Realized P&L
+$2.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.9K
Hit rate
42.6%
Resolved
88,831
Trades
576,873
lifetime
Volume
$2.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$92.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-27 02:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 215 days
Categories
Other
62% 13% -$6,030
Politics
23% 17% +$18,462
Crypto
7% 4% -$13,538
Tech
5% 16% -$3,095
Sports
3% 7% +$6,903
Pop-Culture
1% 9% +$212
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5320 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +6,310 $3,374 97¢ $6.1K +$2,719 08-07 14:03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +6,484 $5,312 86¢ $5.6K +$297 08-11 03:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6,169 $4,879 86¢ $5.3K +$395 07-21 18:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +5,011 $3,841 94¢ $4.7K +$894 10-23 20:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4,681 $2,618 97¢ $4.5K +$1,925 08-25 06:41
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +4,220 $4,027 100¢ $4.2K +$193 10-27 01:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4,715 $782 88¢ $4.2K +$3,391 06-15 13:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4,137 $2,841 94¢ $3.9K +$1,068 06-24 06:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3,997 $3,249 96¢ $3.8K +$568 07-30 06:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4,190 $3,377 88¢ $3.7K +$289 08-21 15:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,844 $2,045 88¢ $3.4K +$1,318 09-22 03:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,783 $1,774 87¢ $3.3K +$1,522 06-19 16:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +3,517 $2,620 90¢ $3.2K +$545 09-04 12:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3,115 $2,214 98¢ $3.1K +$846 09-04 20:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,057 $2,616 94¢ $2.9K +$242 08-04 04:18
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2,683 $1,897 92¢ $2.5K +$567 10-01 08:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,899 $1,591 84¢ $2.4K +$829 08-04 13:05
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +2,480 $1,275 96¢ $2.4K +$1,100 08-11 02:08
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +4,104 $2,954 55¢ $2.2K -$717 10-21 20:46
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,254 $2,055 97¢ $2.2K +$126 06-23 13:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2,339 $1,456 92¢ $2.1K +$684 08-02 01:32
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +2,104 $1,909 100¢ $2.1K +$194 10-27 01:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +3,545 $2,131 58¢ $2.1K -$57 09-28 08:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +2,117 $301 96¢ $2.0K +$1,721 09-11 08:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +2,243 $1,636 86¢ $1.9K +$304 08-01 05:20
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +1,842 $1,051 99¢ $1.8K +$778 10-24 08:44
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3,897 $1,148 46¢ $1.8K +$625 10-21 16:19
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +2,443 $1,122 68¢ $1.6K +$527 10-26 18:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +1,612 $1,344 99¢ $1.6K +$254 07-26 19:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,382 $1,849 67¢ $1.6K -$264 10-22 19:02