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whale bot cold 12L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$670
Hit rate
2.8%
Resolved (90d)
1,904
Trades (90d)
17,657
17,657 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$175.8K
$175.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$3.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 11-10 16:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
57% 5% -$1,927
Politics
32% 5% -$541
Sports
4% 12% -$18
Tech
3% 2% -$76
Crypto
2% 0% -$23
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 2454 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $153 98¢ $195 +$42 10-25 13:24
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +200 $160 92¢ $185 +$25 10-25 12:41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +190 $124 90¢ $172 +$48 10-10 05:54
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +173 $121 97¢ $167 +$47 10-25 09:52
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +250 $162 65¢ $162 $0 10-11 00:21
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No +200 $168 79¢ $158 -$10 10-24 20:25
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +200 $133 76¢ $153 +$20 10-24 16:24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +220 $150 68¢ $148 -$2 10-25 09:12
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? Yes +165 $83 90¢ $148 +$64 10-11 13:15
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? No +142 $88 100¢ $142 +$54 10-11 12:22
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +241 $113 52¢ $124 +$11 10-24 20:45
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31? Yes +148 $52 82¢ $122 +$71 10-13 01:03
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +241 $138 48¢ $117 -$21 10-24 20:45
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? No +150 $124 77¢ $115 -$9 10-13 07:41
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No +120 $94 95¢ $114 +$21 10-12 14:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? No +120 $88 92¢ $111 +$23 10-17 05:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +120 $85 92¢ $110 +$26 10-12 14:58
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +150 $114 71¢ $106 -$8 10-13 15:42
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? No +190 $118 56¢ $106 -$12 10-25 04:02
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +160 $90 65¢ $104 +$14 10-12 16:20
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 No +120 $92 86¢ $104 +$12 10-24 19:28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 35%-40%? Yes +103 $23 99¢ $102 +$79 10-13 13:24
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +100 $90 100¢ $100 +$10 10-12 13:12
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +100 $64 99¢ $99 +$35 10-20 05:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? No +100 $72 99¢ $99 +$26 10-12 19:58
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? Yes +110 $81 90¢ $98 +$17 10-13 08:30
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $97 82¢ $98 +$1 10-13 16:14
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? Yes +120 $42 80¢ $95 +$54 10-13 13:08
Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? No +100 $80 94¢ $94 +$14 10-09 10:00
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +100 $76 93¢ $93 +$17 10-08 21:57