Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 5%-10%?
open
Total volume
$5,381
$551 in 24h
Trades
432
Unique wallets
85
Liquidity
$6,935
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-26
last 10-26 21:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.7¢
(top1%: 10% YES on $415
vs crowd: 20% YES on $3.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 36 | $428 | $1.6K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $273 | $1.2K | $963 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $61 | $130 | $69 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $1 | $20 | $19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 15 | $43 | $372 | $329 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $29 | $213 | $185 |
| Median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 6 | $38 | $105 | $67 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $16 | $80 | $64 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $141 | $489 | $348 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 28 | $385 | $1.2K | $864 |
| unranked | 4 | $110 | $506 | $396 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +773 | $165 | $165 | 25 | 10-17 15:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +612 | $461 | $461 | 19 | 10-26 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | +351 | -$17 | $101 | 7 | 10-26 20:12 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +120 | $92 | $92 | 6 | 10-26 16:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +116 | $23 | $23 | 9 | 10-26 15:21 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +105 | $86 | $86 | 8 | 10-09 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +81 | $60 | $60 | 5 | 10-26 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +81 | $22 | $23 | 8 | 10-26 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +75 | $70 | $70 | 5 | 09-16 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +73 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 10-26 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +73 | $56 | $82 | 6 | 10-26 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +69 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 10-26 20:12 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +68 | $20 | $66 | 10 | 10-26 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +65 | $56 | $56 | 5 | 10-26 18:35 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +59 | $46 | $46 | 3 | 10-07 08:21 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +55 | $38 | $39 | 7 | 10-26 20:12 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +55 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 10-26 20:12 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +53 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 10-12 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 09-16 12:21 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +49 | $14 | $19 | 7 | 10-14 03:08 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +49 | $38 | $56 | 4 | 10-12 13:57 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +46 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 10-08 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +44 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 10-17 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +44 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-17 15:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 10-26 21:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-13 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +42 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 10-13 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +40 | $27 | $28 | 3 | 10-26 21:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +40 | $13 | $14 | 3 | 10-26 20:12 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-10 16:58 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 10-10 16:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +39 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 10-26 16:07 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +31 | $22 | $91 | 10 | 10-08 18:20 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +31 | $57 | $310 | 12 | 09-29 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-26 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 10-26 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-26 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +30 | $22 | $27 | 3 | 10-26 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfec3…7f04 | No | +29 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-19 00:12 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +28 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 10-26 02:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +28 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-26 02:37 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 09-15 20:01 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-14 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-27 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | +20 | $17 | $50 | 3 | 09-27 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-12 13:57 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +20 | $23 | $130 | 11 | 10-19 00:12 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +20 | $12 | $50 | 16 | 10-15 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-06 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-12 00:59 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $36 | 6 | 10-26 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-26 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-11 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +20 | $17 | $46 | 3 | 09-26 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-13 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-26 20:12 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 02:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 09-18 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-12 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-12 11:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 21:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x43a5c9… |
| 10-26 21:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 0 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x43a5c9… |
| 10-26 20:12:03 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 40 | 74¢ | $29 | 0x2c5dd4… |
| 10-26 20:12:03 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 40 | 74¢ | $29 | 0x2c5dd4… |
| 10-26 20:12:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0x19fe5d… |
| 10-26 20:12:03 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0x19fe5d… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 35 | 69¢ | $24 | 0xf5fd64… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0x46c82e… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xe2bd22… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | Yes | BUY | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x932f62… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x932f62… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xf5fd64… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x443b8b… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x443b8b… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xf5fd64… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 32¢ | $8 | 0x443b8b… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x443b8b… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x443b8b… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x46c82e… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $21 | 0x932f62… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xe2bd22… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x443b8b… |
| 10-26 20:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | SELL | 185 | 32¢ | $59 | 0x443b8b… |
| 10-26 18:35:17 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 57¢ | $0 | 0xbb9753… |
| 10-26 18:35:17 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 0 | 57¢ | $0 | 0xbb9753… |
| 10-26 16:12:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x702476… |
| 10-26 16:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | SELL | 4 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x702476… |
| 10-26 16:11:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0x1527ac… |
| 10-26 16:11:57 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x1527ac… |
| 10-26 16:08:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xd79a40… |
| 10-26 16:08:39 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xd79a40… |
| 10-26 16:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 33¢ | $11 | 0xb98371… |
| 10-26 16:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 14 | 67¢ | $9 | 0xb98371… |
| 10-26 16:07:12 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xb98371… |
| 10-26 16:07:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 80 | 68¢ | $54 | 0xdf8c91… |
| 10-26 16:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xdf8c91… |
| 10-26 16:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 34 | 68¢ | $23 | 0xf0e432… |
| 10-26 16:07:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xdf8c91… |
| 10-26 16:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 34 | 68¢ | $23 | 0xdf8c91… |
| 10-26 16:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xdf8c91… |
| 10-26 16:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 34 | 32¢ | $11 | 0xf0e432… |
| 10-26 15:21:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x27c27f… |
| 10-26 15:21:00 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x27c27f… |
| 10-26 15:20:59 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x4118b5… |
| 10-26 15:20:59 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x4118b5… |
| 10-26 03:03:36 | Adept-Loafer 0xaa40…4629 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xb508b7… |
| 10-26 03:03:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xb508b7… |
| 10-26 02:38:00 | Adept-Loafer 0xaa40…4629 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x4ee323… |
| 10-26 02:38:00 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 1 | 64¢ | $0 | 0x0b787a… |
| 10-26 02:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 36¢ | $0 | 0x0b787a… |
| 10-26 02:38:00 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x4ee323… |
| 10-26 02:37:59 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xed28a7… |
| 10-26 02:37:59 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x93d43f… |
| 10-26 02:37:59 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x8be565… |
| 10-26 02:37:59 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0xed28a7… |
| 10-26 02:37:59 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x93d43f… |
| 10-26 02:37:59 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x8be565… |
| 10-19 13:12:15 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x7e511e… |
| 10-19 13:12:15 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x7e511e… |
| 10-19 11:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xb85066… |
| 10-19 11:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xb85066… |
| 10-19 04:34:59 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 67¢ | $0 | 0xa01272… |
| 10-19 04:34:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 0 | 67¢ | $0 | 0xa01272… |
| 10-19 00:12:32 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x5a049f… |
| 10-19 00:12:32 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x5a049f… |
| 10-19 00:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 9 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x2e601a… |
| 10-19 00:12:30 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xbd2957… |
| 10-19 00:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xcce738… |
| 10-19 00:12:30 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 9 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x2e601a… |
| 10-19 00:12:30 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xbd2957… |
| 10-19 00:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xfec3…7f04 | No | BUY | 29 | 70¢ | $20 | 0xcce738… |
| 10-19 00:12:30 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xbd2957… |
| 10-19 00:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xbd2957… |
| 10-19 00:12:30 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xcce738… |
| 10-17 15:55:23 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 27¢ | $12 | 0xad0c37… |
| 10-17 15:55:23 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 44 | 73¢ | $32 | 0xad0c37… |
| 10-17 15:54:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 25¢ | $31 | 0x223aa0… |
| 10-17 15:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 44 | 75¢ | $33 | 0x223aa0… |
| 10-17 15:54:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 75¢ | $60 | 0x223aa0… |
| 10-16 14:35:46 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x5b0d3a… |
| 10-16 14:35:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x5b0d3a… |
| 10-15 18:11:01 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 21 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x0646c3… |
| 10-15 18:11:01 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x0646c3… |
| 10-15 18:11:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x0646c3… |
| 10-14 17:53:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 21 | 76¢ | $16 | 0x9a69d3… |
| 10-14 17:53:25 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | SELL | 21 | 76¢ | $16 | 0x9a69d3… |
| 10-14 03:08:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xf3f33b… |
| 10-14 03:08:17 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xf3f33b… |
| 10-13 13:50:17 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x04bc43… |
| 10-13 13:50:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x04bc43… |
| 10-13 13:47:07 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x8d7e7a… |
| 10-13 13:47:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x8d7e7a… |
| 10-13 13:47:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 60 | 76¢ | $46 | 0x8d7e7a… |
| 10-13 13:47:07 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x8d7e7a… |
| 10-13 13:00:07 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xe1ead6… |
| 10-13 13:00:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xe1ead6… |
| 10-13 12:04:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xa4f355… |
| 10-13 12:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xa4f355… |
| 10-13 07:47:25 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x85f0c6… |
| 10-13 07:47:25 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x85f0c6… |