(anonymous) 0xbc4230…0c790f
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$303
Hit rate
3.6%
Resolved
2,131
Trades
40,638
lifetime
Volume
$371.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$6.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-22
last 10-27 10:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Other
61% 8% -$3,565
Politics
31% 6% -$382
Tech
4% 4% -$296
Sports
3% 11% -$28
Crypto
1% 0% -$148
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$103
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 1747 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +545 $417 80¢ $433 +$16 10-25 19:07
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +438 $375 88¢ $386 +$11 10-22 04:47
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +436 $359 86¢ $377 +$18 10-24 14:29
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +364 $305 86¢ $311 +$6 10-24 00:16
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +374 $316 82¢ $307 -$9 10-25 09:28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +299 $251 96¢ $287 +$36 10-22 06:52
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +336 $251 76¢ $257 +$6 10-24 09:07
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +320 $242 76¢ $242 -$1 10-25 07:05
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +339 $185 71¢ $241 +$56 10-25 04:31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +314 $203 76¢ $237 +$34 10-25 15:04
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +326 $220 68¢ $223 +$3 10-25 17:44
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +280 $214 80¢ $223 +$9 10-25 07:51
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +296 $232 74¢ $218 -$14 10-21 20:09
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +328 $168 66¢ $215 +$48 10-25 12:57
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +260 $205 82¢ $212 +$7 10-25 22:00
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +261 $213 78¢ $205 -$8 10-25 15:21
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +240 $202 84¢ $203 +$1 10-25 00:35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +231 $169 87¢ $201 +$33 10-22 15:00
us iran hormuz agreement by december 31 No +286 $184 68¢ $196 +$12 10-19 11:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +320 $171 60¢ $194 +$23 10-02 08:56
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +240 $204 78¢ $188 -$16 10-20 22:36
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +227 $191 82¢ $185 -$6 10-25 23:39
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by november 30 2026 No +240 $169 77¢ $185 +$16 10-25 17:56
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +260 $176 70¢ $182 +$6 10-25 17:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +214 $174 84¢ $179 +$5 10-14 16:54
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +200 $175 86¢ $171 -$4 10-21 05:55
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +229 $182 74¢ $170 -$13 10-25 12:49
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +174 $144 97¢ $168 +$24 10-05 19:45
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +198 $146 81¢ $160 +$14 10-25 08:20
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +200 $167 80¢ $159 -$8 10-24 02:26