Realized P&L
-$559
Unrealized P&L
+$1.66K
Hit rate
32.3%
Resolved
1,238
Trades
137,353
lifetime
Volume
$386.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$24.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 06-13 06:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
44% 13% +$557
Politics
30% 13% $-411
Crypto
19% 3% $-332
Tech
5% 0% $-161
Sports
3% 9% $-202
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 6814 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,794 $1,401 84¢ $1.5K +$97 06-13 10:30
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,551 $439 90¢ $1.4K +$964 06-08 02:35
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,687 $1,326 80¢ $1.4K +$32 06-12 12:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,413 $1,225 88¢ $1.3K +$26 06-13 11:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1,960 $789 52¢ $1.0K +$230 06-12 14:59
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2,086 $1,174 48¢ $1.0K $-172 06-12 12:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,208 $888 80¢ $960 +$73 06-12 09:55
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,877 $1,147 51¢ $957 $-190 06-13 05:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,465 $956 60¢ $887 $-69 06-13 09:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +951 $809 90¢ $851 +$42 06-12 15:20
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +980 $820 84¢ $818 $-2 06-13 08:08
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1,633 $650 49¢ $800 +$150 06-13 02:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,347 $817 58¢ $781 $-36 06-12 18:59
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +931 $657 83¢ $773 +$115 06-12 16:06
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +977 $767 76¢ $748 $-20 06-13 05:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +900 $729 80¢ $724 $-4 06-12 05:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No +786 $707 90¢ $707 +$0 06-11 22:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $710 70¢ $705 $-5 06-13 07:45
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +705 $692 97¢ $685 $-7 06-13 10:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +788 $581 84¢ $662 +$80 06-13 06:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +719 $610 90¢ $647 +$37 06-13 06:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1,034 $672 61¢ $631 $-41 06-13 03:40
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +800 $224 74¢ $596 +$372 05-31 17:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1,417 $625 42¢ $595 $-30 06-13 07:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,474 $537 40¢ $582 +$45 06-13 08:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +704 $530 80¢ $560 +$30 06-12 07:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +985 $534 54¢ $527 $-7 06-13 08:44
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +606 $511 84¢ $506 $-5 06-11 19:09
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +730 $500 65¢ $475 $-25 06-13 03:40
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +544 $468 83¢ $451 $-16 06-11 13:36