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whale bot
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$277
Unrealized P&L
+$758
Hit rate
5.3%
Resolved (7d)
425
Trades (7d)
3,929
24,900 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$30.3K
$193.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$4.89K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-15
last 11-11 02:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
45% 12% -$312
Politics
36% 6% -$167
Sports
8% 10% -$17
Tech
5% 12% -$23
Crypto
4% 22% -$4
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 1919 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31? No +267 $198 84¢ $223 +$25 11-10 17:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +256 $224 84¢ $216 -$8 11-06 01:03
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? No +214 $186 88¢ $190 +$3 11-10 20:08
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +201 $183 94¢ $189 +$6 11-10 15:26
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +239 $183 78¢ $185 +$2 11-10 06:34
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? No +219 $193 82¢ $181 -$12 11-09 12:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes +206 $163 88¢ $180 +$17 11-10 12:57
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? No +206 $180 86¢ $177 -$3 11-09 22:40
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +194 $167 88¢ $172 +$5 11-10 22:30
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? No +205 $153 84¢ $171 +$18 11-09 12:00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? No +164 $143 100¢ $163 +$20 10-31 07:41
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +173 $150 94¢ $161 +$12 11-05 19:49
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +169 $124 95¢ $160 +$36 11-06 13:30
Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +169 $124 94¢ $159 +$35 11-08 00:31
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +173 $155 92¢ $158 +$3 11-10 13:05
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +159 $120 98¢ $157 +$37 11-04 22:02
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? No +172 $143 90¢ $154 +$12 11-05 16:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? Yes +196 $142 78¢ $152 +$10 11-11 03:10
Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? No +174 $152 86¢ $151 -$1 11-07 19:21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +153 $21 97¢ $149 +$128 10-28 20:23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes +150 $18 98¢ $148 +$129 10-25 10:32
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +153 $120 96¢ $147 +$27 11-06 05:19
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +224 $102 66¢ $147 +$45 11-08 17:41
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +155 $25 94¢ $147 +$122 10-30 08:28
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +170 $137 85¢ $144 +$7 11-08 15:21
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? No +206 $151 70¢ $144 -$7 11-11 01:02
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +158 $116 91¢ $144 +$27 11-10 15:06
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes +167 $134 84¢ $141 +$7 11-11 01:27
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +240 $102 58¢ $140 +$39 11-10 19:44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%? No +140 $122 100¢ $140 +$17 10-31 16:33