Realized P&L (24h)
+$554
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved (24h)
129
Trades (24h)
645
208,915 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$15.7K
$2.68M lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$36.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 11-09 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
82% 86% +$16,824
Politics
12% 84% +$3,846
Sports
4% 95% +$1,644
Tech
1% 84% +$1,301
Crypto
0% 81% -$358
Pop-Culture
0% 91% +$353
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1817 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,359 $2,347 100¢ $2.3K +$1 11-06 14:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,815 $1,766 100¢ $1.8K +$41 11-09 22:13
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,750 $1,749 100¢ $1.7K $0 11-08 05:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,555 $558 68¢ $1.7K +$1,166 11-06 18:15
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,377 $1,696 67¢ $1.6K -$106 11-09 16:59
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,495 $1,493 100¢ $1.5K -$1 11-07 17:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,487 $1,465 99¢ $1.5K +$14 11-06 13:30
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,284 $3,214 34¢ $1.5K -$1,739 11-06 15:24
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,411 $1,401 100¢ $1.4K +$6 10-27 09:06
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,252 $1,250 100¢ $1.3K +$0 11-08 11:32
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +1,242 $1,215 99¢ $1.2K +$19 11-09 08:48
Theo James announced as next James Bond? No +1,252 $1,248 98¢ $1.2K -$25 11-09 20:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,147 $1,105 99¢ $1.1K +$33 11-06 13:32
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,068 $1,066 100¢ $1.1K +$0 11-09 14:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,119 $934 94¢ $1.1K +$116 11-09 18:08
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,055 $1,044 99¢ $1.0K $0 11-05 20:10
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,055 $1,031 98¢ $1.0K +$5 11-05 20:10
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,015 $1,010 100¢ $1.0K +$1 11-05 20:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,225 $966 82¢ $1.0K +$45 11-09 05:59
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,006 $817 100¢ $1.0K +$186 11-04 11:24
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +985 $981 100¢ $983 +$2 11-05 20:10
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +973 $919 99¢ $963 +$44 11-09 20:57
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +945 $942 100¢ $943 +$0 11-05 20:10
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +945 $940 100¢ $943 +$3 11-05 20:10
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +950 $931 99¢ $937 +$6 11-05 19:48
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +934 $890 99¢ $929 +$38 11-09 20:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +925 $853 100¢ $921 +$68 11-09 04:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,255 $778 73¢ $916 +$138 11-09 22:39
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? No +920 $912 99¢ $913 +$2 11-09 20:44
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +915 $911 99¢ $906 -$5 11-08 08:32