Realized P&L
+$20.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$985
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved
36,008
Trades
198,604
lifetime
Volume
$2.43M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$29.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-27 01:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
84% 86% +$16,427
Politics
10% 86% +$3,077
Sports
4% 96% +$1,599
Tech
1% 85% -$141
Crypto
0% 80% -$400
Pop-Culture
0% 89% +$348
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3725 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,832 $2,319 76¢ $2.2K -$166 09-22 12:05
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,390 $1,389 100¢ $1.4K -$1 09-20 17:19
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,366 $1,357 100¢ $1.4K +$3 10-05 07:29
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,354 $1,353 100¢ $1.4K -$1 09-20 03:27
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,195 $1,194 100¢ $1.2K -$1 10-25 17:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,277 $505 91¢ $1.2K +$660 10-24 14:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,045 $1,037 99¢ $1.0K -$2 10-25 09:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,013 $973 98¢ $993 +$20 10-24 06:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +992 $988 100¢ $989 +$1 10-25 23:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,012 $995 97¢ $985 -$10 10-13 15:43
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +945 $916 100¢ $944 +$28 10-25 20:44
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +931 $767 100¢ $931 +$164 10-25 19:53
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +942 $760 98¢ $927 +$167 10-19 18:01
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? No +877 $847 100¢ $876 +$28 10-25 20:09
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +890 $872 98¢ $872 $0 10-26 09:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +850 $810 99¢ $844 +$34 10-25 14:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +845 $835 100¢ $844 +$9 10-16 15:45
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +845 $836 99¢ $836 $0 10-26 13:13
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +835 $831 100¢ $831 +$1 10-26 13:13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +826 $773 99¢ $816 +$44 09-25 16:43
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +810 $779 100¢ $809 +$29 10-25 18:15
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +805 $802 99¢ $801 -$1 10-26 13:13
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +795 $788 99¢ $789 +$1 10-26 16:00
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +805 $785 97¢ $784 -$1 10-26 13:13
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +790 $787 97¢ $764 -$22 09-23 04:47
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +765 $762 100¢ $762 +$0 10-26 13:13
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +765 $763 100¢ $762 -$1 10-26 13:13
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +772 $761 98¢ $760 $0 10-26 13:13
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +765 $760 99¢ $760 $0 10-26 13:13
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +765 $747 98¢ $749 +$2 10-26 13:13