Realized P&L
+$599
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
1,903
Trades
25,497
lifetime
Volume
$6.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$50
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 11-06 12:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
46% 25% +$377
Politics
43% 40% +$139
Sports
8% 11% +$48
Crypto
2% 21% +$16
Tech
1% 48% +$18
Pop-Culture
0% 25% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 1265 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anastasios Douvikas score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes +137 -$3 5¢ $7 +$10 10-30 21:07
Will Novak Djokovic Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings Yes +150 $0 4¢ $5 +$5 11-05 22:25
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be at least 4.0%? Yes +150 $1 3¢ $4 +$3 11-04 21:05
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028? Yes +111 -$1 4¢ $4 +$5 11-05 17:20
Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 5 - 2 PSV? Yes — +150 $0 2¢ $3 +$2 11-06 09:52
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $0 2¢ $3 +$3 10-28 19:44
Will Kris Dunn lead the NBA in steals per game in 2026-27? Yes +44 -$2 5¢ $2 +$5 11-06 10:36
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 60%-65%? Yes +3 $0 65¢ $2 +$2 09-24 07:32
Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? Yes — +150 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 11-04 20:57
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 25%-30%? Yes — +150 -$4 1¢ $2 +$5 10-26 08:18
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $2 +$0 09-22 08:29
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $2 +$0 10-24 05:32
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +140 -$1 1¢ $1 +$3 11-06 13:41
Will Besiktas finish first in UEL league phase? Yes — +150 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 11-05 15:22
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +150 -$4 1¢ $1 +$5 11-06 13:51
Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +150 -$3 1¢ $1 +$3 11-04 15:40
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027? Yes +140 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-05 23:24
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? Yes +150 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-04 20:53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6% or more? Yes +53 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-28 14:57
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + KD? Yes +150 -$5 0¢ $1 +$6 11-05 05:58
Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026? Yes — +150 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-23 13:15
Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 02:38
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 10-17 21:40
Theo James announced as next James Bond? Yes +150 -$3 0¢ $1 +$4 10-21 21:41
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -28 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 09-14 04:53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 0%-10%? Yes +98 $1 0¢ $0 $0 11-05 11:07
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +150 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-14 06:07
Will Union Berlin be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +150 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-12 13:01
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 11-05 19:15
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? Yes +132 $1 0¢ $0 $0 11-01 00:00