Realized P&L (90d)
-$29.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$24.0K
Hit rate
41.4%
Resolved (90d)
21,817
Trades (90d)
138,182
591,415 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$765.7K
$2.69M lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$87.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 11-05 11:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Other
61% 13% -$8,668
Politics
24% 17% +$14,382
Crypto
7% 4% -$13,577
Tech
5% 17% -$3,691
Sports
3% 7% +$6,507
Pop-Culture
1% 9% +$131
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4917 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +6,489 $5,316 96¢ $6.2K +$881 10-29 17:47
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +6,310 $3,374 98¢ $6.2K +$2,814 08-07 14:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6,169 $4,879 92¢ $5.6K +$766 07-21 18:56
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4,681 $2,618 97¢ $4.6K +$1,934 08-25 06:41
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +5,011 $3,841 90¢ $4.5K +$694 10-23 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4,715 $782 90¢ $4.2K +$3,439 06-15 13:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4,137 $2,841 95¢ $3.9K +$1,089 06-24 06:33
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4,190 $3,377 92¢ $3.9K +$498 08-21 15:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3,997 $3,249 96¢ $3.8K +$588 07-30 06:57
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,894 $2,090 92¢ $3.6K +$1,473 11-04 03:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,783 $1,774 92¢ $3.5K +$1,715 06-19 16:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +3,517 $2,620 94¢ $3.3K +$669 09-04 12:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,057 $2,616 96¢ $2.9K +$333 08-04 04:18
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +4,104 $2,954 68¢ $2.8K -$183 10-21 20:46
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +3,545 $2,131 72¢ $2.6K +$439 09-28 08:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,899 $1,591 88¢ $2.5K +$945 08-04 13:05
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2,683 $1,897 87¢ $2.3K +$445 10-01 08:48
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2,339 $1,456 94¢ $2.2K +$731 08-02 01:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +2,243 $1,636 90¢ $2.0K +$393 08-01 05:20
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +1,842 $1,051 99¢ $1.8K +$769 10-24 08:44
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +1,912 $649 89¢ $1.7K +$1,053 08-16 09:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,613 $1,389 97¢ $1.6K +$176 06-13 11:39
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +1,640 $347 94¢ $1.5K +$1,202 08-09 04:09
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +1,581 $1,285 98¢ $1.5K +$257 08-04 09:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,755 $1,353 88¢ $1.5K +$183 07-17 20:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,439 $2,310 44¢ $1.5K -$800 10-27 04:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,554 $1,324 97¢ $1.5K +$183 07-26 19:23
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,685 $998 56¢ $1.5K +$509 10-27 05:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,522 $767 96¢ $1.5K +$701 06-29 16:28
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +2,652 $1,301 52¢ $1.4K +$78 10-26 11:49