Realized P&L (90d)
+$7.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.48K
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved (90d)
21,428
Trades (90d)
89,502
186,924 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.31M
$2.34M lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$33.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-29 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
84% 86% +$16,731
Politics
11% 86% +$3,326
Sports
4% 96% +$1,526
Tech
1% 85% -$141
Crypto
0% 80% -$398
Pop-Culture
0% 89% +$348
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2468 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,237 $3,014 100¢ $3.2K +$223 10-28 10:55
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,832 $2,319 77¢ $2.2K -$143 09-22 12:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,119 $2,108 100¢ $2.1K +$6 10-28 20:03
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,411 $1,401 100¢ $1.4K +$5 10-27 09:06
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,390 $1,389 100¢ $1.4K -$1 09-20 17:19
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,354 $1,353 100¢ $1.4K -$1 09-20 03:27
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +1,310 $1,224 100¢ $1.3K +$83 10-28 20:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,277 $505 100¢ $1.3K +$766 10-24 14:13
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,195 $1,194 100¢ $1.2K -$1 10-25 17:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1,118 $1,076 99¢ $1.1K +$26 10-28 16:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,042 $1,024 98¢ $1.0K -$7 10-28 18:00
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +942 $760 100¢ $940 +$181 10-19 18:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +937 $897 100¢ $933 +$36 10-29 01:29
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +931 $767 100¢ $931 +$164 10-25 19:53
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +887 $879 100¢ $884 +$5 10-28 23:50
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +890 $872 98¢ $872 $0 10-26 09:28
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +875 $866 99¢ $864 -$2 10-27 19:15
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +875 $854 98¢ $856 +$2 10-28 22:14
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +835 $831 100¢ $831 +$1 10-26 13:13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +826 $773 100¢ $821 +$49 09-25 16:43
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +835 $814 97¢ $813 -$1 10-27 11:36
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +810 $779 100¢ $809 +$29 10-25 18:15
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +931 $723 86¢ $805 +$82 09-14 09:32
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +805 $802 100¢ $801 $0 10-26 13:13
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +795 $788 99¢ $787 -$2 10-26 16:00
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +790 $787 97¢ $764 -$22 09-23 04:47
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +777 $766 98¢ $764 -$2 10-28 15:26
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +766 $763 100¢ $764 +$1 10-28 17:25
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +765 $763 100¢ $763 +$0 10-26 13:13
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +765 $762 100¢ $762 -$1 10-26 13:13