Will Luc Brodeur-Jourdain win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election?
open
Total volume
$892
Trades
36
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$3,316
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-07
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-10 01:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.8¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $473
vs crowd: 10% YES on $825)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $60 | $725 | $665 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $7 | $20 | $12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $10 | $463 | $453 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $5 | $225 | $220 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $52 | $56 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | +446 | $420 | $420 | 1 | 11-05 22:39 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +320 | $15 | $23 | 3 | 11-05 22:39 |
| Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | No | +240 | $206 | $206 | 3 | 11-05 06:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +178 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 11-05 02:45 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-05 22:40 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 11-07 10:01 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-05 10:31 |
| Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-05 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-05 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-05 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-07 10:01 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-08 06:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-08 06:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xca3e…f91c | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-10 01:31 |
| Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-10 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-10 01:31 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-07 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 22:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-10 01:31:22 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4d10d4… |
| 11-10 01:31:22 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x4d10d4… |
| 11-10 01:31:22 | (anonymous) 0xca3e…f91c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4d10d4… |
| 11-08 06:37:39 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x19f520… |
| 11-08 06:37:39 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x19f520… |
| 11-07 10:01:31 | (anonymous) 0xca3e…f91c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd109d5… |
| 11-07 10:01:31 | (anonymous) 0xca3e…f91c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe84f8a… |
| 11-07 10:01:31 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd109d5… |
| 11-07 10:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd109d5… |
| 11-07 10:01:31 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xe84f8a… |
| 11-07 10:01:31 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xd109d5… |
| 11-05 22:40:00 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0a9c85… |
| 11-05 22:40:00 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0a9c85… |
| 11-05 22:39:40 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x624d11… |
| 11-05 22:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x624d11… |
| 11-05 22:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x624d11… |
| 11-05 22:39:40 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x624d11… |
| 11-05 22:39:40 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x624d11… |
| 11-05 22:39:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 320 | 5¢ | $16 | 0x624d11… |
| 11-05 22:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x624d11… |
| 11-05 22:39:40 | Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | BUY | 446 | 94¢ | $420 | 0x624d11… |
| 11-05 10:31:21 | (anonymous) 0x4e04…2b05 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 14¢ | $8 | 0xb3a96f… |
| 11-05 10:31:21 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xb3a96f… |
| 11-05 10:31:21 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | SELL | 38 | 86¢ | $33 | 0xb3a96f… |
| 11-05 06:17:22 | (anonymous) 0x4e04…2b05 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x5eda1c… |
| 11-05 06:17:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x5eda1c… |
| 11-05 06:17:22 | Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | No | BUY | 120 | 84¢ | $101 | 0x5eda1c… |
| 11-05 02:45:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 21¢ | $12 | 0xa5d965… |
| 11-05 02:45:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xa5d965… |
| 11-05 02:45:42 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 38 | 79¢ | $30 | 0xa5d965… |
| 11-05 01:04:51 | Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x39a70d… |
| 11-05 01:04:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x39a70d… |
| 11-05 00:07:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xc1145c… |
| 11-05 00:07:00 | Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xc1145c… |
| 11-04 23:54:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x7f23c6… |
| 11-04 23:54:34 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x7f23c6… |