochizuki advance to the quarterfinals in gentlemens singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629160811174	7	$28	84	28	+57	No	+$26	07-05 20:56
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5 Corners	2	$28	56	56	+0	Over	+$27	06-14 02:42
Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)	10	$28	306	57	+249	CR Flamengo	+$26	05-22 01:56
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half team total home 1pt5	9	$26	51	51	+0	Under	+$25	06-17 17:51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	88	$26	1,476	1,151	+325	No	+$12	05-16 00:59
crict20blastl2w lei nor 2026 06 07	15	$25	53	34	+19	Northamptonshire Steelbacks	+$22	06-08 04:46
mlb bal tor 2026 09 11 spread away 4pt5	10	$25	50	50	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$23	09-12 00:39
ethereum above 2290 on april 22 2026 2am et	26	$24	541	60	+481	Yes	+$13	04-22 05:43
Will Thespa Gunma win on 2026-04-29?	3	$24	24	24	+0	No	+$23	04-29 06:39
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half team total away 0pt5	13	$23	64	23	+41	Over	+$21	06-17 17:52
cs2 prv lgc 2026 06 13 game1 round handicap lgc 3pt5	6	$23	23	23	+0	Legacy	+$22	06-13 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:40:33	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x75ee09…
10-29 23:15:34	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xdf3e51…
10-29 22:28:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xb3ff51…
10-29 21:13:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x069bb4…
10-29 21:13:25	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x18874e…
10-29 21:00:12	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x0ef2ed…
10-29 20:38:10	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xdf1e60…
10-29 20:28:07	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xbe7949…
10-29 20:26:28	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0xeca274…
10-29 20:19:01	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x6977fe…
10-29 20:19:01	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x1f9f03…
10-29 20:19:00	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x2f7440…
10-29 20:09:40	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x73ad49…
10-29 19:47:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xdffcce…
10-29 19:39:28	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x265a7d…
10-29 19:36:52	CD Guijuelo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x175798…
10-29 19:36:07	CD Guijuelo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xa6022d…
10-29 19:15:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3924ad…
10-29 19:15:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x85d171…
10-29 19:13:13	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa55024…
10-29 19:09:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x486bdd…
10-29 19:07:39	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0xf89242…
10-29 19:07:39	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xd6f99d…
10-29 19:02:48	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5f9b2a…
10-29 19:02:42	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x79d5e0…
10-29 19:02:40	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xeb5795…
10-29 17:56:49	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9d7831…
10-29 17:55:19	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xf9a73b…
10-29 17:55:10	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0x5c0b0d…
10-29 17:54:22	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x4bf140…
10-29 17:53:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xbacd5c…
10-29 17:52:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x940281…
10-29 17:51:43	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xbade16…
10-29 17:51:11	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x5addf4…
10-29 17:46:37	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x973e86…
10-29 17:46:20	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb0f4da…
10-29 17:45:32	bitcoin above 80600 on october 29 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb1e64d…
10-29 17:45:14	Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 29, 2PM ET?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x17564a…
10-29 17:45:13	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x3e37d6…
10-29 17:45:02	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xca5a8f…
10-29 17:44:08	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x05ae9b…
10-29 17:43:41	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x14080e…
10-29 17:43:05	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xc92a65…
10-29 17:42:04	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x364859…
10-29 17:34:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0xee885e…
10-29 17:34:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xcf2d5a…
10-29 17:33:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbde884…
10-29 17:33:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x457ed1…
10-29 17:33:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x242f78…
10-29 17:32:28	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x35a2ba…
10-29 17:32:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xd68998…
10-29 17:32:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 0%-15%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5208c5…
10-29 17:32:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 0%-15%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcf545b…
10-29 17:32:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x49f685…
10-29 17:11:32	Will Leigh Gray win the next Brighton mayoral election?	No	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0xd06258…
10-29 16:28:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 18% or more?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xc676c1…
10-29 15:54:14	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x120628…
10-29 15:36:52	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xe225da…
10-29 15:36:35	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x601a7c…
10-29 15:25:20	Will Leigh Gray win the next Brighton mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xd1921b…
10-29 15:24:22	Will Leigh Gray win the next Brighton mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaad106…
10-29 15:24:10	Will Leigh Gray win the next Brighton mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x210680…
10-29 15:07:25	Will Start be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?	No	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x851a8f…
10-29 14:27:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xa122d8…
10-29 14:12:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xf4c39c…
10-29 13:33:01	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x6d5a25…
10-29 13:32:41	Will Phil Owen win the next Brighton mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x3b1ae9…
10-29 12:22:38	Will Dallas Mavericks advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x6d09f0…
10-29 11:26:01	Will HB Køge win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xd88106…
10-29 11:25:11	Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0c6b4b…
10-29 11:20:25	Will Pavel Tůma be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x8e5fa8…
10-29 10:45:28	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $5.5B?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x33d569…
10-29 10:45:26	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $5B?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe0e422…
10-29 10:45:26	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $6B?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc4e7d7…
10-29 10:45:26	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $6.5B?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x03f4b1…
10-29 10:45:05	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $4.5B?	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x4fac94…
10-29 10:38:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $560-$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbcde69…
10-29 10:38:25	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1e93e0…
10-29 10:38:17	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x99f4b0…
10-29 09:45:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x166dc6…
10-29 09:31:23	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xacb631…
10-29 08:05:11	Will HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x01836f…
10-29 08:02:04	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xb1ace5…
10-29 07:52:08	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf21c8f…
10-29 07:50:43	Will JC Penney announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x8c6d41…
10-29 07:50:07	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x74841e…
10-29 07:04:44	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x8ea309…
10-29 05:37:31	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1a8251…
10-29 05:37:28	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xdeef72…
10-29 03:36:13	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Jazz	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x30542b…
10-29 03:35:02	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x64840b…
10-29 03:24:26	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5	Under	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x7deba2…
10-29 03:24:23	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 220.5	Under	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbbc1c3…
10-29 03:24:23	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x171dbb…
10-29 03:24:16	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x37482c…
10-29 03:05:37	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5	Under	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xfa480a…
10-29 03:03:26	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x96efcf…
10-29 02:58:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8f7c57…
10-29 02:35:59	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Bulls	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x45809d…
10-29 02:29:31	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 259.5	Under	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xb0a6bd…