(anonymous) 0x28d464…6df9d3
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
14.9%
Resolved
64
Trades
12,636
lifetime
Volume
$95.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-27 08:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
47% 40% -$1
Other
40% 20% -$46
Sports
6% 0% -$5
Tech
4% 22% -$3
Crypto
3% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 1919 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No +106 $82 72¢ $76 -$5 10-21 18:27
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +79 $69 91¢ $72 +$3 10-26 09:51
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +70 $61 86¢ $60 -$1 10-21 16:37
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +80 $60 73¢ $58 -$2 10-25 16:10
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +79 $47 66¢ $52 +$5 10-27 08:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +55 $48 92¢ $51 +$3 10-23 14:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +67 $52 76¢ $50 -$2 10-26 18:15
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $40 95¢ $48 +$7 10-18 12:15
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +50 $45 94¢ $46 +$2 10-22 17:29
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 10-21 12:57
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +50 $42 89¢ $45 +$2 10-24 16:36
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +60 $46 74¢ $44 -$2 10-25 00:40
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +50 $43 87¢ $43 +$1 10-26 17:53
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +50 $44 87¢ $43 -$1 10-24 20:14
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +60 $40 69¢ $42 +$2 10-26 18:57
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +60 $42 69¢ $41 -$1 10-24 19:45
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +40 $38 96¢ $38 +$0 10-26 01:21
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +41 $38 92¢ $38 +$0 10-23 17:40
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +50 $34 74¢ $37 +$4 10-18 12:13
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +39 $35 94¢ $36 +$2 10-21 03:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +50 $10 73¢ $36 +$26 10-18 09:45
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +39 $36 91¢ $35 $0 10-26 22:09
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +39 $35 90¢ $35 +$0 10-27 01:37
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +50 $35 68¢ $34 -$1 10-26 06:03
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +40 $34 82¢ $33 -$1 10-20 13:05
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $32 80¢ $32 +$1 10-17 00:03
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +59 $27 54¢ $31 +$5 10-27 06:07
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $24 52¢ $31 +$7 10-19 03:44
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +39 $31 78¢ $31 $0 10-23 03:47
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +106 $25 28¢ $30 +$5 10-21 18:27