Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$232

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

3.5%

Resolved

152

Trades

4,058

lifetime

Volume

$32.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-22

last 10-26 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

49% 4% -$162

Politics

36% 0% -$37

Sports

7% 20% -$9

Tech

5% 0% -$23

Crypto

3% 17% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes		+20	$11	58¢	$12	+$1	10-24 20:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No		+20	$9	42¢	$8	-$1	10-25 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	14	$104	108	108	+0	open	—	10-14 17:30
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	7	$97	60	60	+0	open	—	10-09 22:48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 35%-40%?	6	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	10-20 08:56
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 5%-10%?	6	$84	47	47	+0	open	—	10-06 17:37
Will the median home value in NYC be at least $510,000 on December 31?	4	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	10-09 17:25
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	7	$82	70	70	+0	open	—	10-15 13:38
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 40%-45%?	6	$79	90	50	+40	open	—	10-24 21:08
Will Derrick Henry finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?	9	$78	63	44	+19	open	—	10-26 19:12
Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?	9	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	10-18 18:52
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?	10	$74	75	75	+0	open	—	10-15 15:19
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 45%-50%?	6	$73	60	60	+0	open	—	10-15 13:59
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	9	$71	59	59	+0	open	—	10-25 10:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	6	$69	80	80	+0	open	—	10-26 19:02
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	10	$68	80	80	+0	open	—	10-19 11:27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 25%-30%?	4	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	10-26 01:22
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	7	$67	60	60	+0	open	—	10-24 16:08
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	6	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	10-14 03:03
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?	6	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 20:32
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	5	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	10-16 14:26
Will Payton Pritchard win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	5	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	10-25 15:06
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?	11	$65	61	61	+0	open	—	10-19 01:48
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	4	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	10-13 21:35
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	7	$65	57	57	+0	open	—	10-25 03:44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 55%-60%?	4	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	10-18 05:30
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 21:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 65%-70%?	4	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	10-24 11:40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 35%-40%?	4	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	10-26 10:46
Will Josh Allen have 3,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	10-14 13:15
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	7	$63	70	70	+0	open	—	10-12 21:04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 5%-10%?	4	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:48:32	Will Ben Johnson win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x079bb0…
10-26 23:36:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x7c4370…
10-26 23:30:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8f47dc…
10-26 23:26:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 18% or more?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xc2b568…
10-26 23:26:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xf96e64…
10-26 23:26:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3f3d08…
10-26 23:26:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x20ba72…
10-26 23:25:44	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x20c89b…
10-26 23:06:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x09060f…
10-26 23:01:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x045e47…
10-26 22:52:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x70b740…
10-26 22:40:14	Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$0	0x4ba653…
10-26 22:34:33	Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x722e23…
10-26 22:16:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x946aaa…
10-26 22:16:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x6b2127…
10-26 22:06:53	Will Kenneth Walker III be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x01ee97…
10-26 22:03:26	Will Alirio García Flamenco win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3f6686…
10-26 21:50:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa7528f…
10-26 21:44:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x5a51e8…
10-26 21:33:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xd012de…
10-26 21:16:12	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x24575f…
10-26 21:06:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6c795c…
10-26 21:01:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb19cd1…
10-26 20:54:51	Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x260071…
10-26 20:49:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xd54f35…
10-26 20:32:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xfc919e…
10-26 20:27:03	Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdf71a3…
10-26 20:23:48	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 9 or more points behind Jocelyn Benson?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x3aaaf8…
10-26 20:12:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xf5fd64…
10-26 20:12:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x932f62…
10-26 20:08:06	Will Vox receive between 20% and 22% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xf6b2a4…
10-26 20:04:38	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf9b943…
10-26 19:59:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x91fe54…
10-26 19:44:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x95f538…
10-26 19:21:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xef33cb…
10-26 19:19:50	Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xdcfb5b…
10-26 19:12:27	Will Derrick Henry finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x9d1b2d…
10-26 19:11:00	Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x83901c…
10-26 19:07:11	Will Derrick Henry finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?	No	SELL	19	76¢	$15	0xc47f93…
10-26 19:06:45	Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xd3bed5…
10-26 19:04:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 5%-10%?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x46e4e5…
10-26 19:02:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xbac83a…
10-26 19:02:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x0fd977…
10-26 19:00:18	Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x88e330…
10-26 18:48:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 21% or more?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xaf4efa…
10-26 18:42:20	Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 2.5% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x0a8815…
10-26 18:41:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0xf19973…
10-26 18:41:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xc15e76…
10-26 18:38:59	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be below 1%?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x6050ae…
10-26 18:38:59	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be below 1%?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x338576…
10-26 18:38:47	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x5f07d8…
10-26 18:32:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x1bf998…
10-26 18:15:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x091090…
10-26 18:03:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x87d23e…
10-26 18:03:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x04650a…
10-26 18:03:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xf64344…
10-26 18:03:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x99af7a…
10-26 18:03:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x7018a7…
10-26 18:03:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x4e3f35…
10-26 18:03:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x38ab72…
10-26 18:02:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x32867c…
10-26 18:00:08	Will Chronicle play for Team Vitality in 2027?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x76d507…
10-26 17:59:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xa2439f…
10-26 17:57:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x964806…
10-26 17:53:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x25a261…
10-26 17:51:39	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x7a78ed…
10-26 17:44:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xd0b3e3…
10-26 17:44:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6068cf…
10-26 17:37:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x674e52…
10-26 17:37:20	Will Isaiah Likely be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xed46f3…
10-26 17:29:47	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x94f173…
10-26 17:29:20	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xf28028…
10-26 17:28:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xab951a…
10-26 17:22:53	Will Jordan Love have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xb45b74…
10-26 17:17:11	Will Jordan Love have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x2a0d3b…
10-26 16:59:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x0871fc…
10-26 16:56:02	Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5ae9f8…
10-26 16:55:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe839f7…
10-26 16:53:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xba5e76…
10-26 16:44:20	Will Jared Goff finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xe7c18d…
10-26 16:44:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x3c2aff…
10-26 16:39:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0x587302…
10-26 16:35:59	Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x04bd22…
10-26 16:35:36	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xe9b3dc…
10-26 16:35:20	Will Jared Goff finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$14	0x2a9cd0…
10-26 16:32:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xfc734c…
10-26 16:29:48	Will Derrick Henry have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x32e79f…
10-26 16:28:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x4f6ecb…
10-26 16:27:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xd5e11a…
10-26 16:26:20	Will PSOE win 108-113 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xa84e47…
10-26 16:25:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x4f835b…
10-26 16:24:14	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x58c287…
10-26 16:23:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x85dad0…
10-26 16:22:21	Will Vox win 61-65 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xb20645…
10-26 16:22:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x758df8…
10-26 16:13:15	Will Cam Fowler win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x53d81d…
10-26 16:07:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xdf8c91…
10-26 16:05:18	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x84e03a…
10-26 16:00:14	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcefc9a…
10-26 16:00:11	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x15412e…