Realized P&L (24h)
+$274
Unrealized P&L
+$458
Hit rate
91.9%
Resolved (24h)
79
Trades (24h)
681
209,203 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$18.8K
$2.69M lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$38.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 11-10 13:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
82% 86% +$16,922
Politics
12% 84% +$3,832
Sports
4% 95% +$1,661
Tech
1% 84% +$1,301
Crypto
0% 81% -$358
Pop-Culture
0% 91% +$354
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1817 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,951 $2,937 100¢ $2.9K +$4 11-10 09:23
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,284 $3,214 50¢ $2.2K -$1,051 11-06 15:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,899 $1,850 100¢ $1.9K +$44 11-10 11:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,824 $1,779 100¢ $1.8K +$36 11-10 13:33
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,750 $1,749 100¢ $1.7K $0 11-08 05:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,437 $1,736 67¢ $1.6K -$99 11-10 11:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,791 $1,762 89¢ $1.6K -$174 11-10 09:30
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,495 $1,493 100¢ $1.5K -$1 11-07 17:23
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,411 $1,401 100¢ $1.4K +$6 10-27 09:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,555 $558 51¢ $1.3K +$745 11-06 18:15
Theo James announced as next James Bond? No +1,282 $1,277 99¢ $1.3K -$3 11-10 09:42
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,252 $1,250 100¢ $1.2K $0 11-08 11:32
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +1,242 $1,215 99¢ $1.2K +$20 11-09 08:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,447 $920 80¢ $1.2K +$231 11-10 14:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,225 $966 93¢ $1.1K +$179 11-09 05:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,119 $934 98¢ $1.1K +$166 11-09 18:08
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,068 $1,066 100¢ $1.1K +$0 11-09 14:10
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,055 $1,044 99¢ $1.0K -$1 11-05 20:10
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,055 $1,031 98¢ $1.0K +$5 11-05 20:10
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +1,038 $984 99¢ $1.0K +$46 11-10 11:49
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,015 $1,010 100¢ $1.0K +$1 11-05 20:10
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,006 $817 100¢ $1.0K +$186 11-04 11:24
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +985 $981 100¢ $983 +$2 11-05 20:10
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +964 $920 99¢ $958 +$38 11-10 09:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +955 $883 100¢ $951 +$68 11-10 11:36
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +945 $942 100¢ $943 +$0 11-05 20:10
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +945 $940 100¢ $943 +$3 11-05 20:10
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +950 $931 99¢ $939 +$8 11-05 19:48
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? No +920 $912 99¢ $914 +$3 11-09 20:44
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +915 $911 99¢ $907 -$4 11-08 08:32