Realized P&L
-$559
Unrealized P&L
+$5.61K
Hit rate
32.3%
Resolved
1,238
Trades
194,218
lifetime
Volume
$758.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$56.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 07-13 06:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
46% 13% +$557
Politics
28% 13% $-411
Crypto
17% 3% $-332
Tech
6% 0% $-161
Sports
4% 9% $-202
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 11975 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +5,126 $2,412 80¢ $4.1K +$1,714 07-10 01:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,843 $3,893 80¢ $3.9K +$6 07-12 00:10
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +4,468 $3,629 86¢ $3.9K +$236 07-09 19:24
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +3,993 $2,118 81¢ $3.2K +$1,116 07-08 13:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3,337 $2,337 86¢ $2.9K +$549 06-24 06:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,575 $1,686 78¢ $2.8K +$1,120 06-19 16:24
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,837 $2,424 88¢ $2.5K +$58 07-04 10:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,812 $3,108 62¢ $2.4K $-726 06-15 12:27
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,067 $1,013 100¢ $2.1K +$1,052 06-20 19:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,331 $1,897 88¢ $2.0K +$143 07-09 19:42
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2,345 $1,915 86¢ $2.0K +$113 07-10 07:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2,695 $1,895 74¢ $2.0K +$113 07-07 13:25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2,254 $1,650 80¢ $1.8K +$165 07-04 16:08
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +2,249 $1,775 75¢ $1.7K $-88 07-07 17:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +1,924 $1,486 86¢ $1.7K +$178 07-12 01:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,759 $1,500 60¢ $1.6K +$141 07-09 01:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1,551 $1,339 94¢ $1.5K +$124 06-28 07:16
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,697 $1,437 52¢ $1.4K $-21 07-10 09:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,413 $1,225 92¢ $1.3K +$68 06-13 11:39
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,695 $1,270 48¢ $1.3K +$10 07-13 05:21
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,336 $1,202 92¢ $1.2K +$33 06-22 21:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,875 $1,306 40¢ $1.2K $-141 07-08 06:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3,087 $523 38¢ $1.2K +$635 06-15 13:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,180 $1,020 94¢ $1.1K +$95 07-03 05:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,698 $1,059 64¢ $1.1K +$28 07-13 05:41
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,522 $767 70¢ $1.1K +$306 06-29 16:28
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +5,105 $2,417 20¢ $996 $-1,421 07-10 05:22
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +1,124 $976 88¢ $986 +$10 06-30 08:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +4,342 $869 20¢ $847 $-22 07-12 10:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +954 $828 88¢ $844 +$16 07-08 13:39