Cloudy-Injustice — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$3.66K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.97K

Hit rate

92.1%

Resolved (30d)

6,466

Trades (30d)

20,075

201,320 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$411.8K

$2.50M lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$34.4K

30 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-30 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Other

83% 86% +$17,351

Politics

11% 86% +$3,519

Sports

4% 96% +$1,517

Tech

1% 85% -$141

Crypto

0% 80% -$398

Pop-Culture

0% 89% +$348

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1961 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+3,237	$3,014	100¢	$3.2K	+$223	10-28 10:55
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+2,832	$2,319	78¢	$2.2K	-$123	09-22 12:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+2,119	$2,108	100¢	$2.1K	+$0	10-28 20:03
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	+2,074	$1,575	98¢	$2.0K	+$468	10-28 22:39
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+1,411	$1,401	100¢	$1.4K	+$5	10-27 09:06
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+1,390	$1,389	100¢	$1.4K	-$1	09-20 17:19
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+1,354	$1,353	100¢	$1.4K	-$1	09-20 03:27
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	+1,340	$1,254	100¢	$1.3K	+$81	10-29 14:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+1,277	$505	99¢	$1.3K	+$764	10-24 14:13
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+1,195	$1,194	100¢	$1.2K	-$1	10-25 17:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	+1,118	$1,076	99¢	$1.1K	+$26	10-28 16:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+1,072	$1,053	98¢	$1.1K	-$2	10-29 23:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+937	$897	99¢	$930	+$33	10-29 01:29
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+887	$879	100¢	$886	+$7	10-28 23:50
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+890	$872	98¢	$875	+$3	10-26 09:28
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+875	$866	99¢	$864	-$2	10-27 19:15
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+875	$854	98¢	$858	+$4	10-28 22:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	+1,006	$454	83¢	$835	+$381	10-30 12:17
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+835	$831	100¢	$831	+$1	10-26 13:13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	No	+826	$773	99¢	$820	+$48	09-25 16:43
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+835	$814	97¢	$812	-$2	10-27 11:36
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	+820	$799	99¢	$809	+$10	10-30 12:51
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+805	$802	100¢	$801	$0	10-26 13:13
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	+931	$723	86¢	$796	+$73	09-14 09:32
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+795	$788	99¢	$787	-$2	10-26 16:00
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+790	$787	97¢	$769	-$18	09-23 04:47
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+766	$763	100¢	$764	+$1	10-28 17:25
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+777	$766	98¢	$763	-$3	10-28 15:26
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+765	$763	100¢	$762	$0	10-26 13:13
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+765	$760	99¢	$760	$0	10-26 13:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	575	$14.5K	14,535	238	+14,297	No	+$52	10-26 00:07
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	437	$11.9K	11,922	502	+11,420	No	+$90	10-26 07:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	228	$7.7K	7,710	78	+7,632	No	+$55	10-26 00:11
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	297	$7.0K	8,075	352	+7,723	No	+$1,162	10-25 23:01
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	154	$4.1K	4,275	17	+4,258	No	+$166	09-20 19:21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	78	$3.8K	3,797	153	+3,644	No	+$8	10-25 23:16
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	259	$3.8K	4,462	13	+4,450	No	+$676	09-20 19:14
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	112	$3.2K	3,273	25	+3,248	No	+$117	10-02 10:58
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	52	$3.0K	3,237	0	+3,237	open	—	10-28 10:55
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	147	$2.8K	2,959	0	+2,959	No	+$135	07-10 15:55
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	121	$2.8K	3,036	5	+3,031	No	+$223	05-20 21:20
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	127	$2.7K	2,729	3	+2,726	No	+$3	09-19 16:58
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	97	$2.7K	2,683	36	+2,647	No	+$5	09-20 14:26
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	122	$2.5K	2,529	378	+2,151	No	+$11	10-24 18:56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	70	$2.5K	2,532	0	+2,532	No	+$25	10-25 22:49
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	112	$2.5K	2,531	462	+2,069	No	+$63	10-25 23:01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	60	$2.4K	2,485	153	+2,332	No	+$62	10-25 23:16
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	102	$2.4K	2,377	0	+2,377	No	+$6	09-17 02:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	71	$2.4K	2,380	25	+2,355	No	+$16	09-16 14:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	332	$2.3K	2,514	1,487	+1,027	No	+$675	09-09 18:50
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	123	$2.3K	2,832	8	+2,824	open	—	09-22 12:05
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	126	$2.2K	2,195	190	+2,005	No	+$2	09-25 15:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	92	$2.2K	2,204	25	+2,179	No	+$19	09-11 14:59
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	89	$2.1K	2,128	155	+1,973	No	+$12	09-11 05:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	73	$2.1K	2,119	20	+2,099	open	—	10-28 20:03
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	102	$2.0K	1,973	26	+1,947	No	+$19	09-20 19:21
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	77	$2.0K	1,953	231	+1,722	No	+$4	10-22 04:43
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	94	$1.9K	2,362	0	+2,362	No	+$424	09-01 16:18
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?	78	$1.8K	1,964	41	+1,923	No	+$137	05-20 21:04
Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	32	$1.8K	1,800	6	+1,793	No	+$13	08-31 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:59:22	Will PP win 138-143 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	75	82¢	$61	0x4b6f61…
10-30 14:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C or below on October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x6a757e…
10-30 14:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x580e4f…
10-30 14:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x21e590…
10-30 14:58:37	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$0	0x0635e7…
10-30 14:57:51	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x14857e…
10-30 14:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa05304…
10-30 14:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8290f9…
10-30 14:54:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x684910…
10-30 14:53:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x2cd700…
10-30 14:53:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xe9fa17…
10-30 14:52:57	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x18dbe0…
10-30 14:52:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x5b453a…
10-30 14:52:04	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x15c837…
10-30 14:52:03	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x38dbbb…
10-30 14:52:03	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x182dc9…
10-30 14:49:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x88ee6e…
10-30 14:48:39	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x124484…
10-30 14:48:37	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xb7368d…
10-30 14:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd65c5f…
10-30 14:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd41ea8…
10-30 14:47:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc3ba80…
10-30 14:47:07	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xe2d775…
10-30 14:46:58	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x19598e…
10-30 14:43:39	Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x8841ae…
10-30 14:43:31	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xdc1e8b…
10-30 14:43:06	Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x7f9f66…
10-30 14:40:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x761fa2…
10-30 14:37:27	Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x7e0632…
10-30 14:36:04	Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x67be81…
10-30 14:35:48	Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x2fd259…
10-30 14:32:30	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$12	0x8428c9…
10-30 14:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe4f259…
10-30 14:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x9bafaf…
10-30 14:27:42	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x4deb2d…
10-30 14:23:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa7df7d…
10-30 14:22:31	Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf04351…
10-30 14:21:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xc6d07d…
10-30 14:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xc469c5…
10-30 14:18:37	Will Gabriel Attal win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x68c088…
10-30 14:18:37	Will Marine Tondelier win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5188fe…
10-30 14:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x4e00ab…
10-30 14:14:25	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x17a84b…
10-30 14:13:40	Will Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xfc1a1a…
10-30 14:13:40	Will Jordan Bardella win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xeeaaa4…
10-30 14:13:40	Will François Hollande win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xc3fad5…
10-30 14:13:40	Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	75¢	$32	0xb2f23d…
10-30 14:13:40	Will Éric Zemmour win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x764394…
10-30 14:13:40	Will Bruno Retailleau win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x6d8714…
10-30 14:12:01	Will Dominique de Villepin win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xe59b51…
10-30 14:11:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xfdca62…
10-30 14:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x1922d8…
10-30 14:11:13	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12a6b3…
10-30 14:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xcbf393…
10-30 14:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x67d6fa…
10-30 14:10:40	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x108761…
10-30 14:08:15	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xca3ec6…
10-30 14:07:37	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	No	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0xe1108e…
10-30 14:06:04	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x7dcb5f…
10-30 14:02:30	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x17cd45…
10-30 14:00:52	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6e446d…
10-30 13:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4a14b9…
10-30 13:53:39	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	0¢	$0	0x5db233…
10-30 13:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xfa2db3…
10-30 13:53:15	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x805a45…
10-30 13:52:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x0d6b2f…
10-30 13:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x928c1c…
10-30 13:42:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x250023…
10-30 13:41:00	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf06eba…
10-30 13:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 31?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xed91ce…
10-30 13:38:37	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0x11ad38…
10-30 13:37:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0x6a9001…
10-30 13:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x03c94b…
10-30 13:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x533644…
10-30 13:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1770dd…
10-30 13:31:49	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5ad348…
10-30 13:30:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xca13cb…
10-30 13:30:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x4945de…
10-30 13:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xeced02…
10-30 13:24:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xf33ec4…
10-30 13:18:58	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x1cfe02…
10-30 13:11:21	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.5 on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd52d17…
10-30 13:08:37	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xba3817…
10-30 13:07:22	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2dbacb…
10-30 13:06:40	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf702d1…
10-30 13:04:24	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	No	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x1f5c32…
10-30 13:02:06	Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	75	9¢	$7	0xad3585…
10-30 13:01:06	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$0	0x9e3944…
10-30 13:00:46	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xabc97f…
10-30 13:00:45	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xc4fa73…
10-30 13:00:45	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xa6a1fb…
10-30 13:00:45	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x01a853…
10-30 12:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x897b6c…
10-30 12:56:13	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	No	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0xeb38d5…
10-30 12:56:13	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xd06a90…
10-30 12:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x1ce766…
10-30 12:53:37	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x1c8b31…
10-30 12:51:12	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5c72bd…
10-30 12:50:36	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x134eae…
10-30 12:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x1da1ee…