Realized P&L
-$1.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$439
Hit rate
2.7%
Resolved
1,105
Trades
17,678
lifetime
Volume
$176.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$3.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-27 17:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
57% 5% -$1,255
Politics
32% 4% -$299
Sports
4% 12% -$14
Tech
3% 5% -$33
Crypto
2% 0% -$5
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 2454 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +300 $222 95¢ $285 +$63 10-25 08:20
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +205 $82 94¢ $192 +$111 10-25 14:13
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $153 94¢ $189 +$36 10-25 13:24
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +180 $152 97¢ $174 +$22 10-25 09:18
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +200 $168 82¢ $165 -$3 10-24 20:25
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +200 $160 82¢ $163 +$3 10-25 12:41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +190 $124 82¢ $157 +$33 10-10 05:54
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +179 $139 87¢ $156 +$17 10-16 09:46
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +173 $121 88¢ $153 +$32 10-25 09:52
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +220 $150 68¢ $151 +$1 10-25 09:12
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +200 $133 74¢ $147 +$14 10-24 16:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +164 $122 86¢ $140 +$18 10-25 15:31
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +250 $162 53¢ $132 -$30 10-11 00:21
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +250 $94 47¢ $117 +$23 10-11 00:21
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No +120 $94 90¢ $107 +$14 10-12 14:07
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +100 $64 98¢ $98 +$34 10-20 05:58
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +100 $89 97¢ $97 +$8 10-12 15:25
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +100 $72 93¢ $93 +$21 10-24 15:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +120 $85 76¢ $91 +$6 10-12 14:58
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +100 $86 85¢ $85 -$1 10-25 14:19
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +100 $76 84¢ $84 +$8 10-08 21:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +103 $66 77¢ $79 +$13 10-13 11:07
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 No +120 $92 64¢ $77 -$14 10-24 19:28
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +100 $76 76¢ $76 $0 10-11 15:33
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +110 $63 66¢ $72 +$9 10-10 22:38
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +100 $73 70¢ $70 -$3 10-24 15:08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +220 $71 32¢ $69 -$2 10-25 09:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +70 $65 96¢ $67 +$2 10-25 12:00
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +100 $60 64¢ $64 +$4 10-25 12:11
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +80 $60 78¢ $63 +$3 10-11 19:41