Realized P&L
-$2.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.29K
Hit rate
11.3%
Resolved
2,265
Trades
40,929
lifetime
Volume
$292.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$7.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-22
last 10-28 07:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
57% 17% -$1,631
Politics
31% 13% -$346
Sports
8% 16% -$89
Tech
2% 14% -$34
Pop-Culture
1% 7% -$23
Crypto
1% 23% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 2499 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +849 $456 63¢ $535 +$79 09-28 09:05
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +508 $326 99¢ $504 +$178 09-28 21:29
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +520 $425 96¢ $496 +$71 10-25 19:35
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +418 $341 99¢ $413 +$72 10-05 00:26
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +405 $330 92¢ $373 +$42 10-13 19:24
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +380 $257 98¢ $371 +$114 10-08 01:58
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +379 $326 88¢ $334 +$8 10-13 13:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +849 $403 37¢ $314 -$89 09-27 15:17
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +410 $302 74¢ $304 +$2 10-27 01:15
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +291 $206 99¢ $288 +$83 09-28 08:43
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +245 $216 98¢ $241 +$25 10-03 15:23
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +260 $199 92¢ $241 +$42 10-19 11:37
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +257 $211 87¢ $224 +$13 10-10 12:40
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +290 $118 76¢ $221 +$103 10-08 13:50
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +220 $179 99¢ $217 +$39 10-03 11:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +270 $207 76¢ $207 -$1 10-23 09:25
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +264 $97 76¢ $201 +$104 10-08 13:53
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +221 $150 90¢ $199 +$49 09-28 23:28
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +259 $191 76¢ $199 +$7 10-16 07:38
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +232 $184 82¢ $189 +$5 09-29 15:18
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +184 $112 97¢ $180 +$68 09-28 08:44
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $109 84¢ $169 +$60 10-08 00:14
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +227 $172 73¢ $166 -$6 10-26 08:42
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? Yes +166 $99 99¢ $164 +$65 10-16 22:28
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +277 $178 57¢ $159 -$19 10-27 10:52
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +240 $113 64¢ $154 +$41 10-19 11:41
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +184 $130 76¢ $141 +$11 10-26 08:42
will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026 No +133 $30 98¢ $130 +$101 09-28 13:54
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +134 $118 96¢ $129 +$10 10-11 14:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +147 $117 88¢ $128 +$12 10-20 08:04