Adept-Loafer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,117

lifetime

Volume

$24.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-27 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 71% +$2

Other

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 6am et	22	$150	111	110	+1	open	—	03-27 10:39
btc updown 15m 1774524600	23	$137	150	79	+71	open	—	03-26 11:43
btc updown 15m 1774554300	26	$121	130	128	+2	open	—	03-26 19:57
israel closes its airspace by july 24	14	$116	466	466	+0	open	—	07-20 09:09
btc updown 15m 1774608300	20	$112	100	99	+1	open	—	03-27 10:50
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 7am et	18	$105	85	84	+1	open	—	03-27 11:52
btc updown 15m 1774611900	16	$104	80	79	+1	open	—	03-27 11:52
btc updown 15m 1774609200	19	$98	95	88	+6	open	—	03-27 11:10
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	2	$97	294	294	+0	open	—	07-22 12:04
btc updown 15m 1774614600	16	$95	80	79	+1	open	—	03-27 12:37
btc updown 15m 1774616400	17	$93	85	79	+6	open	—	03-27 13:10
btc updown 15m 1774522800	12	$91	69	50	+19	open	—	03-26 11:13
btc updown 15m 1774550700	10	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 18:55
btc updown 15m 1774523700	13	$85	70	60	+10	open	—	03-26 11:24
btc updown 15m 1774617300	14	$80	70	69	+1	open	—	03-27 13:20
btc updown 15m 1774607400	8	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	03-27 10:37
btc updown 15m 1773686700	9	$71	51	51	+0	open	—	03-16 18:52
btc updown 15m 1774552500	10	$64	50	49	+1	open	—	03-26 19:26
btc updown 15m 1774610100	10	$64	50	49	+1	open	—	03-27 11:22
btc updown 15m 1774549800	10	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 18:41
btc updown 15m 1774519200	14	$62	86	49	+38	open	—	03-26 10:04
btc updown 15m 1774516500	15	$61	80	69	+11	open	—	03-26 09:22
btc updown 15m 1773762300	28	$60	121	0	+121	open	—	03-17 15:57
btc updown 15m 1774553400	10	$59	50	49	+1	open	—	03-26 19:36
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3am et	8	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	03-27 07:49
btc updown 15m 1774620000	10	$53	45	45	+1	open	—	03-27 14:08
btc updown 15m 1774841400	23	$53	108	5	+103	open	—	03-30 03:43
btc updown 5m 1784096700	14	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	07-15 06:28
btc updown 15m 1774827900	19	$46	85	5	+80	open	—	03-29 23:55
iran full airspace closure by july 24	15	$45	170	170	+0	open	—	07-20 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 06:37:30	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x4f2905…
07-27 06:34:40	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x017a65…
07-25 17:58:31	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x2953ee…
07-25 13:00:16	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xf66a5b…
07-25 11:09:46	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xcc42d4…
07-25 09:13:16	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x2fa01a…
07-25 08:57:48	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xb015ff…
07-25 08:07:21	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x3b8d20…
07-25 00:43:27	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0x28a8de…
07-24 21:45:09	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x1f81cb…
07-24 20:44:37	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x3e820b…
07-24 18:00:13	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	Yes	SELL	142	8¢	$11	0xd7284d…
07-24 16:26:03	will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	Yes	BUY	142	14¢	$20	0x6158f6…
07-24 00:02:45	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0xbf8bb2…
07-23 17:40:45	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x1cb889…
07-23 17:40:36	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x62e27e…
07-23 09:51:40	will msft reach 450 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	57	14¢	$8	0xcd501f…
07-23 08:50:22	will msft reach 450 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x0179ed…
07-23 08:50:13	will msft reach 450 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0xd84b6b…
07-22 21:03:18	will pltr reach 150 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x7f1c8d…
07-22 13:31:09	will pltr reach 150 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x04ab5b…
07-22 12:04:13	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	294	16¢	$47	0x8cdb3c…
07-22 12:03:18	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xb55fdb…
07-22 11:54:09	will hood reach 125 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0xfeaf9a…
07-22 11:54:00	will hood reach 125 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x75da53…
07-21 17:33:04	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611	Yes	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0xa93662…
07-21 07:28:01	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xeeb2f5…
07-21 07:27:52	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x15a225…
07-21 05:41:01	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xecb056…
07-20 22:55:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0x92db92…
07-20 22:55:43	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x5cd89a…
07-20 20:36:43	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x49b078…
07-20 20:35:51	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x8d413d…
07-20 19:19:54	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x5f23df…
07-20 19:19:45	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x4f3daa…
07-20 17:43:12	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0x2d02f8…
07-20 17:43:01	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2bb38f…
07-20 17:13:15	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0xbdb67a…
07-20 17:12:55	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	46	26¢	$12	0xe51d22…
07-20 17:12:46	will hood dip to 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xfa4dc8…
07-20 15:01:54	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x1d670e…
07-20 12:47:46	will amzn dip to 216 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xedea3d…
07-20 12:25:07	will amzn dip to 216 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xe5b6b1…
07-20 11:37:15	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x5e16ad…
07-20 11:36:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x44b425…
07-20 09:58:03	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0x1b430c…
07-20 09:57:54	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xcfd504…
07-20 09:50:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x8ebc9f…
07-20 09:09:40	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	109	10¢	$11	0x46e275…
07-20 08:33:34	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	109	11¢	$12	0x4282f9…
07-20 08:04:45	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x175721…
07-20 08:04:42	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xa73e60…
07-20 07:47:45	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x501ee6…
07-20 07:46:45	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	105	11¢	$12	0xe9c500…
07-20 05:38:51	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xaec422…
07-19 23:07:30	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	85	13¢	$11	0x5d4e5b…
07-19 22:59:19	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	85	14¢	$12	0x780ca4…
07-19 16:23:37	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0xdc8338…
07-19 16:21:48	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x32c534…
07-19 16:14:18	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xc8ff5f…
07-19 16:10:24	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0xfa1eab…
07-19 12:10:21	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	92	13¢	$12	0xe39aef…
07-19 11:55:10	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	92	13¢	$12	0xfd592b…
07-15 07:00:26	btc updown 5m 1784098800	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x24641c…
07-15 07:00:13	btc updown 5m 1784098800	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x879b98…
07-15 06:42:32	btc updown 5m 1784097600	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe4ea1f…
07-15 06:42:20	btc updown 5m 1784097600	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x9a0132…
07-15 06:41:47	btc updown 5m 1784097600	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5e5036…
07-15 06:41:11	btc updown 5m 1784097600	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x24465b…
07-15 06:40:59	btc updown 5m 1784097600	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0f25ba…
07-15 06:40:47	btc updown 5m 1784097600	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x69ce39…
07-15 06:40:46	btc updown 5m 1784097600	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x90f57d…
07-15 06:40:46	btc updown 5m 1784097600	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6800a5…
07-15 06:35:20	btc updown 5m 1784097300	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xce7f9d…
07-15 06:32:58	btc updown 5m 1784097000	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xeb3aa4…
07-15 06:32:44	btc updown 5m 1784097000	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xda5277…
07-15 06:32:20	btc updown 5m 1784097000	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x631ebf…
07-15 06:32:05	btc updown 5m 1784097000	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8bc6a7…
07-15 06:31:41	btc updown 5m 1784097000	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x7c617e…
07-15 06:30:13	btc updown 5m 1784097000	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x13b6d2…
07-15 06:28:47	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xff095d…
07-15 06:28:47	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe36154…
07-15 06:28:47	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6aeaf1…
07-15 06:28:37	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfdfda2…
07-15 06:28:17	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xac72ea…
07-15 06:28:07	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x080bee…
07-15 06:27:50	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x408248…
07-15 06:27:20	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x485aa4…
07-15 06:27:01	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x76cc3d…
07-15 06:26:47	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x332c12…
07-15 06:26:26	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x71565d…
07-15 06:25:59	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0b5647…
07-15 06:25:46	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x8109f5…
07-15 06:25:25	btc updown 5m 1784096700	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb3ec82…
07-15 06:23:46	btc updown 5m 1784096400	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4fd10a…
07-15 06:22:53	btc updown 5m 1784096400	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5d659a…
07-15 06:22:31	btc updown 5m 1784096400	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x5d2b4a…
07-15 06:20:44	btc updown 5m 1784096400	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x706360…
07-15 06:20:34	btc updown 5m 1784096400	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc1875f…
07-15 06:20:14	btc updown 5m 1784096400	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xe0495b…