Realized P&L
-$559
Unrealized P&L
+$1.90K
Hit rate
32.3%
Resolved
1,238
Trades
131,771
lifetime
Volume
$311.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$9.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 06-09 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
42% 13% +$557
Politics
28% 13% $-411
Crypto
22% 3% $-332
Sports
4% 9% $-202
Tech
3% 0% $-161
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 6814 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,551 $439 68¢ $1.1K +$615 06-08 02:35
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $598 76¢ $604 +$6 06-09 10:01
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +800 $224 72¢ $572 +$348 05-31 17:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +800 $32 64¢ $508 +$476 05-29 14:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +524 $456 88¢ $459 +$3 06-08 10:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +600 $440 72¢ $435 $-5 06-08 19:52
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +630 $416 68¢ $431 +$16 06-09 08:52
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +600 $436 70¢ $417 $-19 06-09 09:43
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +666 $262 59¢ $393 +$130 06-08 21:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +400 $294 78¢ $310 +$16 06-09 12:04
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +949 $303 32¢ $299 $-4 06-09 19:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +400 $292 72¢ $286 $-6 06-09 15:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +351 $252 77¢ $270 +$18 06-09 12:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No +300 $270 90¢ $268 $-2 06-08 15:50
Megaquake by June 30? No +277 $75 94¢ $259 +$184 06-08 07:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +300 $258 83¢ $249 $-9 06-09 17:41
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +300 $235 80¢ $242 +$7 06-08 22:19
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +271 $236 86¢ $231 $-5 06-09 09:33
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +250 $212 91¢ $227 +$15 06-09 12:08
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +252 $208 85¢ $215 +$6 06-09 16:20
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +858 $212 24¢ $210 $-1 06-09 21:33
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +223 $202 92¢ $205 +$3 06-09 21:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +400 $228 51¢ $204 $-24 06-09 16:19
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? Yes +200 $196 98¢ $196 +$0 06-09 17:27
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +225 $193 86¢ $194 +$0 06-09 03:21
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +205 $198 94¢ $192 $-6 06-09 00:27
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? No +457 $46 41¢ $189 +$142 05-31 10:16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +269 $189 69¢ $186 $-3 06-09 20:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $184 46¢ $182 $-2 06-08 01:33
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +201 $176 87¢ $175 $-0 06-09 01:12