Realized P&L (30d)
-$9.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$23.7K
Hit rate
40.6%
Resolved (30d)
5,866
Trades (30d)
35,105
589,722 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$209.6K
$2.66M lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$88.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 11-01 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 220 days
Categories
Other
61% 13% -$7,263
Politics
24% 17% +$15,509
Crypto
7% 4% -$13,555
Tech
5% 17% -$3,689
Sports
3% 7% +$6,834
Pop-Culture
1% 9% +$212
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4917 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +6,310 $3,374 97¢ $6.1K +$2,763 08-07 14:03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +6,489 $5,316 92¢ $5.9K +$621 10-29 17:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6,169 $4,879 86¢ $5.3K +$457 07-21 18:56
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4,681 $2,618 97¢ $4.5K +$1,906 08-25 06:41
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +5,011 $3,841 90¢ $4.5K +$669 10-23 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4,715 $782 88¢ $4.2K +$3,391 06-15 13:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4,137 $2,841 92¢ $3.8K +$986 06-24 06:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3,997 $3,249 94¢ $3.8K +$528 07-30 06:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4,190 $3,377 84¢ $3.5K +$121 08-21 15:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,844 $2,045 90¢ $3.4K +$1,395 09-22 03:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,783 $1,774 90¢ $3.4K +$1,647 06-19 16:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +3,517 $2,620 91¢ $3.2K +$581 09-04 12:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,057 $2,616 95¢ $2.9K +$288 08-04 04:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +3,545 $2,131 82¢ $2.9K +$758 09-28 08:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,899 $1,591 86¢ $2.5K +$901 08-04 13:05
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +2,480 $1,275 100¢ $2.5K +$1,201 08-11 02:08
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2,683 $1,897 89¢ $2.4K +$503 10-01 08:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,439 $2,310 65¢ $2.2K -$88 10-27 04:22
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,254 $2,055 98¢ $2.2K +$157 06-23 13:44
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +4,104 $2,954 53¢ $2.2K -$779 10-21 20:46
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2,339 $1,456 91¢ $2.1K +$672 08-02 01:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +2,243 $1,636 88¢ $2.0K +$349 08-01 05:20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3,897 $1,148 47¢ $1.8K +$683 10-21 16:19
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +1,842 $1,051 98¢ $1.8K +$751 10-24 08:44
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +1,912 $649 84¢ $1.6K +$948 08-16 09:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,613 $1,389 96¢ $1.5K +$152 06-13 11:39
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +1,640 $347 94¢ $1.5K +$1,186 08-09 04:09
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +1,581 $1,285 96¢ $1.5K +$233 08-04 09:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,554 $1,324 97¢ $1.5K +$178 07-26 19:23
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +1,727 $946 86¢ $1.5K +$531 09-21 00:59