Realized P&L
-$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
45.4%
Resolved
507
Trades
5,886
lifetime
Volume
$56.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$636
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-30
last 10-27 14:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
64% 44% -$1,172
Politics
26% 45% -$447
Sports
4% 50% -$6
Tech
3% 67% +$11
Crypto
2% 0% -$35
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 475 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +80 $34 88¢ $71 +$37 10-19 20:24
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +50 $38 98¢ $49 +$11 10-23 16:48
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +50 $38 95¢ $47 +$9 10-21 15:25
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +42 $30 94¢ $40 +$10 10-16 16:48
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 78¢ $39 +$4 10-16 00:22
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +50 $31 70¢ $35 +$4 10-22 08:40
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +50 $26 61¢ $30 +$4 10-17 19:24
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +50 $15 52¢ $26 +$11 10-22 18:23
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +50 $34 48¢ $24 -$10 10-22 18:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +50 $19 43¢ $22 +$2 10-22 10:07
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +20 $10 100¢ $20 +$10 10-05 15:07
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +50 $24 39¢ $20 -$4 10-17 19:35
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +20 $14 92¢ $18 +$4 10-22 19:24
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +19 $14 96¢ $18 +$4 10-22 19:44
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +25 $15 70¢ $18 +$2 10-22 10:24
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? Yes +20 $13 86¢ $17 +$4 10-17 17:12
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +20 $13 84¢ $17 +$4 10-23 14:49
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +57 $20 30¢ $17 -$3 10-22 13:32
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $16 54¢ $16 +$1 10-18 12:21
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +50 $18 30¢ $15 -$3 10-22 08:40
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? No +20 $15 74¢ $15 $0 10-20 14:44
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +30 $14 46¢ $14 -$1 10-16 12:24
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? Yes +14 $11 76¢ $11 $0 10-03 03:24
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +18 $11 57¢ $10 $0 10-22 05:48
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $48 12¢ $9 -$39 10-19 22:31
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? No +20 $5 24¢ $5 $0 10-03 11:19
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? Yes +15 $3 26¢ $4 +$1 10-23 09:51
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +20 $7 16¢ $3 -$4 10-23 15:21
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $4 22¢ $3 -$1 10-17 12:21
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? No +20 $7 15¢ $3 -$4 10-18 15:39