Realized P&L
-$4.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$24.7K
Hit rate
42.5%
Resolved
93,626
Trades
596,865
lifetime
Volume
$2.71M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$87.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 11-06 03:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 225 days
Categories
Other
61% 13% -$9,255
Politics
24% 17% +$15,054
Crypto
7% 4% -$13,577
Tech
5% 17% -$3,691
Sports
3% 7% +$6,507
Pop-Culture
1% 9% +$131
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4917 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +6,489 $5,316 96¢ $6.2K +$881 10-29 17:47
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +6,310 $3,374 98¢ $6.2K +$2,820 08-07 14:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6,169 $4,879 92¢ $5.6K +$766 07-21 18:56
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4,681 $2,618 97¢ $4.6K +$1,939 08-25 06:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4,715 $782 90¢ $4.2K +$3,439 06-15 13:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4,137 $2,841 94¢ $3.9K +$1,068 06-24 06:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3,997 $3,249 97¢ $3.9K +$616 07-30 06:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4,190 $3,377 92¢ $3.8K +$456 08-21 15:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,894 $2,090 92¢ $3.6K +$1,512 11-04 03:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,783 $1,774 92¢ $3.5K +$1,725 06-19 16:24
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +5,011 $3,841 70¢ $3.5K -$359 10-23 20:10
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +4,104 $2,954 84¢ $3.4K +$494 10-21 20:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +3,517 $2,620 92¢ $3.3K +$633 09-04 12:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,057 $2,616 97¢ $3.0K +$346 08-04 04:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,899 $1,591 86¢ $2.5K +$887 08-04 13:05
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2,683 $1,897 87¢ $2.3K +$445 10-01 08:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +3,550 $2,134 62¢ $2.2K +$84 11-05 18:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2,339 $1,456 94¢ $2.2K +$731 08-02 01:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +2,243 $1,636 88¢ $2.0K +$349 08-01 05:20
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +1,842 $1,051 98¢ $1.8K +$751 10-24 08:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,685 $998 63¢ $1.7K +$703 10-27 05:30
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +1,912 $649 88¢ $1.7K +$1,034 08-16 09:57
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +5,237 $1,133 30¢ $1.6K +$464 10-26 12:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,613 $1,389 97¢ $1.6K +$180 06-13 11:39
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +1,640 $347 94¢ $1.5K +$1,202 08-09 04:09
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +1,581 $1,285 98¢ $1.5K +$264 08-04 09:27
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +2,652 $1,301 58¢ $1.5K +$237 10-26 11:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,755 $1,353 88¢ $1.5K +$183 07-17 20:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,554 $1,324 96¢ $1.5K +$176 07-26 19:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,522 $767 97¢ $1.5K +$702 06-29 16:28