Realized P&L (90d)
-$3.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.25K
Hit rate
10.0%
Resolved (90d)
3,158
Trades (90d)
42,681
42,681 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$305.9K
$305.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$7.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-22
last 11-10 08:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
55% 16% -$2,176
Politics
34% 12% -$657
Sports
8% 16% -$102
Tech
2% 14% -$71
Pop-Culture
1% 17% -$23
Crypto
1% 22% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 2499 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +520 $425 100¢ $518 +$93 10-25 19:35
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? No +490 $394 92¢ $450 +$56 10-21 12:22
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +493 $366 78¢ $382 +$16 10-27 10:59
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +410 $302 92¢ $380 +$78 10-27 01:15
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +379 $326 95¢ $361 +$36 10-13 13:38
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +405 $330 85¢ $343 +$12 10-13 19:24
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +260 $199 95¢ $247 +$49 10-19 11:37
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +249 $162 97¢ $242 +$80 10-19 14:22
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +257 $211 92¢ $235 +$25 10-10 12:40
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +259 $191 87¢ $226 +$35 10-16 07:38
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes +227 $170 94¢ $212 +$42 10-14 03:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +220 $57 96¢ $212 +$155 10-26 08:21
Will the Boston Bruins make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? Yes +310 $147 68¢ $212 +$66 10-23 12:17
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +221 $150 94¢ $209 +$59 09-28 23:28
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +232 $184 89¢ $206 +$23 09-29 15:18
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? No +220 $179 90¢ $199 +$20 10-14 07:37
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? No +195 $130 99¢ $193 +$63 10-21 13:25
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +236 $146 78¢ $186 +$40 10-08 14:12
Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? No +185 $111 98¢ $181 +$70 11-02 22:15
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? No +193 $147 94¢ $180 +$33 10-15 11:01
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +346 $176 52¢ $178 +$2 10-08 13:46
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +277 $178 64¢ $176 -$2 10-27 10:52
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? No +346 $179 48¢ $168 -$12 10-08 06:41
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +184 $130 90¢ $167 +$37 10-26 08:42
Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +207 $150 80¢ $166 +$16 10-20 22:01
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +234 $124 70¢ $165 +$41 10-19 22:11
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? No +167 $137 95¢ $159 +$22 10-13 21:35
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? No +193 $153 82¢ $158 +$5 10-14 16:48
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? No +161 $87 98¢ $157 +$70 09-19 14:56
Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season? No +176 $130 88¢ $156 +$25 10-11 14:46