Putrid-Penny-Shine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$517

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved (90d)

1,790

Trades (90d)

5,157

20,329 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.10K

$7.87K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-29 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Other

72% 32% +$1,301

Sports

14% 22% +$72

Crypto

7% 16% -$155

Politics

6% 33% +$46

Tech

2% 66% +$50

Pop-Culture

0% 59% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No		+2	$0	5¢	$0	+$0	10-22 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
T20 BIFA Cup, Women: Thunder Xi vs Kokrajhar - Completed match?	10	$97	129	134	-5	No	+$19	04-22 11:54
fr2 pau asn 2026 08 21 spread away 2pt5	12	$93	111	111	+0	Pau FC	+$88	08-15 07:21
auc sm fcf 2026 08 09 btts second half	3	$56	56	56	+0	Yes	+$55	08-09 11:08
Bucks vs. 76ers: Team to Score First	3	$56	56	56	+0	76ers	+$55	10-25 02:33
auc sm fcf 2026 08 09 second half total 1pt5	2	$56	56	56	+0	Over	+$55	08-09 11:08
Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	6	$50	24	53	-29	Team G	+$2	05-30 09:59
cs2 og1 zerote 2026 08 28 game1	12	$47	111	110	+1	ex-Zero Tenacity	+$45	08-28 11:59
ESTAC Troyes vs. FC Goal: Neither team to score first?	8	$39	50	50	+0	No	+$36	07-31 13:21
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)	56	$38	87	51	+36	Rosenborg BK	+$26	05-16 03:51
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game1 first blood	6	$38	38	38	+0	T1	+$37	07-04 06:29
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	13	$38	130	113	+16	Over	+$29	05-21 21:48
will iran be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003054	13	$37	78	41	+36	No	+$33	06-28 03:58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,700 in May?	3	$35	869	84	+785	Yes	+$32	05-01 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	115	$32	726	627	+100	No	+$66	05-04 13:51
will korea or korean be in the headlines this week 20260703145631098	6	$31	72	33	+39	No	+$30	07-12 08:58
will shocking be in the headlines this week 20260703145631107	6	$31	72	38	+34	No	+$29	07-13 00:03
will mexico be in the headlines this week 20260703145631105	11	$30	70	65	+5	No	+$28	07-13 02:51
ethereum above 2305 on april 22 2026 2am et	29	$29	628	52	+576	Yes	+$16	04-22 05:43
will shintaro mochizuki advance to the quarterfinals in gentlemens singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629160811174	7	$28	84	28	+57	No	+$26	07-05 20:56
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5 Corners	2	$28	56	56	+0	Over	+$27	06-14 02:42
Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)	10	$28	306	57	+249	CR Flamengo	+$26	05-22 01:56
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half team total home 1pt5	9	$26	51	51	+0	Under	+$25	06-17 17:51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	88	$26	1,476	1,151	+325	No	+$12	05-16 00:59
crict20blastl2w lei nor 2026 06 07	15	$25	53	34	+19	Northamptonshire Steelbacks	+$22	06-08 04:46
mlb bal tor 2026 09 11 spread away 4pt5	10	$25	50	50	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$23	09-12 00:39
ethereum above 2290 on april 22 2026 2am et	26	$24	541	60	+481	Yes	+$13	04-22 05:43
Will Thespa Gunma win on 2026-04-29?	3	$24	24	24	+0	No	+$23	04-29 06:39
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first half team total away 0pt5	13	$23	64	23	+41	Over	+$21	06-17 17:52
cs2 prv lgc 2026 06 13 game1 round handicap lgc 3pt5	6	$23	23	23	+0	Legacy	+$22	06-13 16:59
nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	10	$23	51	209	-158	Over	-$49	06-05 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:27:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xa122d8…
10-29 14:12:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xf4c39c…
10-29 13:33:01	Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x6d5a25…
10-29 13:32:41	Will Phil Owen win the next Brighton mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x3b1ae9…
10-29 12:22:38	Will Dallas Mavericks advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x6d09f0…
10-29 11:26:01	Will HB Køge win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xd88106…
10-29 11:25:11	Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0c6b4b…
10-29 11:20:25	Will Pavel Tůma be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x8e5fa8…
10-29 10:45:28	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $5.5B?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x33d569…
10-29 10:45:26	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $5B?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe0e422…
10-29 10:45:26	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $6B?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc4e7d7…
10-29 10:45:26	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $6.5B?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x03f4b1…
10-29 10:45:05	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $4.5B?	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x4fac94…
10-29 10:38:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $560-$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbcde69…
10-29 10:38:25	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1e93e0…
10-29 10:38:17	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x99f4b0…
10-29 09:45:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x166dc6…
10-29 09:31:23	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xacb631…
10-29 08:05:11	Will HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x01836f…
10-29 08:02:04	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xb1ace5…
10-29 07:52:08	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf21c8f…
10-29 07:50:43	Will JC Penney announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x8c6d41…
10-29 07:50:07	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x74841e…
10-29 07:04:44	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x8ea309…
10-29 05:37:31	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1a8251…
10-29 05:37:28	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xdeef72…
10-29 03:36:13	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Jazz	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x30542b…
10-29 03:35:02	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x64840b…
10-29 03:24:26	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5	Under	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x7deba2…
10-29 03:24:23	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 220.5	Under	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbbc1c3…
10-29 03:24:23	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x171dbb…
10-29 03:24:16	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x37482c…
10-29 03:05:37	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5	Under	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xfa480a…
10-29 03:03:26	Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x96efcf…
10-29 02:58:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8f7c57…
10-29 02:35:59	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Bulls	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x45809d…
10-29 02:29:31	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 259.5	Under	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xb0a6bd…
10-29 02:27:04	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x472494…
10-29 02:26:37	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 251.5	Under	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x3dfe71…
10-29 02:26:35	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Bulls	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x61d2ad…
10-29 02:25:25	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Bulls	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xbb2a00…
10-29 02:14:59	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5a3e7a…
10-29 02:13:35	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xcca84b…
10-29 02:13:35	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x9d63e7…
10-29 02:13:35	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7263cb…
10-29 02:02:44	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5	Under	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xcb81cf…
10-29 02:01:53	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa69b1b…
10-29 01:52:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6e4a6d…
10-29 01:46:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe860d3…
10-29 00:57:26	Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf20644…
10-29 00:11:49	Knicks vs. Bulls: Team to Score First	Bulls	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfe04fb…
10-29 00:08:07	Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x718a0b…
10-29 00:04:47	Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x56d735…
10-28 22:11:38	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xa4719f…
10-28 21:44:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd23d54…
10-28 21:26:26	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8b1731…
10-28 21:18:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xb87481…
10-28 21:07:50	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc21085…
10-28 21:07:49	Will Dundee FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xb38041…
10-28 21:07:49	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x0d3710…
10-28 21:07:17	Will Dundee FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xdfa29d…
10-28 20:44:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9f76e5…
10-28 20:28:08	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x7fba79…
10-28 20:03:31	HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x3bc815…
10-28 19:51:19	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x960fb0…
10-28 19:40:37	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	BetBoom Team	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x4516a0…
10-28 19:40:20	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	BetBoom Team	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xbbbe0b…
10-28 19:40:05	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xa7e077…
10-28 19:04:50	Will Bo Nix have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe34b4d…
10-28 19:02:05	Ottawa (KS) Braves vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Ottawa (KS) Braves	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x67984c…
10-28 19:00:35	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 203.5	Under	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xf5212a…
10-28 18:52:13	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x1f1330…
10-28 18:51:40	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x287556…
10-28 18:51:28	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xe44f61…
10-28 18:51:14	SUNY-Old Westbury Panthers vs. Stony Brook Seawolves	SUNY-Old Westbury Panthers	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xc303fe…
10-28 18:44:35	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xcccb31…
10-28 18:39:34	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x31a029…
10-28 18:16:43	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5f3e22…
10-28 18:15:43	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4cf115…
10-28 18:15:25	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x5dbe05…
10-28 18:03:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xabd926…
10-28 18:00:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa3b46d…
10-28 18:00:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x5ec204…
10-28 17:58:56	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xe0989e…
10-28 17:57:50	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x4df17d…
10-28 17:46:01	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x8cc27b…
10-28 17:44:46	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x0e3f9c…
10-28 17:37:59	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd1a0a0…
10-28 17:19:16	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x753600…
10-28 17:19:01	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x838898…
10-28 17:13:55	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x825d69…
10-28 17:13:55	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x363352…
10-28 17:06:22	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x93c8a4…
10-28 16:54:55	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-29?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x72744b…
10-28 16:52:43	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x67852d…
10-28 16:09:55	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x7da668…
10-28 15:29:52	Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xdfde42…
10-28 14:43:29	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x6ea91f…
10-28 14:43:29	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x0a2905…
10-28 14:41:16	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x142284…