Realized P&L (7d)
-$618
Unrealized P&L
+$543
Hit rate
6.7%
Resolved (7d)
463
Trades (7d)
2,787
42,485 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$22.8K
$304.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$6.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-22
last 11-02 05:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
55% 17% -$1,955
Politics
34% 12% -$444
Sports
8% 16% -$99
Tech
2% 15% -$69
Pop-Culture
1% 6% -$23
Crypto
1% 23% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 2499 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +849 $456 66¢ $556 +$100 09-28 09:05
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +520 $425 98¢ $507 +$82 10-25 19:35
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +405 $330 91¢ $368 +$38 10-13 19:24
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +379 $326 84¢ $320 -$5 10-13 13:38
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +410 $302 73¢ $300 -$2 10-27 01:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +849 $403 34¢ $293 -$110 09-27 15:17
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +260 $199 94¢ $245 +$46 10-19 11:37
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +346 $176 63¢ $218 +$42 10-08 13:46
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +257 $211 82¢ $211 +$0 10-10 12:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +270 $207 74¢ $201 -$6 10-23 09:25
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +259 $191 76¢ $199 +$7 10-16 07:38
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +221 $150 88¢ $196 +$45 09-28 23:28
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +232 $184 82¢ $191 +$8 09-29 15:18
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +184 $112 99¢ $182 +$70 09-28 08:44
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +227 $172 70¢ $159 -$13 10-26 08:42
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +277 $178 56¢ $156 -$22 10-27 10:52
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $109 76¢ $151 +$42 10-08 00:14
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +240 $113 62¢ $149 +$36 10-19 11:41
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +184 $130 76¢ $141 +$11 10-26 08:42
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +147 $117 90¢ $131 +$15 10-20 08:04
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +133 $127 98¢ $130 +$3 10-25 10:46
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +134 $118 96¢ $128 +$10 10-11 14:59
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? No +346 $179 37¢ $128 -$51 10-08 06:41
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +137 $40 92¢ $126 +$85 10-05 08:02
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 No +130 $91 95¢ $124 +$33 08-29 05:37
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +140 $105 86¢ $121 +$16 10-10 05:35
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +277 $107 44¢ $120 +$14 10-27 10:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +125 $107 94¢ $118 +$11 10-21 03:31
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +141 $104 82¢ $116 +$12 09-21 13:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +139 $86 81¢ $113 +$27 10-21 15:13