Realized P&L (24h)
+$338
Unrealized P&L
+$204
Hit rate
91.7%
Resolved (24h)
90
Trades (24h)
632
209,009 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$15.9K
$2.68M lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$36.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 11-10 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
82% 86% +$16,922
Politics
12% 84% +$3,835
Sports
4% 95% +$1,661
Tech
1% 84% +$1,301
Crypto
0% 81% -$358
Pop-Culture
0% 91% +$354
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1817 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,359 $2,347 100¢ $2.3K +$1 11-06 14:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,815 $1,766 100¢ $1.8K +$41 11-09 22:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,555 $558 68¢ $1.8K +$1,192 11-06 18:15
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,750 $1,749 100¢ $1.7K $0 11-08 05:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,407 $1,716 66¢ $1.6K -$119 11-10 03:29
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,284 $3,214 36¢ $1.6K -$1,651 11-06 15:24
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,495 $1,493 100¢ $1.5K -$1 11-07 17:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,487 $1,465 99¢ $1.5K +$14 11-06 13:30
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,411 $1,401 100¢ $1.4K +$6 10-27 09:06
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,252 $1,250 100¢ $1.3K +$0 11-08 11:32
Theo James announced as next James Bond? No +1,252 $1,248 99¢ $1.2K -$3 11-09 20:44
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +1,242 $1,215 99¢ $1.2K +$9 11-09 08:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,147 $1,105 99¢ $1.1K +$33 11-06 13:32
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,068 $1,066 100¢ $1.1K +$0 11-09 14:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,119 $934 95¢ $1.1K +$126 11-09 18:08
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,055 $1,044 99¢ $1.0K $0 11-05 20:10
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,055 $1,031 98¢ $1.0K +$5 11-05 20:10
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,015 $1,010 100¢ $1.0K +$1 11-05 20:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,225 $966 82¢ $1.0K +$45 11-09 05:59
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,006 $817 100¢ $1.0K +$186 11-04 11:24
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +985 $981 100¢ $983 +$2 11-05 20:10
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +978 $924 100¢ $973 +$49 11-10 01:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,297 $808 74¢ $960 +$152 11-10 06:45
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +945 $942 100¢ $943 +$0 11-05 20:10
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +945 $940 100¢ $943 +$3 11-05 20:10
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +950 $931 99¢ $938 +$7 11-05 19:48
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +934 $890 99¢ $928 +$38 11-09 20:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +925 $853 100¢ $921 +$68 11-09 04:37
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? No +920 $912 99¢ $914 +$2 11-09 20:44
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +915 $911 99¢ $907 -$4 11-08 08:32