Realized P&L (7d)
-$340
Unrealized P&L
+$62
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved (7d)
159
Trades (7d)
1,621
6,447 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$15.1K
$62.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$679
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-30
last 10-29 22:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
62% 46% -$1,243
Politics
28% 48% -$479
Sports
4% 30% -$62
Tech
3% 67% +$11
Crypto
2% 11% -$33
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 475 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +80 $34 89¢ $71 +$37 10-19 20:24
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +50 $38 97¢ $48 +$10 10-23 16:48
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +50 $38 94¢ $47 +$9 10-21 15:25
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +50 $15 88¢ $44 +$29 10-22 18:23
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +42 $30 95¢ $40 +$10 10-16 16:48
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 77¢ $38 +$4 10-16 00:22
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +50 $26 57¢ $29 +$2 10-17 19:24
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +50 $31 56¢ $28 -$3 10-22 08:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +50 $19 47¢ $24 +$4 10-22 10:07
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +50 $18 44¢ $22 +$4 10-22 08:40
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +50 $24 42¢ $21 -$2 10-17 19:35
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +20 $10 100¢ $20 +$10 10-05 15:07
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? Yes +20 $13 98¢ $20 +$7 10-17 17:12
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +57 $20 33¢ $19 -$1 10-22 13:32
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +20 $14 92¢ $18 +$4 10-22 19:24
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +19 $14 94¢ $18 +$4 10-22 19:44
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +50 $16 34¢ $17 +$0 10-22 13:32
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $16 56¢ $17 +$1 10-18 12:21
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +25 $15 67¢ $17 +$2 10-22 10:24
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +20 $13 78¢ $16 +$3 10-23 14:49
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +20 $10 74¢ $15 +$5 10-29 07:08
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? No +20 $15 71¢ $14 -$1 10-20 14:44
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +30 $14 44¢ $13 -$1 10-16 12:24
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +18 $11 66¢ $12 +$1 10-22 10:24
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? Yes +14 $11 78¢ $11 $0 10-03 03:24
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $13 23¢ $10 -$3 10-29 09:59
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +18 $11 53¢ $10 -$1 10-22 05:48
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $48 11¢ $9 -$39 10-19 22:31
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +50 $34 12¢ $6 -$28 10-22 18:33
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +20 $10 26¢ $5 -$5 10-29 07:08