Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.24K
Hit rate
7.5%
Resolved (30d)
1,279
Trades (30d)
12,130
42,687 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$91.9K
$306.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$7.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-22
last 11-10 08:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
55% 16% -$2,152
Politics
34% 11% -$564
Sports
8% 16% -$102
Tech
2% 14% -$71
Pop-Culture
1% 6% -$23
Crypto
1% 22% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 2499 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +520 $425 100¢ $519 +$94 10-25 19:35
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? No +490 $394 92¢ $450 +$56 10-21 12:22
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +493 $366 78¢ $387 +$21 10-27 10:59
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +410 $302 90¢ $367 +$66 10-27 01:15
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +379 $326 95¢ $361 +$36 10-13 13:38
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +405 $330 86¢ $349 +$19 10-13 19:24
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +260 $199 95¢ $248 +$49 10-19 11:37
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +346 $176 70¢ $240 +$65 10-08 13:46
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +249 $162 94¢ $233 +$70 10-19 14:22
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +257 $211 89¢ $229 +$18 10-10 12:40
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +259 $191 87¢ $226 +$35 10-16 07:38
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +220 $57 96¢ $212 +$155 10-26 08:21
Will the Boston Bruins make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +310 $147 68¢ $212 +$66 10-23 12:17
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes +227 $170 93¢ $212 +$42 10-14 03:15
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +221 $150 94¢ $209 +$59 09-28 23:28
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +232 $184 84¢ $194 +$10 09-29 15:18
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +236 $146 80¢ $188 +$42 10-08 14:12
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? No +220 $179 84¢ $186 +$7 10-14 07:37
Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? No +185 $111 98¢ $181 +$70 11-02 22:15
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? No +195 $130 92¢ $180 +$50 10-21 13:25
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? No +193 $147 90¢ $172 +$25 10-15 11:01
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +277 $178 60¢ $167 -$11 10-27 10:52
Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +207 $150 80¢ $167 +$17 10-20 22:01
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +234 $124 71¢ $166 +$42 10-19 22:11
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +227 $172 72¢ $163 -$9 10-26 08:42
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? No +193 $153 83¢ $160 +$7 10-14 16:48
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? No +161 $87 98¢ $157 +$70 09-19 14:56
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +166 $131 94¢ $156 +$25 10-12 03:02
Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season? No +176 $130 88¢ $156 +$25 10-11 14:46
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? No +167 $137 93¢ $155 +$18 10-13 21:35