Adept-Loafer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,165

lifetime

Volume

$24.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 08-17 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 71% +$2

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 6am et	22	$150	111	110	+1	open	—	03-27 10:39
btc updown 15m 1774524600	23	$137	150	79	+71	open	—	03-26 11:43
btc updown 15m 1774554300	26	$121	130	128	+2	open	—	03-26 19:57
israel closes its airspace by july 24	14	$116	466	466	+0	open	—	07-20 09:09
btc updown 15m 1774608300	20	$112	100	99	+1	open	—	03-27 10:50
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 7am et	18	$105	85	84	+1	open	—	03-27 11:52
btc updown 15m 1774611900	16	$104	80	79	+1	open	—	03-27 11:52
btc updown 15m 1774609200	19	$98	95	88	+6	open	—	03-27 11:10
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	2	$97	294	294	+0	open	—	07-22 12:04
btc updown 15m 1774614600	16	$95	80	79	+1	open	—	03-27 12:37
btc updown 15m 1774616400	17	$93	85	79	+6	open	—	03-27 13:10
btc updown 15m 1774522800	12	$91	69	50	+19	open	—	03-26 11:13
btc updown 15m 1774550700	10	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 18:55
btc updown 15m 1774523700	13	$85	70	60	+10	open	—	03-26 11:24
btc updown 15m 1774617300	14	$80	70	69	+1	open	—	03-27 13:20
btc updown 15m 1774607400	8	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	03-27 10:37
btc updown 15m 1773686700	9	$71	51	51	+0	open	—	03-16 18:52
btc updown 15m 1774552500	10	$64	50	49	+1	open	—	03-26 19:26
btc updown 15m 1774610100	10	$64	50	49	+1	open	—	03-27 11:22
btc updown 15m 1774549800	10	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 18:41
btc updown 15m 1774519200	14	$62	86	49	+38	open	—	03-26 10:04
btc updown 15m 1774516500	15	$61	80	69	+11	open	—	03-26 09:22
btc updown 15m 1773762300	28	$60	121	0	+121	open	—	03-17 15:57
btc updown 15m 1774553400	10	$59	50	49	+1	open	—	03-26 19:36
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3am et	8	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	03-27 07:49
btc updown 15m 1774620000	10	$53	45	45	+1	open	—	03-27 14:08
btc updown 15m 1774841400	23	$53	108	5	+103	open	—	03-30 03:43
btc updown 5m 1784096700	14	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	07-15 06:28
btc updown 15m 1774827900	19	$46	85	5	+80	open	—	03-29 23:55
iran full airspace closure by july 24	15	$45	170	170	+0	open	—	07-20 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 15:49:54	will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xe249e5…
08-15 05:40:51	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x9d78a9…
08-15 03:22:36	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x0d9a30…
08-15 03:03:22	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	No	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0xad81da…
08-14 21:07:22	mark andrews 6pt5 receiving touchdowns 2026 27	No	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0x9e434c…
08-14 20:34:01	omarion hampton 7pt5 rushing touchdowns 2026 27	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x82cfaf…
08-14 20:28:15	omarion hampton 7pt5 rushing touchdowns 2026 27	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xd887af…
08-14 19:44:48	mark andrews 6pt5 receiving touchdowns 2026 27	No	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xed5910…
08-14 05:17:33	saquon barkley 11pt5 rushing touchdowns 2026 27	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x677271…
08-14 04:25:40	saquon barkley 11pt5 rushing touchdowns 2026 27	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa40973…
08-13 03:40:37	will fresno state have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194017353	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xd16ad5…
08-13 00:40:10	will fresno state have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194017353	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x184aa1…
08-10 15:58:27	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x359f92…
08-09 19:32:18	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	Yes	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0xc1b1fa…
08-09 19:17:21	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xafef45…
08-09 16:55:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x203ca3…
08-09 16:55:19	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x582e64…
08-09 16:49:18	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x01cc9d…
08-09 16:49:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0xdc77e7…
07-31 06:13:23	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 75 or higher 20260723190836290	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0xb1d24b…
07-30 16:26:09	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x8a2504…
07-30 14:03:50	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x9f0c0e…
07-30 12:57:53	will courtyard launch a token by december 31 2027 20260729144519162	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xf2de92…
07-30 12:57:33	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191456650	No	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x1f74ac…
07-30 07:41:53	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 80 or higher 20260723190142927	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x142dfd…
07-30 07:28:26	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xb02e8b…
07-30 07:28:26	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xa40705…
07-30 07:24:05	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x67f575…
07-30 03:50:54	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0x66cea4…
07-30 01:45:30	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5907ba…
07-30 00:59:27	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x8803fe…
07-30 00:58:23	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 75 or higher 20260723190836290	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xd271e3…
07-30 00:58:23	will courtyard launch a token by december 31 2027 20260729144519162	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6b3a7d…
07-30 00:57:00	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260723184439897	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xbbad73…
07-30 00:56:02	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 80 or higher 20260723190142927	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x949e94…
07-30 00:51:51	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191456650	No	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x386a07…
07-29 23:58:38	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x37a96d…
07-29 23:58:27	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x46a6ec…
07-29 23:31:05	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xcc9cff…
07-29 23:27:29	iran successfully targets shipping on august 3 2026 20260729163314523	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x489c11…
07-29 22:12:42	will the ornn h100 index hit 3pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709170850327	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xeb6bd4…
07-29 22:12:30	will the ornn h100 index hit 3pt50 high by december 31 2026 20260709170850327	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x41a780…
07-29 18:23:39	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x46013c…
07-29 17:52:09	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x90c49d…
07-29 15:29:36	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x8ed441…
07-29 10:51:21	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xb0e14f…
07-28 18:31:25	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0xee9d33…
07-28 18:31:16	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x8e5273…
07-27 06:37:30	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x4f2905…
07-27 06:34:40	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x017a65…
07-25 17:58:31	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x2953ee…
07-25 13:00:16	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xf66a5b…
07-25 11:09:46	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xcc42d4…
07-25 09:13:16	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x2fa01a…
07-25 08:57:48	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xb015ff…
07-25 08:07:21	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x3b8d20…
07-25 00:43:27	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0x28a8de…
07-24 21:45:09	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x1f81cb…
07-24 20:44:37	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x3e820b…
07-24 18:00:13	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	Yes	SELL	142	8¢	$11	0xd7284d…
07-24 16:26:03	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	Yes	BUY	142	14¢	$20	0x6158f6…
07-24 00:02:45	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0xbf8bb2…
07-23 17:40:45	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x1cb889…
07-23 17:40:36	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x62e27e…
07-23 09:51:40	will msft reach 450 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	57	14¢	$8	0xcd501f…
07-23 08:50:22	will msft reach 450 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x0179ed…
07-23 08:50:13	will msft reach 450 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0xd84b6b…
07-22 21:03:18	will pltr reach 150 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x7f1c8d…
07-22 13:31:09	will pltr reach 150 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x04ab5b…
07-22 12:04:13	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	294	16¢	$47	0x8cdb3c…
07-22 12:03:18	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xb55fdb…
07-22 11:54:09	will hood reach 125 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0xfeaf9a…
07-22 11:54:00	will hood reach 125 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x75da53…
07-21 17:33:04	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611	Yes	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0xa93662…
07-21 07:28:01	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xeeb2f5…
07-21 07:27:52	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x15a225…
07-21 05:41:01	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xecb056…
07-20 22:55:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0x92db92…
07-20 22:55:43	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x5cd89a…
07-20 20:36:43	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x49b078…
07-20 20:35:51	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x8d413d…
07-20 19:19:54	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x5f23df…
07-20 19:19:45	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x4f3daa…
07-20 17:43:12	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0x2d02f8…
07-20 17:43:01	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2bb38f…
07-20 17:13:15	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0xbdb67a…
07-20 17:12:55	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	46	26¢	$12	0xe51d22…
07-20 17:12:46	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xfa4dc8…
07-20 15:01:54	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x1d670e…
07-20 12:47:46	will amzn dip to 216 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xedea3d…
07-20 12:25:07	will amzn dip to 216 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xe5b6b1…
07-20 11:37:15	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x5e16ad…
07-20 11:36:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x44b425…
07-20 09:58:03	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0x1b430c…
07-20 09:57:54	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xcfd504…
07-20 09:50:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x8ebc9f…
07-20 09:09:40	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	109	10¢	$11	0x46e275…
07-20 08:33:34	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	109	11¢	$12	0x4282f9…
07-20 08:04:45	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x175721…
07-20 08:04:42	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xa73e60…